There are two main factors that played a role here: Collins had a day off yesterday and the head-to-head between them stands at 2-0 in favor of Collins. Samsonova had a good season as a Russian before and played an important role. However, looking at her overall performance today, Liudmila Samsonova didn't really do anything substantial. Noskova tends to struggle on clay, makes a lot of mistakes, and is lazy when it comes to running. Parry mostly plays from the right and her shots are very weak. Badosa has been dealing with back injuries lately and hasn't played for about 2 months.
In the first round, Collins beat Kenin who had improved her game, and in the second round she defeated Raducanu. However, Raducanu had health problems, so it's unclear how the match would have ended if she hadn't. Collins struggled a bit at first, but then came out on top. She probably needed an extra day, which she got after Kalinskaya withdrew.
Overall, Samsonova has been struggling in her recent matches, but one good thing is that she tries to close points quickly, which leads to some errors. Danielle Rose Collins plays very aggressively and efficiently. She has very good serves, although she tends to take risks with her second serve which can lead to double faults.
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