Over (Kay Bruhnke (BC Vilnius Rytas) Points 5.5) @1.850 5/10
After Nymburk, it was clear that there will be some changes, maybe some cost-cutting measures will be implemented, so it is always quite risky to engage in such bets, but on the other hand, this defense and points production against Czech teams, especially after playing against Siauliai, who are not known for their strong defense this season. Brunkhe has become a crucial player for Rytas, as shown by his minutes against the Czechs where he scored 29 and 23 points with a 5-point difference each time. Such strong defense and versatility is highly valued in basketball. I believe the story will be completely different here and the German player will have at least 6+ points.
Another meeting with teams with different levels of focus. After a double week, Dubai is fully concentrated on the Euroleague, while Buducnost, a solid team that recently beat Partizan and has long been eliminated from the European cup, is solely focused on the ABA league and has been preparing for the whole week. Not long ago, Dubai won by 17 points in their away game, and it remains to be seen if this will affect their performance. Additionally, Buducnost will have an extra motivation, so once again, it will be a very interesting game to watch, but the odds seem to be in favor of taking the plus side.
Although Cluj team lost to Zvezda by a difference of just 12 points a month ago, I believe the situation is different now. The entire focus of the Crvena team should be to successfully finish the last regular season games of the Euroleague, and I think everything even fits in the ABA league. Cluj now only plays in the ABA league, and when they are underdogs, they often surprise with their unique style of play and are difficult for other teams to handle. Zvezda will have a very important match with Real after a double week, so they may rest some players and this could make things easier for the Napoca team, but I think the line is too high.
Although this week Efes improved their form by winning two games in Euroleague, Fenerbahce and their current form still seem to be head and shoulders above. They have won all 3 games against each other this season and they need Peru Saru to start believing in themselves again. Although this week's match and the odds seem to lean towards Efes, I believe that one week where the teams play significantly differently should not have much significance, especially when Efes relies heavily on foreign players, and Turkey's weakness in comparison to Fenerbahce only increases due to limitations.
Both had tough matches in Europe, Valencia had a double portion and struggled against Pao. In the early game, they should have been more confident, but Unicaja is also inclined to slow down with their veteran players as they do not have a good flow this season. The total is huge, especially considering that in head-to-head matches through the period of years, teams have only reached a hundred points once, making under bets common.
Valencia, overseas points throwing ACB team, nothing strange. They play fast, don't waste time. Unicaja has a lot of offensive talent, struggling recently, they need to bring their 'Peru' game, while Valencia still scores a good amount of points, so if you want to win, you will have to score high, it's not easy to defend against such offense. Valencia averages around 95 points this season, Unicaja around 88~, but at home they score 92+.
The Juventut centers Tomic and Birgander have left. The 19 year old plays overseas. Although Manresa is not a miracle this season, they can still fight at home. Juventut was not elite on the road, even with the centers, and it is difficult to fight without leaders.
I know that to many it seems clear that the match between Matchas and Ispanas should be considered a favorite, but I wish that the Italian would beautify the history between them on the court. Alcaraz, although he has an arsenal with his top spin and forehand, is not invincible. Valentinas did well with his serve and gave some fight in that match, which was quite unexpected. Sinner, of course, is a much higher class player than Valentine, has a good serve and it will depend on how seriously he looks on the court today, as the weather conditions are favorable, his serve should go quite well and it's difficult for anyone to fight against this robot when his first serve goes in with a high percentage. I also liked how he performed his drop shots, although against Carlito he won't use them as often, since he manages to reach everywhere, but there is still potential, because personally I did not like how Alcaraz played with Valentine. So I would say that after a tough battle and possibly a tiebreaker win, the Italian will come out on top.
In 2020 and 2024, Spain won both matches played on the ground, and although Argentina did not finish both of them, I think it's time for Spain to win normally. It is clear that statistically Argentina is in good form, but Spain also looked very good this season, so I believe that the local player will be able to win, especially since I believe that the 36-year-old veteran will have a hard time playing long points with the Spaniard, who is rightfully considered a favorite.
I think the walls of my home are a bit crooked on the Topo side. The Swiss player is not in the best form, but he knows how to play against the German representative. In 2024, Peru will once again compete in this tournament and compete against others on the sand. After the match with the Swiss player at the end of February, the German player returned to the court, and we will see how he performs after facing Peru, which will be difficult to comeback from, especially against an unfavorable opponent. I believe the Swiss player has a better chance of winning, and when there is no clear favorite, it caught my attention.
At first, the former favorite has lost their status according to the coefficients, but I believe Alcaraz will celebrate Peru. I think the match, as usual, will be dynamic and long as the titans strive, and we often see tiebreakers between these tennis players, and a 3-set game is a very convincing option. Although Peru is also very impressive, I believe this option will be better from the offer of this match so far.