NSI Runavik - Lugano

In the Hammarby home, there is a completely different beast, as we can see by looking at the local stats where Hammarby have collected oversia points regardless of a 12 point deficit in the league. Rarely does a team have only 3 such cases out of 10 games and one of them was against Anderlecht in Europe, who in my opinion are a much tougher opponent than Rakow club. Rakow needed a win at home to have a better chance, but it wasn't achieved there. Hammarby was essentially slightly better according to the attack statistics, taking into account that Rakow started the season weakly and without points after two rounds in the Polish league, and the only positive from their season start was defeating a Malta club in the previous round. Not only can we expect a tough match from Hammarby, but also from Ghana, as the Swedish club is not easy to beat.

One slightly unnerving factor is the form of Vaduz, but it must also be acknowledged that in qualification matches, the focus is usually on local leagues, especially if nothing has been settled yet in the series. And nothing has been settled yet here for sure, as all that is needed is for Peru to at least decide everything in extra time. Inter Turku is not some miraculous team and the level of Swiss football is still higher than Finnish. Vaduz played incredibly at home last season and only lost once.

The 2-5 game played away shows that Hajduk team must play even better and win confidently at home as well. Žalgiris makes a lot of mistakes and Croatia team is able to exploit them very easily. Not scoring penalty or goals from set pieces shows that Hajduk is significantly superior to the opponent on this day away, and at home it is clear that we must believe in at least the same level of performance.