Free sports betting picks

PSG is hosting Newcastle and I'm taking Peru as well, even though the odds are not great, I believe a win is guaranteed. PSG knows how to play against such teams when they need to win, and for Peru it is important to secure a spot in the Top 8, as a draw may not be enough. This season, Newcastle is not a particularly strong team, they are very unstable and dependent on their home game. When playing away, it is very rare for them to achieve a favorable result, so it's not expected that anything will go well for Paris. Also, Newcastle has been performing poorly against strong teams this season, based on their results.

There is no need to analyze much here, Real needs a result to secure their place in the top eight and even if they are 2 points above, not playing and losing could cost them the top 8 spot, and although they could probably get there with equal results, I think they will go for Peru. Real has recovered now, with 3 wins in a row, the last two of which were great 6-1 victories against Monaco and on the road against Villareal. Now they face an old friend, Mourinho, and his Benfica team, which has nowhere to go but to win. Benfica usually plays poorly in big games, even on their home turf, they just can't seem to catch a break. The fact that they need to win will create openings in their defense which Real should be able to exploit, giving them an advantage for the Peru game.

Australian Open, women's doubles, quarterfinals. The last day of the tour's competitions, a real treat for the viewers, especially since the court will be occupied by local faun representatives - Kimberly B. (27 years old) and Talia G. (21 years old). These brave girls have come a long way in this tournament. But... today they will face the former Top 10 participants, Japanese Emma Sh. (27 years old) and the oldest player in the tournament, Vera Z. (41 years old) from Russia. The latter, having regained her form, is determined to end her career with a memorable achievement. It's understandable that the locals would root for them, but the barrier is too high for them here.

Australian Open, mixed doubles, semifinals! Yesterday the "French" duo showed character, "rising" from a losing match, I believe they will continue to fight today. But... with the elimination of the "giant from El Salvador" and company in the men's doubles, this genre remains their last, from which no one can easily scratch them. The latter duo, with the 28-year-old Brazilian Luiza Stefani, who has a better season, I think the French have used up their win factor in this tournament and will be put in their place today.

Furthermore, the remarkably surprising Gaubas is playing very well on the hard court and is already a strong competitor in the second consecutive tournament. Gaubas is set to face his opponent Ferreira, who was already defeated by Lithuania in both 2025 and 2024 on clay. In his current great form, Gaubas has been able to beat many opponents who are significantly stronger than Portugal. The only player to beat Ferreira this season was Bolivia's tennis player, who was able to make 38 unforced errors. It's not realistic to expect such a result from the 2nd ranked player, just as Peru's Vilius shines brightly.

A successful tournament in Egypt and getting used to the surface of this tournament, and after going through the qualifiers from the Butvil side, everything seems good before the match with Mrva. In the previous season, Lithuania even managed to win against Czech Republic on clay, and now they will try to repeat the result against Mrva on their favorite hard court surface. Edu lacks stability, but currently he is in good form and confident in himself, and it is difficult for anyone to play against Lithuania, especially for an eighteen-year-old, so the odds seem quite high for our team.

I believe that Unicaja, who looks quite strong, will prove their superiority. In this season, Unicaja confidently won 22 points against the veteran team, Peru, at home in the ACB league. Juventut is an interesting team, but led by veterans, they do not seem as a very serious opponent for Unicaja even at home. Unicaja, aiming for their third title, realistically will not lose in the championship league, so I continue to hope that the streak will continue.

Greece is very difficult to play or even the most difficult in Europe. AEK has a very strong team this season and it is evidenced by their results and 6 consecutive wins and a clear victory in their Champions League group. Although it is not worth mentioning about the great AEK players, an important and noteworthy thing is that Nunnally is returning to the team. Having already played one game, James should now play more and clearly better. Alba is hard to predict and has weakened since the Euroleague times, and although the team's results are serious, they tend to struggle against weaker opponents, and their results are rarely positive when facing a serious challenge.

Perhaps statistically, these teams do not excel in the European Cup in terms of productivity, but they are capable of collecting solid numbers in their offense. The leaders of their group, Bourg, currently have 4 consecutive victories, and in these matches, they have scored a total of 96 points, with only 3 periods remaining and 19 overall points. The German club, as usual for clubs in this country, relies on offense and although they do not always manage to collect a lot of points, in this match it is likely that both teams will be running and collecting points, and I believe that the total line will be exceeded.

