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In this case, the last match statistics and the head-to-head score are both favorable. In the last 20 matches, he has managed to score above 3.5 points only 6 times, and out of those 6 times, half were when he scored 4 points. This is very close to hitting the under each time, and in the last 5 matches, he has not been able to score above this line at all. So everything is strongly pointing towards the under tonight.
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