I don't think that Atleti can be considered favorites here, as they are playing at a high level and have a better overall lineup on paper, but this season they have been playing poorly away from home, with only 2 wins on the road the entire season. Even in the more important away games, they have only suffered losses, especially in the "big games". PSV's current form is impressive, with 10 wins in their last 11 matches, including a couple of serious victories against English and Italian champions with a score of 4-1 and 6-2 against Buli and Napoli. I believe it is worth going with PSV's current form.
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