I think it will be a very fierce battle from Musetti's side. Plus, the handicap is worth its weight in gold, although I believe the Italian will still come out on top.

I support the opinion of my colleague who wrote before and I also follow the same path with Musseti. Why? Jocke is not in good condition. The Joker only remains a name and certainly is not in the same form as before and will not have healed all of his injuries. I remember the last match I took against him, I went with Vacheron and a 6 coefficient choice and I was not disappointed. I hope and I will not be disappointed now. Why Musetti? I watched him live during the tournament, he is in impressive form, I really liked his sharp slice, strong psychology, stable serves and resistance in stress points. I took him with Fritz without any doubt, and I will take a little risk with him in Paris, but hoping to catch a beautiful and very valuable coefficient. I believe he is ready to knock out the Joker tonight.

I believe that Djokovic is considered the heavy favorite today. He has reached the quarter-finals without facing any serious opponents, except for Mensik who I believe would have caused problems if he hadn't withdrawn from the tournament. Musetti has been playing well and has managed to defeat strong opponents. The high odds for Musetti are probably because he has never been an elite hard court player, but his game has greatly improved in these conditions. I think this match is 50/50, and if it goes to five sets, Musetti seems more prepared to play such matches, considering Djokovic's age as well.

I saw the entire Pegula match. It was not her victory, but Keys' defeat, where her failure and negative emotions helped her to end it herself, and Pegula was left to just represent. The same will not happen with Anisimova.

ITF in Fujairah, on a hard surface..

WTA Manila, hard.

WTA Manila, hard court.

The extremely poor form and difficulty in scoring goals does not give hope that Liverpool can crush the Qarabag team. Pre-season betting would have been very different, but Qarabag's impressive performance in the Champions League this season, not losing by more than 3 goals, makes it unlikely that Liverpool can change this statistical anomaly. Only managing to score 4 or more goals in a game once this entire season, Liverpool does not appear to be the strong favorite today.

With such poor form, Monaco shouldn't even stand a chance against Juventus. Monaco, looking very weak, will face a strong Juventus team, which has only lost twice in their last 19 matches. Juventus looks very good and when you see how the French play, it's worth choosing Juve.

Perhaps not the strongest, but solid Italian team Atalanta is known for their stability and good gameplay. Their opponent is easily overcome and realistically has no chance of advancing to the next stage. Showing one of the worst defenses in the Champions League, Royale club is a fairly strong underdog in this match and I believe Atalanta will need to prove their superiority.

Both Americans, Pegulas - 31 years old, Anisimovs - 24 years old. Both have significantly improved their game since 2025. Both show very beautiful tennis, of course the AO courts suit Anisimovs better, but judging from their head-to-head record and the fact that Amanda is younger, Pegula, who is known for her stability, could take advantage of that. The H2H record is 4:1 in favor of Pegula, and in their last exhibition tournament, Pegula showed her skills 😉

Rybakina Elena - 26-year-old from Kazakhstan. As far as I have been observing her, her confidence and stability began to decline at the end of 2025, when she needed to enter the final WTA top eight. Since then, her game has greatly improved, her confidence in her abilities has returned, and the Australian Open courts are practically Rybakina's. She serves a series of aces without even blinking. She wins points with her first and second serve so well that few can boast the same, against Mertens both serves are over 70%, against Valentova both serves are over 60%. Valenvtova, in my opinion, somewhat resembles Swiatek in her game, and I would even say she could give the Polish player a run for her money on hard courts.
Speaking of the Polish player, Swiatek is not suited to play on hard courts and other fast surfaces, and even at her WTA 2 ranking, she would drop 5-10 positions if she played on the popular hard court. Although the Polish player held the number one spot for a long time, she has never reached a semifinal in the Australian Open Grand Slam.
Overall, she has not faced any significant opponents in this tournament. When facing a tougher opponent on the hard court, her game completely falls apart, she can't even serve normally, it's a tragedy to watch. This has been the case on hard courts in all tournaments since the fall of 2025, and this year we can see the same in matches against Bencic without mercy, or against an unstable Gauff, where she has nothing to offer and just falls into despair.
This is a very risky bet.

