Gizzlies - Spurs

The average is higher than the proposed total, so I think it's worth trying to continue milking with Kon, who is my favorite for the Rookie of the Year award. He has a great handle and shoots well from long range, although of course he recently had a couple of poorer games where unders were expected due to the open style of play, but overall Brooklyn is one of the worst defensive teams and Charlotte struggles with frequent turnovers on the road, with only 1 out of 8 attempts from 3-point range being successful. But with Lamelo Ball expected to play, they should compete for points. So overall, Kon should have a good chance at expanding the score and could end up successfully scoring closer to the basket, making this total relatively easy to cover with an average of 8 long-range shots, if we continue with 40% accuracy in our shots from beyond the arc.

I am repeating last night's choice and again going with the Sheppard over. They were quite passive in the previous game against the Jazz, but today I expect to see more initiative in terms of over, as well as in my own - I raised the total points. If they go over, I believe it will be by 16+ points. The Jazz continue to be one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to defending against players in that position.

Once again, I am trying to get Sengun assists, the season average is still realistically 7 (now 6.9), but now a 4-game streak has fallen below his average, including yesterday when he only had 5. I believe that the game where Sengun shines as a playmaker will come and I think it is very possible to do it against the Jazz because this team has been playing poorly defensively and has given up a lot of points this season.