Apart from the fact that there can always be accidents, punctured tires and the like, Alonso seems to have very good chances to win among these 4 racers. I think the only team that can give him a challenge is Haas, but Alonso will have a higher position than them. Another thing is that Alonso has a good history on this track and usually manages to stay in the top 10. So, if it's a tough race, I believe Alonso should be able to stay and finish ahead of Magnussen, Gasly, and Tsunoda.
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