The Polish coach trained the Hungarian team Szolnoki last season, so he has experience playing against Szombathely and knows a lot of players from this team. In the first game, the Hungarians won against Poland in a tough match, but the poor accuracy of the Polish team ultimately determined the outcome. In the 4th period out of 5, only 1 out of 6 two-point shots were successful. I think the level of the teams is very similar, so we can expect a tough battle, despite playing away.
It does not seem likely that there would be many points expected here, after a couple of away matches for Turk Telekom, but the opponents were of a different style. Aris is generally a defensive team, this season has been somewhat unstable and there have been some away wins, but the overall pattern has not changed for several years. Both teams are in a bit of a rut and to get out, they need to show their defense, as it is easiest to retreat with a series of losses. After a tough battle, Turkey won against Greece 63-68, and we can also expect a tough and persistent fight here.
It doesn't seem like we can expect a lot of points here after a couple of overtime games for Turk Telekom, but the opponents were of a different style. Aris is generally a defensive team, this season has been somewhat unstable and prone to overtimes, but the overall picture hasn't changed for years. Both teams find themselves in a tough spot and will need to show strong defense to climb out, as it's easiest to fall back with losses only through defense. Greece came out victorious 63-68 after a tough battle, so we can also expect a fierce and persistent fight.
A simple good work event with a respectable coefficient! Everything is on the French side: a home tournament, form, statistics. Nothing much to add here. I don't like dry Peru, so I don't recommend sets or negative points, because the coefficient is already decent.
Assessing the factors of surprise in this tournament, today I plan to go with a slightly more interesting choice with a huge value. Referring to statistics, it is clear to everyone that Kudermetova has a higher ranking, a better balance, and so on. But if we were to rely solely on statistics, then everyone would be a millionaire. For example, the case of Petra Martic showed that she had no motivation at all. We ask why all the stars withdraw from the tournament? One of the reasons is that when they sign up for the tournament and then do not show up, they are fined with substantial penalties, but it is not in their plans to continue playing in the tournament. Therefore, in this case, let's also try when Kudermetova played in the USA Midland tournament last month, in Dubai ITF tournament last week, and now just before Christmas in France, although not even Deichman, who had a week off and was neither injured nor exhausted, could fight when she took a set from Parks solidly. My hypothesis is that she may be a little tired and wanting to rest, especially before the holidays, so I am going with Peru by a small margin. A safer option would be +1.5 set.
Maccabi faces an unpredictable situation with the game. After a double week in the Euroleague, they will have another double week in their own league as they played a derby on Sunday and now have another game. This week they will play 4 matches (against France, Serbia, Israel, and after today's game they will fly to Germany). The pressure is very high and Rivero got injured again, but it is uncertain if De Julius will be absent.
Bayern had an easy match against Tau on Saturday where all the players got equal playing time and they have had 3 days to prepare for Maccabi. Bayern has won all 7 home games against Maccabi, as well as against Real Madrid, Olympiacos, Barcelona, and Paris. Napier did not play on Sunday, but his injury doesn't seem serious for the game against Tau.
I think it's time for the Paris Peru series to come to an end, as they are a team that plays based on emotions, and this opponent is relatively weaker, so there may not be the same level of intensity as against Lyon, Monaco and other elite teams. ASVEL is also having a good season and I believe they can win against Paris, especially since they are a familiar opponent to them.
We can talk a lot about Fenerbahce, Mourinho and their stars, but we must admit that many of them are at the peak of their careers. While Bilbao has young hungry and excellent players who show what they are capable of against Real Madrid. Bilbao is a great and very strong club that just needed to find their form at the start of the season and now they should be feared. Bilbao will not lose and Fenerbahce does not seem to be in great shape, so I think Bilbao at least Draw no Bet.
Monaco this season appears particularly confident and despite not being without losses, all matches are very intense and losses are experienced by a mere 1 goal difference. Arsenal is not the most stable club and though recent results may seem certain, Monaco has been a very unfavorable and strong opponent this season for everyone, so even in England I don't think Arsenal will secure a win decisively.
