There isn't a very big difference between them, especially in the early stages. Belinda Bencic is a perfect player on this surface, while Jasmine Paolini from Italy is more comfortable playing on clay, although recently she has also started playing on hard courts and has shown good tennis, although she struggles with serving due to her height and needs to work very hard with her legs, which results in her having less energy in the later stages of tournaments.
The most important aspect here is that the last two H2H wins were for the Italian player, the latest one being a very close match. Overall, their H2H record is 2:2. Taking into account that Paolini didn't perform well at the WTA 8 tournament at the end of 2025, and with Belinda's high motivation, I believe the Swiss player should have enough energy and strength at least for the first set.
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