The Slovenians will have their leader Doncic, as well as Tobey replacing another American tall player Nebo, who had a good season with the Maccabi team. The Croatians have always underperformed, even when they had a good roster. This time, I believe Croatia should perform better. They have their leader Hezonja, and there are other high-level basketball players as well, so in terms of roster, they are roughly equal teams. With this kind of team, the Croatians can confidently cover the spread.
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