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I would say that Pegula is too underestimated here, of course Rybakina is better in reality in this tournament, has more power, but for Pegula I thought the odds would be around 2.1-2.2. With such odds, it could be a good value bet.
Pegula is known for her great stability and high technical skills, she can handle all kinds of game styles against Rybakina. Plus, Pegula is currently in better form. It will greatly depend on how Rybakina's serves go, and also Rybakina struggles with her weak backhand, which Pegula should take advantage of. Pegula is also good at provoking errors from her opponents.
Their head-to-head record is tied at 3:3 and Rybakina won the last two matches, which is another advantage for this bet. However, the minus is that Pegula tends to struggle in the later stages of tournaments, though on the other hand, she had a great form since 2025 and doesn't easily give up, playing several three-set matches, even winning four consecutive three-set matches in some tournaments, showing her great endurance. Rybakina is also in good form, so it should be a close and interesting match.
- Voted: 4
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