Granitas - Kruoja

The worst team in the league meets, as well as the worst attacking team, Siauliai, against Banga, who are still close to 1st place in the league, even though they sit at only 6th place with -4 points. I'll take the Under here because Banga is the best defensive team in the league, having only conceded 15 goals in 20 games and only 6 in 11 away games. I believe Banga will completely shut down Siauliai's attack, but they shouldn't score many goals themselves as there aren't many teams who can score more than 22 goals this season and they've only scored 8 in away games. Siauliai haven't been scoring much at home either, only 6 goals in 9 games and they're currently on a 3 game scoreless streak. Of course, Siauliai concedes a lot, but the low number of goals scored by Banga this season makes me think that the result will be around 1-0 or 2-0. The first 2 meetings between these teams were both Under, with two 1-1 and 0-0 draws. Banga has only had 6 games with over 2.5 goals in 20 (excluding 2 matches with Riteriai, who were kicked out of the league).

Two out of three league matches this season did not exceed such high scores, and in the only match, Džiugas crushed Panevėžys with a score of 4-0, so expecting such a result again is not worth it. Panevėžys is one of the least productive teams in the league, and Džiugas has been playing very unproductively lately, and one of the most productive players in the league, I. Cisse, will not play for Džiugas due to a red card (4 goals and 1 assist). This match is potentially weaker for the home team, so we should not expect dominance from Džiugas. However, since both teams do not play productively and offensively, it is worth expecting that there will not be a lot of goals, as is often the case between these teams.

Yes, Panevėžys returned from Kazakhstan only on Saturday evening, they had a real training and I competition yesterday, but I quite liked their game against Tobol, especially away. Keita will add some stability in defense, although I would prefer him to play instead of Kerkez, but he will also do well in the midfield. Against Tobol, players like Elivelto, Janusevskis, Kurtsev remained on the bench, so there will be some rotation and it shouldn't weaken the team too much. Džiugas without Cisse will weaken the defense, and he doesn't play as well as he did at the beginning of the season, so I am leaning towards Panevėžys, for whom a result against Peru is necessary.