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In the first half of the season, Virtus seemed to be hard to beat at home, but as the season progressed, they showed some weakness. They lost their last 3 matches at home, 2 in Euroleague and the previous round against Trento. Key rotation player Pajola suffered an injury, and in the last game, one of their leaders in offense, Morgan, was also out. Edwards returned from injury, but it's unpredictable how he will perform. He can score 20-30 points, but he might also end the game with a -10 efficiency rating. Asvel has not won a single away game this season, but their streak is likely to end at some point, and the situation today is favorable for it to end. They signed Angola, who has been playing exceptionally well in their first Euroleague matches and replaced DeColo perfectly. I would say there is over a 21% chance for Asvel to win.
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