Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin

The coefficient is nonsensical in every sense, as far as I can remember from last year, the surface in Morocco was very slow, many complained about the quality. Of course, they may have improved after numerous complaints, but it should be favorable for Fognini. Although Fognini is still far from his normal game, the maximum coefficient should be 2, no matter how it looks, and I believe it is possible to catch it as I did with Chile and calmly make a profit. The Belgian player is certainly a good challenger player, and I think it is not far off that he will try something more serious in the ATP, but overall, Fognini, no matter how out of form he may be, I believe he is capable of surprising on such a slow surface, and getting such a coefficient is absurd.

Experienced 30-year-old and very stable J. Thompson (ranked 37th in the ATP) meets with the young 21-year-old American Quinn. A true hard-court specialist and a strong competitor, Australian Thompson is a well-known face in this tournament, having participated in it every year since 2018. While he may not have made it to the semifinals in this tournament, he is always a dangerous opponent for any serious tennis player, and is certainly too much for the young American to handle. Although Quinn has a good record of 19 wins and 9 losses on hard courts this season, his positive statistics only include challenger tournaments, and he has no chance against a strong opponent. In my opinion, the odds are quite high, as Thompson is coming off a successful tournament in Miami, while the young American was humiliated in the same tournament by the 129th ranked Schoolkate with a score of 6-0, 6-2. As this is the first match between these two players in this tournament, we should trust the experience and significantly better skills of Thompson from Peru.