Sasnovich Aliaksandra - a 31-year-old Lithuanian, not known for great stability, but too many factors add up to not bet on her. Her recent loss in the H2H match in Abu Dhabi 0-2 shows a clear undervaluation - she had a tough three-set match before that against Hon, and had plenty of break point opportunities, but just couldn't take advantage of them. Another thing is that she tends to perform well in the first or second round matches, as shown by her current results against Peru's Tauson, Snigur, Badosa, and a close match against Eala. She often manages to advance to the second or third round in Grand Slam tournaments, and in this case, she also has the added motivation of not having played in the Doha and Abu Dhabi tournaments beforehand.
Kartal - a 24-year-old with slightly better form, reaching quarter-finals in Auckland and Abu Dhabi this year, but also without any particularly outstanding wins - perhaps against Tjen or Bucsa. In bigger Grand Slam tournaments on hard court, they have only played in the first round, so this could significantly decrease the chances for the English player. For security, I will also take +1.5 sets for the Lithuanian.
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