Fognini F. - Murray A.

The tournament is taking place in America, but it is the only handicap that an American has against Zverev. Even the odds for Zverev ML are very surprising because the difference between the players is obvious and it is large.
In their previous 5 meetings, all 5 encounters between the players were won by Ghana, with Zverev only dropping 1 set.
Zverev only struggled in the first 2 rounds where he played 5 sets, but the following 4 rounds were won 3-0.
Shelton, on the other hand, only gave away at least 1 set to his opponents in 5 out of 6 meetings, but his performance leading up to the final was affected by an injury against Alcaraz, although it should be noted that it was his first tournament back after a long period of rest due to a groin injury.
Zverev has never won a Grand Slam in his career, but now has the opportunity to win his second within 1 year, and with all logic, is the clear favorite.