Nakashima - Querrey

In my opinion, the movie now is a bit like Peru. Yes, it hasn't lost a single set yet and caused a sensation by beating Ruud, but in reality it's a player with Challenger level experience against Top-20 player Cobolli, who has already shown character in Acapulco. Wu serves strongly (82% of first serves), but in long rallies he can be "pressed" by aggressive Italian forehand, and he won't give up easily after a tough schedule - I think we can expect a fight for every break point.

Cobolli is clearly more motivated, but fatigue after playing for over 2 hours can provoke unpredictable sets. His statistics on hard court are full of tie-breaks against equal opponents, while Wu, although he conserves energy, makes 12 unforced errors per match and doesn't always maintain pace under pressure. Moreover, bookmakers have raised the odds due to the hype surrounding the movie, but I don't believe Wu will continue his dry streak with another match.

Wu will probably try to finish things quickly in the first set, but even if he succeeds, Cobolli will fight back in the second during a "break" game or tie-break. And if it goes to a third set, it will, of course, be easy for Peru.