Sunderland - Burnley

Having not lost at home against Aston Villa in 11 consecutive matches (including three games between 1936-1946), the Villa team appears to be in great form and is winning almost all matches in the fight for the title. Their rare defeats this season prove their strength. At the moment, Brentford is on a two-game losing streak, and they are one of the worst teams in the league in away games (with only 9 points and 20 goals conceded in 11 matches). Villa, who are one of the best home teams and in great form, must take care of business.

In the ManUnited game, there were no penalty shots for 11 consecutive games. In the Fulham game, there were no penalty shots for 6 consecutive games. Statistically, this is a low probability, especially considering that both teams play physically. I believe today's game will be tense and there will be various situations in the penalty box, so a penalty shot for Ghana is a likely scenario.

We need to try going with Villa today. Simply because there is a good coefficient for me, as a team that is in the Top 3 of the league and still in the fight for the league title against a team that is surprising but still at an average level, Brentford. Villa has some losses, it seems that McGinn and Tielemans will not play yet, but their team remains strong, especially since without McGinn they have already played and won 3 games in a row, including difficult away games like against Fenerbahce and Newcastle. Villa bounced back after the unexpected blow from Everton, and at home this season they have only lost 3 games, with the first two being the only ones before that. 12 of the 13 games at Villa Park were achieved and they have definitely suffered a lot against stronger opponents. Brentford is dangerous, but not a team that should be taking points away. They have 4 losses away, but those were against Bournemouth, West Ham, Wolves, and Everton, the bottom 3 teams in this list. They only have one defeat in their last games, against stronger teams they do not collect points away.