Rybakina Elena - 26 years old from Kazakhstan. As far as I can tell, her confidence and stability started to return at the end of 2025, when she needed to qualify for the final stages of the WTA tour. Since then, her game has greatly improved and her confidence in her abilities has returned. And when it comes to the Australian Open, those are definitely Rybakina's cards. She serves aces without blinking. She is so good at winning points with her first and second serve that very few players can boast about it; against Mertens, both serves were above 70%, and against Valentova, both were above 60%. To me, Valentova's game somewhat resembles Swiatek's, and I would even say that she would give the Polish player a run for her money on a hard court.

Speaking of Swiatek, she cannot even think about playing on hard or other fast courts; she only reached the number 2 spot in the WTA rankings due to a mistake. In terms of her game on popular hard surfaces, she should stay in the top 5-10 at best. Even though she held the number one spot for a long time, she did not make it to the semi-finals of the Australian Open Grand Slam. Overall, she has not faced any serious competition in this tournament. When it comes to her game on hard courts, when faced with a tougher opponent who has a better serve, her game completely falls apart; she cannot even serve properly, and it becomes a tragedy. This has been the case on all hard courts since the fall of 2025, and we can see it in her matches against players like the relentless Bencic, or the unstable Gauff, who she cannot offer any resistance to and ultimately falls into despair.
A very big bet.

Although the dominant center and the defense against Rytas can do it boldly as he did in Manisa, the overrated line increases the desire for defense to fight more, even though they are players in different positions, but the main instruments play in the position of White, who started to dominate when Palemeris fell out, and when Palemeris returns, the selfishness in the defense will increase and I think they will not look for as much help in the front, where the advantage is not as clear as in defense. The talent may be similar to Gala in defense, but the height handicap should also influence the desire to punish Vilnius.

Even though its numbers in the LKL are modest, Fiba had a good start and had a significant impact in the game against Holon. Its size should increase the number of minutes this evening, as they will need to defend against taller defenders, such as Harding who is only good at scoring. Therefore, I believe there will be a bigger rotation among these defenders when solving the problems with taller opponents. Yes, Speedy may be slower today because of his mass, but his long arms, IQ, and court vision should still give him about 20 minutes. He can even provoke mistakes from the opponents, as it's hard to take the ball from a player like him with long arms. Therefore, the total also seems absurd, maybe around 9.5 points, but I am still considering it. Overall, I'm confident that Vilnius will produce those 7 points comfortably under this pace.

I would say that the main driving force behind this team is Harding and Walker, even though Harding stands out more in this duo. However, his points total is significantly higher than Walker's, so I lean towards Walker's over, which seems very appealing. Yes, a few days ago his Instagram post caused a stir and made me wonder if he really has such a narrow mindset, but we must look at basketball where he can confidently score 30 points with his playing style on a good day. It won't be easy, as Gala's defenders are practically all taller, but Walker has speed and the ability to make unexpected decisions, scoring three-pointers when no one expects it, much like players in the Euroleague such as Hifi, Howard, and others. So, I believe that someone scoring an average of 12-13 points can easily reach that total, even against taller opponents. My guess is around 18-20 points.

Pauliukevičius UTMA crushes all of his opponents with explosive force. Score 4-0, all of Peru is confident in knockouts, with great strength and aggression.

Although Šalkovskij's score 2-1 is not bad, especially considering the loss to Dirksčius, it still doesn't come close to what Pauliukevičius demonstrates. The psychological handicap is also clearly in favor of Ignas. The incident during the joint interview, when he hit Šalkovskij in the face, seems to serve him even better - it's clear that Šalkovskij is morally affected.

No matter how much Edvinas repeats that he is completely relaxed and not making a big deal out of his opponent, it's obvious that it's the opposite. This is not a healthy sports anger, but a nervous anger caused by fear. In one interview, Šalkovskij even said that he is going into the fight to "enjoy" it, and whatever happens - happens, and life won't end if he loses. Such attitude and talking about the possibility of losing, especially before a fight against someone like Pauliukevičius, will definitely not help him win. On the contrary.

Meanwhile, Pauliukevičius looks completely tension-free, but let's hope he will control his wild aggression before the fight. I understand that the odds for this bet aren't high, but they're still not bad for this event. I see no real chances for Šalkovskij to win - it's like a train against a muscle car. Both are tough, but the outcome is clear. Even the notorious Dirkstys, while being in the same studio with Pauliukevičius, shows respect and doesn't hesitate to acknowledge his strength.

