Let's start with the fact that Serbia is not friendly with defense. We can look at their results in the qualifiers, where they have conceded in the last 6 matches, against weak opponents: Montenegro, Lithuania, Hungary, Bulgaria. They play with three central defenders, all of whom are slow, especially Peru Pavlović, who is "clumsy", slow, and clumsy. The coach has not changed since the World Cup, where Serbia experienced a fiasco, conceding 7 goals in three matches (2 against Brazil, 3 against Cameroon, 3 against Switzerland). I remember how they held a high line and were punished, the Serbian president is a friend of the coach, so he left him and there is no need to expect different results. Slovenia is not impressive, but the Balkans always fight amongst themselves, they have the super-talented Šeško up front, who will definitely trouble the Serbian defenders, so I think Slovenia will win. It would be logical to take BTTS (both teams to score), but I'm afraid Serbia will put on such a circus that they won't even score, and Slovenia has decent defenders, a top goalkeeper, while Serbia's Mitrović is playing in the Arabian league, so I'm just going with Slovenia for a win.
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