Real is not performing well this season, especially when playing away games. On Sunday, they played against Joventut away and Joventut controlled the whole game, even though main Real players played solid minutes. At home, Asvel is performing well this season with a record of 4-2, while Real has a record of 1-5 in away games and only managed to win the last el classico in overtime. Maledonas is playing superbly, Lauvergne is back in good form, and Sako is slowly starting to contribute as well. Considering the situation, the odds look very good.
The return of Blatt, as well as the arrival of De Julius and Shayok, both integrated well into the team, which will reduce game time and the number of shots. They also effectively block opposing team's 2-3 position players. I think the realistic line is 9.5.
Gryzta blattas, when blattas did not perform the same in any of the games. In addition, out of 9 matches, he scored under this total 6 times, and there is also blattas' return, in which he rotates around the court while playing, and while he is on the court, Rokas moves into the second position.
I believe that this will be the end of the Paris team's series against Peru, because the opponent is not easy. When added to Maccabi, Blatt returned, the team covered 80% of the handicaps in their "home" games, they defeated Efes, they defeated Real, they only lost to Olympiacos in the last seconds. Paris plays good basketball, but against Virtus there was uncertainty, and there is also a lot of pressure for a team like this.
I believe Paris is a favorable team for Maccabi, because they are fast but have weaknesses in defense. Losing in Paris needs to be caught now always, because what is happening now is paranormal. An empty arena can kill the Parisian hype, but Maccabi certainly plays normally, fights, but always lacks a beautiful finish.
The team Papa remains suspended. They are having a good season, where in only 3 out of 12 matches they did not have a high score. They will be playing against Barcelona, so they will have a greater motivation. Also, they have only lost 2 matches in a row, making the next game very important. I believe the line for tomorrow will be 9.5-10.5.
After an impressive performance, the player's average is 9.8 points and he is having a great season, which many did not expect from him. He has a 50% success rate in 3-point shots, with a total of 9 out 12 shots made. Papapetrou will not be playing and Nunn is injured, so it is unclear what will happen with him. The Spaniard will also have motivation for his brother.
It is unclear whether he will play, but even if he does play he shouldn't be 100% ready. He had a serious infectious disease, which is why he was admitted to the hospital, talk was that it was a similar infection to Wright( Olympiakos).
Barca suffers from defensive injuries, Neto and Briuzela are out. That leaves only two possible players, Sato and Nunez. They should receive a lot of playing time, around 25-30 minutes. The total points are not high, considering that they are shooting a lot of 3-pointers, which brings risks. In the Acb weekend game, they scored 16 points.
Over (Zalgiris not to los by 7+ , Sirvydis score 7+points) @250 7/10
Other Bets - Zalgiris not to lose by 7+ points, Deividas Sirvydis to score 7+ points.
Zalgiris, despite struggling, always gives their all in every game. Partizan also plays inconsistently, but they have started scoring better recently, although it was the same at the beginning of the season. Their new team is lacking stability, so I believe Zalgiris will dominate with their defense against Partizan.
Deividas is in good form now and has the confidence to make an impact in his minutes on the court.
Fener lost the home game that they needed to win. Knowing that they have to motivate their team well for this match against Šaras. Even though it is an away game, the opponent is one that Fener needs to beat. The Basques are not playing confidently this season, and they lost the last two home games against similar level teams. Looking at the ACB, their form doesn't seem good. Don't forget that they lost by -16 against Žalgiris. The Turks are currently one of the better teams in Euroleague at the beginning of the season.
It didn't go well with the basket and Zalgiris over, but it still seems like a favorable opponent to overcome such a total. With Walker, the game clearly speeds up, but there is also a lack of contribution from other players, like Francisco. However, LKL has achieved 11 results, maybe his role will change and he will become more of a creator, which the team lacks. Partizan is definitely not a slow team when playing basketball, they have over players, they like to run. Relying on Zalgiris' mistakes would not be beneficial for their defensive basketball.
Elsewhere 8.5 and here I see value because the coach gives him a lot of freedom throughout the season. He throws a lot of 3-pointers. After returning from injury, he scored 10 points against Olympiacos.
Walker is a 20-point player and I will always take those lines. The further I go, the more I get used to the teams. He throws a lot of shots and takes a lot on himself.
The player who should not be affected by the atmosphere, knows the arena perfectly, and isn't on the opposing side of the fans. Even before the injury, he was becoming an increasingly important part of the team, and upon his return, he brought even more options to the offense and is in good physical shape. With players like Francisco, and now Lonnie Walker, the Serbian has a lot of freedom in his 3-point shots.
It should be a slippery underground fight, so I wouldn't expect Walker to have a big role here. Partisan will pay much attention to him, but the most important thing is that the Serbs have good priests to stop him. The atmosphere can also throw Lonnie off track.
(Žalgirio pataikytų baudų skaičius over nei 15.5) @-118 6/10
This observation, when playing against stronger teams, Žalgiris starts provoking mistakes, while Partizan somehow, gets penalized, so it's such a game that depends on luck, whether they will fall or not.
Over (Žalgiris rez.Peru Total over 14,5) @-139 8/10
Partizan-Žalgiris
After 12 rounds, Žalgiris has an average of 14.3 successful points per game. Partizan team allows their opponents to score an average of 17.3 points per game. The remaining leader in team points, S.Francisco, has an average of 4.5 points per game. In today's match, we expect a more tactical and collaborative game from Žalgiris. They have players who can take advantage of opportunities to score points against the Partizan team.
Partizan vs. Kaunas Žalgiris
Player points (+OT)
Marinkovic, Vanja (PAR) under 8.5
It seems that in order to stop him, we simply need to not let him shoot three-pointers and make his shots as difficult as possible. Zalgiris definitely has something to put against him. In the last periods, he made 3PT and because of that we have set his points for today at 8.5, we need to try to take advantage of this.
Baskonia vs. Fenerbahce
Player points (+OT)
Biberovic, Tarik (FEN) under 11.5
We have one more live 3PT, shooter this season with 24/56 3PT, so if they only score worse, we have a max of 10 points for the person. It would be smarter to offer him 9.5, the standard sniper total.
The Baskonians will not have a chance to win against Fene without a good offense, because Fene's players are big and have potential to close out the Baskonians in defense. So we will need to involve the Turks in a fast-paced game and use our defensive tactics. The Baskonians must wake up at some point, the aggression against Zalgiris helped in the game against Peru, and I hope for the same from the first minutes.
Partisan light edge player Marinkovic, who in the Euroleague rarely plays under 20 minutes. Recently returned to the team after a back injury, and according to his results on the court, he seems to be capable of playing at full strength. Bookmakers offer a 6.5 points line for him, which is much lower than his overall average in the Euroleague (8.0). This event is simply a value bet.
Partisan center Brandon, a former Zalgiris player, who is doing well against green and white: last season he scored 18 points (25min) and 11 points (23min). In the last three games, he showed good form in the Euroleague: 12pts in 18 minutes, 9pts in 16 minutes, 17pts in 24 minutes. Comparing his previous season, where he struggled with injuries and the only thing that held him back were recurring injuries. This season he has only just started to show results and Zalgiris is a good match for him against weaker players in the 5th position.
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