It should be borne in mind that for every match the odds for Lebanon are set taking into account the fact that they are the hosts in this championship. Therefore, the real odds would not be more than 15 points. Yes, of course, Taipei had very weak 2 last matches in the group and lost in 30+ points to Japan and Australia. But Lebanon is unlikely to be worthy of such exploits. Even at home.
It is clear that in the match with the Kazakhs they had a wide rotation, which usually does not. Today is an important match, then again 4 players will play 30+ minutes. This is a minus. After all, even playing every other day is a big burden, especially for the team leader Fadi El Hatib, who is 39 years old. It is unclear situation with the naturalized Pelle, who plays 12 minutes on average. Apparently, something is wrong with physics.
Taiwan in any case can not be compared with Kazakhstan (which lose to Lebanon 22 points). This team is more serious level. Have lost to Japan and Australia in 30+? But beat in 15 Hong Kong. Lead rotation - 5 players spend on the floor not more than 10 minutes each. However, today it is not about a 5-10 point difference and the rotation of Lebanon is even shorter. At the last Asian Cup (2015) Lebanon won 5 points.
The level of the hosts is higher, undoubtedly, but I doubt that this level is such (20-25 points) and I think that playing for the Taiwan handicap is a very good idea. Let's not forget that after the victory over Hong Kong Taiwan immediately guaranteed a place in the 1/8, so especially did not fight against the favorites. But today, game much more important and sudden changes in teams are frequent. I don't mean that Lebanon can lose today. It is unlikely. But they can get a very serious fight. The main thing for Taiwan to withstand the start, and closer to the end of the match Lebanon will play weaker (short rotation).
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