David Goffin (-2.5 Sets) - Sebastian Baez (+2.5 Sets)

Different opponent awaits Alcaraz and at the same time, I believe we will see a better version of him than what we usually see at Grand Slams in more serious matches. Rublev may not be performing too badly in this tournament, but it's known for years that this player crushes top players in grand slams and I don't see any signs of hope for him playing against a better opponent on grass. When things don't go well, he usually crumbles psychologically, so it wouldn't be surprising if Carlos took a set or two in a crushing manner and then it would just be a formality moving forward.