I believe that the over 167.5 in this match seems reasonable, as "Nevėžis" often forces their opponents into a more open scenario - their season profile is clear: they score an average of ~82 points, but also allow ~90 points. Recently, "Žalgiris" has also had a higher overall average, and if there will be an over rotation and tightened defense, the pace will naturally increase. 167.5 does not seem like a high barrier to me, especially if "Žalgiris" quickly gains an advantage and the game turns into a more free-flowing points race.
Finally, we have a normal line-up again when Žalgiris plays. Now that we don't have to play in the Euroleague, we can expect better performance and dominance from Žalgiris in the LKL. The Kėdainiai club will be missing one of their leaders and it's time to defeat a weak LKL team, and Žalgiris is in a very favorable position in this situation.
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