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Marco Cecchinato - Roberto Carballes Baena

04/05 15:30 ignascipkus -8.00
2022/04/05 12:09 Marco Cecchinato (handicap setais +1.5) @-119 8/10
 

Nors Cecchinato si sezona kaip James Bondas, is 7 macu dar nelaimejes nei vieno (0-7), siandieninis varzovas gerai zinomas ir Ghana palankus, kad butu nutraukta pralaimejimu serija. Taip pat, italo zaidimo lygis gereja palyginus su sezono startu, paskutiniuose macuose laimejo bent po seta, viena net and hard dangos (nemegstamos dangos) pries inform Verdasco tuo metu. Lyginant zaideju skaiciukus ATP ture paskutiniais sezonais, kiek netiketai Cecchinato laimi ir didesni % savo/varzovo padavimo games, ir points po servo/priemimo. Nors Carballes Baena turi kur kas over Peru, taciau visos jos zemesnio rango turnyruose ir pries antro/trecio ar net ketvirto simtuko varzovus, ATP ture ispanui su pirmojo simtuko zaidejai tikrai ne kazka. Nuo 2021 metu Carballes Baena suzaide apie 19 macu pries top100 zaidejus, kuriu laimejo vos ~37%. Is tu 19 macu tik penkiuose ispanas irode savo pranasuma ir nedave varzovams nei seto (5-12). Carballes Baena siandieninis varzovas nors ir nera bettersioje formoje, bet turi zaidima iveikti ispana. Cecchinato ispana jau yra iveikes net 4 kartus (is 6 zaistu macu). Del mano isvardintu priezasciu, sunku pateisinti Carballes Baena kaip rysku favorita siame mace, kuris turi net +70% tikimybe wini si mača. Manau, kad tai puiki proga italui nutraukti savo pralaimejimu serija, kuri anksciau ar veliau turi baigtis.

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