The weakest team in the league would face a tough challenge playing away against Atletico, who are in great form and score many goals. Recently, the Madrid club beat Sparta with a score of 6, and Valladolid with a score of 5, and in the cup they scored 3 goals. Their conversion rate is excellent and they understand the importance of the goal difference in the Champions League, where many teams could end up with the same number of points. 4 goals seems highly possible when playing at home against opponents from a higher level, and on average they concede 4 goals as well.
The Abejos team plays efficiently, scoring a high number of points in many games. Pinar collects an average of 81.5 points and Tenerife 81.3 points during the Eurocup stage, but their scores are significantly higher in local leagues. Both teams excel at collecting points, especially in good defense. Considering the playing style of both teams, I believe we can expect a high-scoring game in Turkey, just like in Peru. I am confident that Spain will also be the same.
The Polish team did not win a single game in the eurocup and I do not believe that they will win. The Italian team, with its excellent attacking basketball, is not likely to lose. Trento, who has not yet won away, may not be the safest option, but considering the odds, I don't think there is any doubt that this will not be a close match between equal teams. Therefore, I think the Italians must win.
Wreham, having not lost at home for a very long time, is now facing absolute outsiders here.
I think that a home win is almost guaranteed, but taking the negative handicap even yields over values.
They are first in terms of home wins, playing against the last team away.
I see this as a very easy victory.
Knowing that Real is currently looking quite blank and essentially from the start of the season, it has only performed well at home, even though in Madrid the game has started, it is not sticking as lately both Efes and Fener Ghana have dominated and taken over. Zalgiris has long had such a good chance to win Madrid, even though they also do not show stable playing, it is very rare for them to lose by a large margin, only once this season they lost by 8+ points and that was to Bask, against whom they had a 0-11 run in the last minute. I think Green will perform well here and everything will be settled in the end as always.
I don't see much chance that Lonnie won't stay with Žalgiris this season. The trade deadline is on February 6th, and the NBA regular season ends on April 13th. It doesn't make sense to go to the NBA for just two months, unless they offer a long-term contract, but the chances of that are very slim. The better option to get a long-term contract is still in the summer.
If Spirit had even an average major, they could have a high rating. There is a player who doesn't care whether the team wins or not, always has a super high rating and is considered the backbone of the team. Shiro has been in good form lately and also often has a high rating in tournaments. Spirit also likes to crush their opponents in bo1 matches, which again allows them to have a higher rating even if the tournament isn't successful. If we look at the statistics from this year, Spirit has a rating of 1.08, while Faze has 1.04.
If Spirit had an average major, they could have a high rating. There is a donk, who doesn't care whether the team wins or not, always has a super high rating and carries the team. Shiro is in good form lately and often has a high rating in tournaments as well. Spirit also likes to crush opponents in bo1 matches, which again allows for a higher rating, even if the tournament was not very successful. Looking at the statistics from early this year: Spirit 1.08, Mouz 1.06.
The level of the Euroleague is weak this year, there is no strong team to make it to the playoffs. Milan has already caught their rhythm, added Nico Mannion, and will soon have Nebo and Shields back. However, without him, the team might even look better, as Dane holds onto the ball too much and allows him to do so. Still, the coefficient is too high in any case.
I will share my long-term choices. The Bulls are highly valued here, DeRozan is no longer here, but he is already old and the question is how long he will last, the team has young and good players, LaVine will also have to play because no one wants to trade him until he proves he can lead the team to success. The weaker side of play-offs shouldn't be difficult to reach, there the odds are easy to cover, personally I see a lot of value here.
I will share a portion of my long-term choices. In order to exceed such a total team, you need to win +- every third game, for Detroit these numbers are definitely not a problem, while a losing streak is looming. The team's goal will once again be to shout, so no one will be waiting for Peru. It is very likely that the start of the season will be 0:6 as the schedule does not spare any of the top contenders. The team that does not want to win, but the previous season ended with 14 losses, is clearly too much.
I will share my long-term choices. The Bulls are highly valued here, but DeRozan has left and he is already at a certain age, so the question is how long he will last. The team has young and talented players, and LaVine will also have to play because no one wants to trade him until he proves he can lead the team to victory. They play in a weaker conference, so it shouldn't be difficult to reach the play-in tournament, where the odds will be easy to secure. Personally, I see a lot of value here.
