Zalgiris - Real Madrid

The home team has a very high coefficient today. It does not matter that Real is on fire now, while Paris is struggling. Both teams have a higher chance of winning at home, especially when coming in as the underdog. Real has gained momentum but mostly through home matches. They have not performed well on away matches, winning only 4 out of 11 this season.

Both teams in this phase have been performing well according to productivity. There are many games and the placement is not great for defense, and playing at home, Paris often controls the game and collects high numbers in offense. Real also isn't fond of defending, and at home they play a total style similar to Paris, so I expect a high number of points and this line doesn't scare me.