The Lillestrom club, having been separated from the highest league, feels significantly superior to all the other league teams and easily dominates over everyone with only 4 lost points in 9 league matches. Defeating 7 out of 9 teams in the league and recently the highest league club in the cup demonstrates the strength and determination of the Lillestrom team to return. Although their opponents are not a bad team, Lillestrom just seems to be on a completely different level and should win.
The tournament opening should shine with Messi and the club he represents. Inter has Suarez, Busquets, and Alba, although the latter may not play. The Egyptian club is much weaker and although they have one well-known football player, Trezeguet, I believe that even with their veteran players, Inter has a better chance of winning because they are professionals who know how to play at this level and I also suspect that these football players have been preparing for this championship, so Inter should win.
I don't really believe in the Inter Miami team and I would bet against them rather than for Al Ahly. I wouldn't say that Miami is having an impressive season, and there is a clear imbalance between their offense and defense. Their talented forwards are not enough to make up for a club that can't even compete in the MLS. I think this tournament will be a complete failure for the Miami team, while Al Ahly Egypt, the champions, should be able to easily dominate the competition.
I think the coefficient deserves attention, I believe Al Ahly is undervalued and will make a shocker here against Miami. I would say it's Al Ahly vs Messi, because as a team, I truly believe Al Ahly is better, especially based on their experience (winning the 2023 bronze medal at the Club World Cup). Messi is the heart and hope of this team, so it depends on whether he will show up in this game or not, as without Suarez, who barely scores, Messi could still pull off a trick.
Even without James, Monaco, which is still in the competition, managed to reach the final, but they will face a very strong Paris team. Although the club will completely renew itself after the season, this season's team seems very focused and plays fantastically. They lost only once against Dijon due to their long journey, but then confidently defeated Bourg. Now, after a week of rest, they will face a weaker Monaco version at home and will have to deal with them.
In the second game, Unicaja was close even though they received non-sporting and technical losses. The potential of the Unicaja team can be seen in the statistics, where they rebounded more balls, made more shots, and at home they should have at least 1 win in the playoffs, and 2 times in the finals. Unicaja has already beaten Real in one playoff match, so in the elimination games, I expect this team from Peru to win.
Even though Bayern's name is huge and with a new coach, the players will want to prove their abilities, and the Australian club, known for its attacking style, it is difficult to expect them to score as many goals as the line suggests. Bayern rarely scored so many goals this season, and the Auckland team should not open up and let the Germans flank them. There are teams capable of scoring, but I believe the Australians will want to score as few goals as possible, and Bayern is not as strong in attack as depicted.
Two serious teams, champions league and treble winners PSG against a very determined and high-scoring Atletico team. The Madrid club has even won the only away game against PSG in this season's Champions League with a score of 1-2. The attacking of both teams is very solid, but their defense may not be their strongest suit. Also, it is the first game after the break, so I hope there will be goals on both sides, as in their previous encounter.
I believe that Jonava will be much more motivated to win medals. Jonava also looked very good against Žalgiris, even though they lost the entire game. Lietkabelis seems exhausted, with a very short rotation and simply won't have enough strength to compete against a serious Jonava team.
I believe the coefficient is given in exchange for risk. The Knicks - Pacers series is currently at 1-3 and considering the forms of both teams, the chances of making a comeback for NY are very slim. The Pacers' game leaves a big impression, with quick transitions, strong offense, deep rotation, and teamwork. The team has been playing in the conference finals for the second year in a row - they have everything they need to win the title.
In the previous round, the Pacers beat the highly regarded Eastern team, the Cleveland Cavs. Although they had some injuries, according to all predictions they should have easily handled it, but it was the opposite.
In the finals, they will most likely face OKC. They have been playing very well this year, but one major flaw is their shooting from the three-point line - only 33% in the playoffs with 37 attempts per game. That's very poor in modern basketball.
I believe this could cause them trouble in at least one game in this series, as the Pacers' offense won't be able to be stopped.
Given that the coefficient will most likely be very high for the final series, I think it's worth taking a small risk.
Description of why I think Pacers will win can be seen in another prediction.
The Pacers' biggest engine is Haliburton and if they win the finals, I have no doubt that Haliburton will receive the MVP award. I don't know what kind of gods would have to intervene for the Pacers to win and for Haliburton to have a poor series. Before the Knicks series, I predicted that Haliburton would be the MVP and it can be said with confidence that he will receive the MVP for his great performances. The entire game revolves around Haliburton and he is the heart and brain of the team, so if the Pacers take this series, he should also become the MVP. The odds are currently very good and I believe they will decrease before the start of the series, as there are still games left against NY.