I will share my long-term choices. Houston did not do anything during this offseason, therefore I do not see any opportunities for them to rise higher. The Clippers may fall out of the top ten, but Memphis should make a comeback. The West is just too strong for a team like this, even if they manage to make it to the play-in, it would be difficult to advance without experienced leaders.
Žalgiris (Užims aukštesnę vietą reguliariajame sezone) @2.000 8/10
The same shelf teams, with similar compositions, but this season Zalgiris has an over potential, with a slightly stronger composition. Zalgiris, due to their home atmosphere, has a chance to gain an over here, even though they are the underdogs. Bayern was quite passive in the summer and the only noteworthy signing is Napier.
Fenerbahce (Užims aukštesnę vietą reguliariame sezone) @2.300 10/10
I think the upcoming season will be tough, as friendly matches have showed. Atamanas is not known for long good streaks like Bartzokas or Saras, so his teams often have many setbacks, but Atamanas knows how to play crucial games, which leads him to the TOP4. Atamanas has not been aiming for the first place throughout the season. Pao's team will be greatly improved, as Grigonis also mentioned in his interview. I won't be surprised if the same thing happens to them as it did to Efes when they bought many stars. Sara is a better coach if we only consider one season. With Barca, he often finished first during the regular season. This year, they have brought in some new players and their roster is very deep, so I think Fene and Oly will be fighting for the first place in the regular season.
Olympiacos (Užims aukštesnę vietą reguliariame sezone) @1.800 10/10
Starting the season, I think it will be difficult, as friendly games have shown. Ataman doesn't stand out with long good spells like Bartzokas or Saras, therefore his teams have a lot of ups and downs, but Ataman knows how to play crucial games, which is why his teams make it to the top four. Ataman didn't announce his goal to finish in first place for the entire season. Pao's team will probably improve, as Grigonis said in an interview. I won't be surprised if they end up like Efes did, when they bought too many stars on top. Olympiacos, with Bartzokas' tactics, is a perfect fit for being the top team this season. The composition of Olympiacos is out of this world in all positions. Olympiacos has shown stability in the past few seasons and now the backbone has been maintained, with the addition of MVP and some youngsters who can make a bigger impact than Walkup.
In the Euroleague regular season, Kaunas Žalgiris will defeat Alba, Asvel, and Paris clubs (2024-2025 season) at home. This is a very interesting offer. Last season, Žalgiris was defeated by the bottom teams and lacked consistency. This season, the team has been put together well and it is a must-win to compete for a top 10 spot against these teams at home. All three teams will most likely share the final three places in the standings. The lineup for all three teams looks weak, with ASVEL possibly being slightly better, but they also have many issues.
Schedule:
Žalgiris - ASVEL 2024-12-20
Žalgiris - Alba 2025-02-04
Žalgiris - Paris 2025-03-13
But the German league has a long-term offer. Betting on Dortmund to win the league excluding the Bayern team is a good option. After the previous season, there are questions about how Bayer will perform, as often after a great season, teams struggle. The bet is not bad, especially because Bayern is not included. Dortmund is the second-best team in the league and has shown good results since 2018/2019, even finishing 2nd place 4 times. With such odds, I believe it is worth a try.
Atletico Madrid (win Atletico Madrid neįskaitant Real ir Barcelona) @1.720 8/10
The long-term offer of La Liga is 7bets, betting that Atletico will be champions, excluding the clubs of Real and Barcelona. The preparation in friendly matches has been very good and several players have been bought, with high goals set for the season. Other clubs are not able to compete with Atletico, even though they may be seen as competitors, as Atletico is clearly more capable. Since the 2011/2012 season, this bet has been won and only in the last season, the Girona club surpassed it, but they will most likely not be able to repeat their success due to selling most of their players and having a weaker team. Therefore, Atletico is the only real option for this bet.
However, the long-term offer of the French league
is very solid and no longer the most solid French club Monaco, after PSG of course.
Since the 20/21 season, Monaco has only missed the top 3 once, so I believe this coefficient is very high, especially considering Monaco's strong team. PSG is no longer an unbeatable force, so I see Monaco as their main competitors, especially for the top 3 spot. Monaco has retained almost the entire team, which is young and has played together, so I expect another good season from them.