Pauliukevičius may not be the brightest UTMA fighter, but the fight won't be played like a game of chess. And he has no shortage of aggression, strength, and self-confidence. The home arena and fans won't help Šalkovskij either, in fact, it may only strengthen Pauliukevičius' sports drive. Most importantly, "wanna be Tyson" won't knock out his opponent's ear or arm in the ring 😁.

IEM Krakow 2026 Stage 1

There is a psychological handicap for Pauliukevicius here. Salkovskis, although still upset about the trauma caused by that slap, could feel the strength of Ignas during their conversation. This is not the first time Salkovskis has encountered resistance from Dirkst, but this time there was also a strong opponent in the ring - Ignas. Ignas, on the other hand, participated, fought, and each time seemed to handle the pressure better. This should bombard Pauliukevicius with the Salkovskis case, and Edvinas will need to succeed in catching that one decisive blow.

Bucks leaving the East is a serious possibility, especially with such high odds. Giannis is having another incredible season and it doesn't seem like his form will decline. Ryan Rollins is becoming a great player. Kevin Porter Jr is not yet there, but he will be, and if we don't count his non-basketball related issues, he is a great player. AJ Green is a complete sniper who can make shots in every game. Myles Turner is struggling right now, but he will start making shots soon. The recipe for the Bucks is clear - Giannis is the main man and the shooters are placed around him, and with this team, it's possible to win championships.

The main contenders will most likely be Cleveland, 76ers, and Knicks, maybe even Orlando, but it's disappointing and unclear which of them will rise this season.

The West is very competitive. In the past years, it was not clear who would rank in the top 4 - 11.
The Spurs will still be in the mix, and the Rockets look strong. It's too early to count out the Kings.
Curry is 37 years old, Butler is 36, and Draymond is 35, so the core players are getting older and could potentially face the same injuries.

Milwaukee, with its rejuvenated team, currently looks very much alive, with Giannis continuing to improve as a player and proving to be a true leader, consistent, so I can easily imagine them in the top 4 of the regular season.

The Cavs are not convincing with 3.05, maybe they had a good start, but they collapsed in the playoffs.
76ers are above Orlando..
Knicks are definitely one of the options for second place with 4.6, but they still need to prove themselves in the playoffs.

Overall, my weak teams' championship looks promising this year. Despite their lack of experience in the championship, they often rise up to the Premier League. The rest of the teams don't have much chance unless these options occur:
Leicester - I believe they will bounce back, although they have struggled a bit. They still have a strong team and if they don't lose their morale after dropping down to the championship, I think they can definitely fight for promotion this season.
Middlesbrough - A good team in good form, nothing can stop them this season. I think they can definitely promote to the Premier League together with Leicester.
Coventry - Thanks to Lampard's magic, they have a shot at first place. I believe they have good chemistry and can rise to the Premier League, as long as they maintain their form.
In my opinion, these are the only options that can compete for promotion to the Premier league. The rest are either in bad form or good form, but I don't think they will last long. Leicester, on the other hand, is used to the championship and immediately bounces back to the Premier League. They have struggled with injuries in the Premier League but now I see that their players are no longer injured and in good form (sadly, some have left). But their main player, Abdul Fatawu (remember the name), can lead this team if he doesn't get injured. The team still has good players and promising talents, so I think they can continue their tradition.

401 coefficient

First long-term bet for the new full season. Chelsea's coefficient is still over 2, which means they will finish in the Top 4, and I have no doubts about that. Last season, they finished fourth and strengthened their team impressively at the end of the season. It was clear that this young team is a force to be reckoned with, winning two trophies and beating PSG gave them a lot of confidence going forward. So yes, Chelsea will play Champions League football, but in terms of the main competition for the fourth place, I see Newcastle as the main rival and I don't think they have strengthened enough to challenge for it. As for the other teams, United and Tottenham? United have made too much progress in just one season and Tottenham have a lower level than Chelsea, plus they are also in the Champions League. Aston Villa seems destined for relegation and I don't see any other contenders. Overall, I believe Chelsea is closer to joining the top three of Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool, rather than fighting for the Top 4 spot, which I don't see them achieving in the upcoming Premier League season.