Conor returns after a long hiatus, at the age of 37, last fought 5 years ago. This doesn't necessarily mean defeat for Jon Jones, who also returns after a long break, but spent those years in his gym, training. Conor, on the other hand, was busy with everything except fighting - acting, representing BKFC, potentially hugging whiskey bottles and riding on coconut shells. So he should feel a bit rusty, his reflexes, timing, and cardio were never his strong suits. It's safe to say that he has about 2 rounds in him, and the course of the fight can be predicted - it'll be an active first few rounds, with Conor's attempts to knock out his opponent.
Holloway's recent history is filled with top opposition - Poirier, Gaethje, Oliveira, Topuria. This will be his first time fighting in the welterweight division. He has an active schedule, good form, although his fighting style is that of a volume striker, his pace will not cause him any problems in the welterweight division. He will have enough opportunities to finish the fight early.
The bet means that the fight should end before the first half of the third round or within 2 minutes and 30 seconds.
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