For now, it's not clear about LeBron, but I will take the risk, if anything - he will return the money. Recently LeBron has been busy with completely different things, more withdrawn, not in the best condition yet, I think we will see a similar image until the playoffs, saving his health and from there he will start to show his level. Yes, these are just my theories, but it seems that there is no place for him to excel this season, so he can afford to not overexert himself, play as a team, choose assists, make about 10 shots, which on one hand seems like a slightly high odds for such an event. He can easily score points if he wants, assists may be more difficult, but with such an offense, 3 players can easily get 10 rebounds. So in my opinion, if LeBron breaks out, it is very optimal to choose him for this bet.
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