I'm 80 per cent sure that Atletico will win this game. Yeah, Villarreal is a tough opponent, especially when you play in their stadium, but Atletico are in good shape and they still dreaming about chances to win the league. In the last game Villarreal won against Las Palmas, but before that clash they had two defeats against Girona and Eibar. Atletico hasn't brilliant history against Villarreal, but they simply aren't in the best shape.
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