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I think it's worth trying the underdog here. Bellucci looked very good against Pouille, although the results weren't great, and I believe Kovacevičius has reached his ceiling in this tournament. With a player of Bellucci's caliber, Amerikonas has yet to play this year, and he knows how to neutralize aggressive players like Kovacevičius with his defensive tennis. I give the advantage to the Italian here.
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