Equal teams here, as Southampton is playing in the Premier League, it doesn't say much when they haven't reached a double-digit point total in February. I'm going with Burnley because the odds are really good here, they are having a good season and should return to the Premier League, currently unbeaten in 19 matches and what's even more impressive is that they have only conceded 4 goals in this streak. I think the odds of 3.7 for a win against Peru should be given, but probably because Southampton is considered a big favorite in the higher league, they are only a Championship level team and not over-achievers in the PL.
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