2nd place is going to play against 20th position. The last 6 meetings ended with Man City victories (W6, D0, L0 by results 5-0; 6-0). Watford team is not playing well at the moment. They lost against the same level of the teams by results such as 1-3 and 0-3. Why we should see 4-6 goals? Because Aguero is a topscorer at the moment, of course Man City team has more players who can score goals.
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