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2010/07/06 15:21 bet title geltonos korteles Olandija 1,5 over (geltonos korteles Olandija 1,5 over) @-167 8/10
 

Vokietija,Ispanija ir Olandija yra sugretinamos tiek savo pajegumu,isskiriant Urugvaju kaip outsaideri,tiek ir pagal kitus parametrus iskaitant ir geltonas korteles - pirmos trys 1,5 korteles su panasiu koeficientu,Urugvajui - 2,5 korteles.Bet paziurejus i jau uzdirbtu korteliu statistika po 5 macu pagrindinio laiko randam:Vokietija gavo 9 geltonas,ju varzovai gavo 11,Ispanija atitinkamai 3-14,Olandija 12-7,Urugvajus 7-12.Taigi vargu ar galima olandus su 12 korteliu gretinti su ispanais ir ju 3 kortelem.Jau greiciau Urugvajus ten tiktu.Olandai rinko korteliu: 2 1 3 2 4 - 4/5 over.Urugvajaus varzovai rinko: 3 2+1R 2 3 2 - 5/5 over.Pati statistika rodo,kad neblogas pasirinkimas butu statyti kad daugiau arba lygiai korteliu surinks olandai ir pagal siulomus koeficientus 5.00 ir 3.50 atitinkamai padaline procentus uzdengtume dvi baigtis is triju ir finale pasidvigubintume statyta suma - toks buvo pradinis mano sumanymas.Taciau veliau rades dar viena motyvacija pasirinkau tik vienu olandu over ir cia bus galima isvengti pavyzdziui nenumatyto grubaus urugvajieciu zaidimo,kuris pakistu koja auksciau minetam ivykiui(pvz. surinktu korteliu olandai 3 o Urugvajus 4).O ta motyvacija tokia: i aikste abi komandos izengs su 11 "svariu" zaideju - visos korteles buvo anuliuotos po ketvirtfinalio idant finalo nepraleistu svarbus zaidejai.Na nebent gautu pusfinalyje raudona.Vat sitas reikalas tiek zaidejam leis reikst savo emocijas laisviau,tiek ir teisejui rankele i virsu kils lengviau,zinant kad su kiekviena kortele jis neuzkirs nei vienam zaidejui kelio i finala.

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