I think that coefficient is worth the risk for such a total. Both teams have only scored 13 goals in 16 matches. In comparison, Ecuador has only conceded 5 goals in the same number of matches, making it the best defense among all 10 qualifying teams. Ecuador's last three games ended in 0-0 draws. They have already secured a spot in the World Cup, so their coach can experiment with new players. Paraguay needs points or hopes that Venezuela does not win against Argentina, which is highly unlikely. In the qualifying rounds, Paraguay has only scored 2 goals in 8 home matches.
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