Although the Knicks are not worse on paper, Indiana looks better and I would risk with both the over and the negative handicap, as Indiana has already proven their advantage over the Knicks. Haliburton is a crucial player for Indiana and they need him to have a good game, as the whole game revolves around him and if the Knicks don't shut him down, they won't have much chance. As for the over in general, I believe that in such a situation, there will be a lot of scoring if Indiana manages to create a lead early on, and with the high pace of these teams, there is a good chance of that happening.
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