Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys

I foresee many breaks, tensions and excitement when the players will split a set and ultimately the winning mastery - I predict Rybakina's Peru 2-1. I remind you that the last H2H was 3-0 in Rybakina's favor. Here, I would call Pegula a lucky loser among champions, who will be pushed to their maximum.

I would say that Pegula is too underestimated here, of course Rybakina is better in reality in this tournament, has more power, but for Pegula I thought the odds would be around 2.1-2.2. With such odds, it could be a good value bet.
Pegula is known for her great stability and high technical skills, she can handle all kinds of game styles against Rybakina. Plus, Pegula is currently in better form. It will greatly depend on how Rybakina's serves go, and also Rybakina struggles with her weak backhand, which Pegula should take advantage of. Pegula is also good at provoking errors from her opponents.
Their head-to-head record is tied at 3:3 and Rybakina won the last two matches, which is another advantage for this bet. However, the minus is that Pegula tends to struggle in the later stages of tournaments, though on the other hand, she had a great form since 2025 and doesn't easily give up, playing several three-set matches, even winning four consecutive three-set matches in some tournaments, showing her great endurance. Rybakina is also in good form, so it should be a close and interesting match.

I would say that Pegula is being underestimated too much here, of course Rybakina is a better player realistically in this tournament, with more power, but I was thinking the odds would be around 2.1-2.2 for her. With such odds, it creates a good value bet. Pegula is known for her great stability and high technical skills, she can move Rybakina around the court and with her current form, she is better than her opponent. It will depend a lot on how Rybakina serves, also considering that she has a weaker backhand, which Pegula should take advantage of with her movement and quick preparation for shots. Rybakina has a strong serve and hits powerful winners, but Pegula is good at pushing her opponents to make mistakes. Their head-to-head record is 3:3, with Rybakina winning the last two matches, which is another advantage for the bet. The only downside is that Pegula tends to struggle in the later stages of tournaments, but on the other hand, since 2025 she has been in great form and doesn't give up easily, playing multiple three-set matches and even winning four-set matches, showing her great endurance. Rybakina is also in good form, so it should be a close match.