This more risky bet relies on intuition. Both Americans, Pegula is already almost 31 years old. They have met twice and both times Pegula has won, both times it was a fight. Although Navarro Emma's season is poor, I see positive aspects here, as she had a last match against Swiatek, whom she had also previously beaten 0:2 H2H. Pegula also has not shown stability lately, barely surviving against Raducanu and playing three sets against Kostiuk, so I believe it should be a fight, although the physical data is in favor of Pegula on a hard court, the circumstances have aligned for Navarro to seem like a valuable bet.
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