Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur

I believe that after the Australian Open win, it's been only 2 weeks, Alcaraz might have a memorable hangover. And here, with a server bot, he immediately has to face someone who he played against 4 times before, and I wouldn't say that at least one of those times he didn't completely destroy the Frenchman. The closest was at the US Open where he won 7-6 6-3 6-4 last year, and I had the chance to watch that match and Alcaraz was in his peak form and could cover any set combination with an Over. It is possible to try under 19.5 with a higher coefficient, but I will stick with 18.5, so that there wouldn't be two overs in any set. Even though Carlos is known for that, I think it will be extremely difficult against the Frenchman's serve. It should be a 6-3, 6-4, but I wouldn't be surprised if he could drag at least one set up to a tiebreak. By the way, all 4 times they've played, at least one set went over 7 winning games.