Kasatkina, Darya (RUS) - Martic, Petra (CRO)

Final. Right now, a very interesting fight is unfolding here. Bukai's favorite was supposed to be Pegula, but I didn't believe so. Noskova plays better on grass in her career tournaments. In 4 matches, she had 30 aces, 118 winners, and only 51 unforced errors. Those are elite numbers. She simply dominated against all opponents. Even today, Eala, who had previously defeated Rybakina and Svitolina, had no chance to win. The fact is, grass is a very suitable surface for Noskova's style.
Pegula doesn't have a powerful serve, but as I mentioned in my prediction for the Sabalenka match, she has one of the best return games among women on grass. She defends well and is stable. These are her main weapons.
But she doesn't like it when her opponent serves powerfully, immediately attacking and not allowing long rallies. This is exactly the kind of game Noskova has been showing at this tournament, so if she plays similarly today, Pegula will have serious problems.
Noskova serves a fair amount of aces and has a high percentage of first serves, which reduces Pegula's chances to break.
Head-to-head record is 2-1 in favor of Noskova. All matches were intense. It will likely be the same today. If I had to choose, I would go with Noskova, she looks slightly better in the tournament and reached the final much easier. Physically, she is undoubtedly fresher.

Final. Bouzkova is slightly the favorite, which surprises me a bit. She easily passed her opponents, but let's say today Pliskova wasn't herself, making a lot of mistakes and simply giving up in the second set. Navarro had a longer journey to the final, but her opponents were also more challenging.

However, Navarro has some weapons on grass. Her stronger forehand leads to over winners, better net play, she knows how to create points, and she has a better Peru in her offense. On the other hand, Bouzkova relies more on stability, defense, waiting for mistakes, and breaking her opponent's rhythm. When two players of similar abilities meet on grass, the one with more free points often wins. And here, Navarro has the handicap advantage.

Moreover, Navarro's serve may not be elite, but she can collect short points well, attack on the second serve, and takes the ball early - all very valuable on grass. Bouzkova, on the other hand, prefers longer rallies at the baseline, which is not very convenient on grass.

When the match becomes nerve-wracking or goes into a tiebreaker, Navarro tends to take more risks and ends points herself, while Bouzkova often becomes more passive. So, in a tiebreaker, I would trust Navarro more.

If Navarro doesn't rush and make too many unforced errors, she has a great chance of winning her second title in the past month.