According to the standings, Efes does not fall behind Zalgiris, and in my opinion, it is even a better team. They play at home, crushed Valencia, and I think Zalgiris will once again have a dazzling offense, with a stronger defense than Monaco had and we will see a rematch. Goss is back, but he is not giving much help to the team and it is doubtful if there will be any help from him at all. I hope for a tough fight, but I would not be surprised even if Efes easily defeats.
Anadolu Efes, despite having an average of 79.3 points, has recently been playing very productively, especially at home. For example: 107 points against Valencia, 95 against Bursaspor.
In the Euroleague, they typically allow around 84.7 points.
Žalgiris' statistics: they score an average of 88.8 points and allow 82.9 points.
Based on statistics and the teams' recent matches, the line seems easily beatable.
Efes is not playing well and it is possible to take a higher lead here. Peru against Valencia didn't say anything, they were lucky and that's all. Until then they haven't scored 70 points for three consecutive matches. Žalgiris has caught a good momentum and has a chance to win against such teams, which they usually don't do, but today they should, especially since they lost so badly to Efes at home.
Once this year, we only took 10 or more rebounding, but today there is a good chance to do it again. Smith dropped out in Ephesus, Poirier is returning, but this season he plays for not many minutes and doesn't take many rebounds. Kai Jones and Osmani, it is difficult to predict their minutes. Tubelis has been playing 30 or even close to 30 minutes lately. If he doesn't fall asleep and goes under the basket a little, he should grab quite a few rebounds. Efes is one of the worst rebounders this year. They only recover about 9.7 rebounds on offense (19th place) and 21.9 (18th place) on defense. Although the differences are not big, the picture is clear.
Even though Moses had a great performance, a significant part of the teams struggled against the centers. Monaco had good numbers and even at the beginning, with Wright finishing the game with only 8 points. Today's opponent is even better at defending and has shown a 3-block defense against the centers in the last 5 Euroleague games.
A double game week, as usual, demands a lot of energy, especially for teams traveling for away games in the second round. Often, for these reasons, the second games are not of high quality or visually appealing. Efes is the slowest tempo team in Euroleague, so I do not expect them to change anything while playing against Zalgiris. Zalgiris has been improving lately, with a good offense, but has struggled on defense while playing away. In order to compete against Efes, it will be necessary to work hard on defense.
A double game week, as usual, demands a lot of energy, especially for teams playing away games in the second round. Often, for these reasons, the second games are not as high quality or aesthetically pleasing. Efes is the slowest team in the Euroleague, so I don't expect them to change anything when playing against Zalgiris. Zalgiris has been improving lately, looking strong on offense, but they have struggled away games due to their poor defense. In order to compete against Efes, they will need to work on their defense. Efes will be missing Cordinier, Smits, and Poirier. The rotation is also a concern for Zalgiris, as well as their recent form.
Zali is facing one of the worst tournament teams before their departure, which is struggling. If they were at home, I would say there would still be questions about their attitude, but now on the road, their concentration and energy will be unquestionable. Efes has many injuries and lacks flow, Lee plays hero ball, and others are running out of place. Zali is at full strength, with all weapons in Masiulis' hands, so I am expecting a confident win.
Two very solid attacking teams. Zvezda is in very good form and although their offense does not shine in every game, they are able to adapt to attacking-type teams and score over points against them. We all know that Maccabi is one of the leaders in points scored and conceded. With a double game week, I do not expect strong defense, but points should be high as both teams consistently play this way and in their first meeting 190+ points were scored.
Today, one can try to pick a big over here. The first match was 191 points in Tel Aviv and it was a tie. Zvezda has been dominating recently with a strong offense, almost all players scoring 100 or near 100 points. They play a fast and productive basketball, fighting for many rebounds. Maccabi is a similar team, also playing fast, but they often allow quick and unprepared shots. It wouldn't be surprising to see both teams score over 100 today.
The Abeja team lost their first double-header match, but both games were solid and the matches should be intense. It's difficult to expect a big difference, as Virtus and Edwards are capable of playing extremely well, and the team has rarely lost by such margins this season. The impressive Oly is solid, but they are not unbeatable. Therefore, even though Peru is strong, they are not significantly better, so I believe Virtus should not lose by a large margin in the double-header week.
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