Two very skilled coaches meet, whose focus is now on Europe, and even their teams, not in their best form, struggle with results. Barcelona is still tired, after intense double games last week, and they lack fast defenders. Unicaja doesn't have a good flow this season, and they also added veterans who are not necessarily suitable for a fast-paced game. I am looking forward to this year's tactical battle.
It is interesting what resources Monaco is preparing to assemble this high-quality team, which will run tirelessly and torment exhausted opponents. There is too much talent for me to not take advantage of the dire situation in Monaco, their focus being on Euroleague where it is necessary to fight for a spot in the top 10, as there will be no chance for them locally and they themselves understand that.
Everything is simple, but in a complete and tragic Kemzūra form, the last two before the cancer spent 92, then gargždam 89, so throwing with greens at 92 should be like a workout.
One of the most productive football-playing teams, Germany always promotes an offensive style of play. In this match they even scored 4 goals against the Swiss team, and now they have to score a lot of goals again at home against the Ghanaian team. The latter was already crushed by Austria 5-1, so scoring three goals should be quite easy for the Germans. In the 2025 World Cup qualifiers, the German team has scored 16 goals in 6 matches, showing that scoring 3 goals is quite a usual result for them.
In this match, Colombia lost to the Croatian team, while France defeated Brazil and played the majority of the second half with a disadvantage. The Super Squad of France gathered everything they wanted and even Mbappe played for the team. With this lineup, the French team can beat anyone and even with one or two goals conceded to Peru, it is still achievable for this team. I believe this betting option looks very attractive because France's offense can easily score three goals, while South American teams struggle against teams of this level and France themselves do not always keep a clean sheet.
These teams showed all their beauty in the first match, Bayern won 2-3 away, even though it could have been an over, as both teams hit the post three times. United will visit one of the best European teams with a deficit and a fighting spirit, while Bayern marches on... these girls have only lost once this season, in the first Champions League group match against Barcelona (7-1 considering their form this season is out of this world). Bayern has scored 3+ goals in 25 out of 33 matches this season, it's very difficult to stop these girls and United knows that, so they must be prepared to play an over.
In these first matches, these teams showed their full potential, with Bayern winning 2-3 away, although it could have been an even higher score as both teams hit the crossbar three times. United are traveling to face one of the best teams in Europe with a deficit, with the determination to fight for a win, while Bayern continues to dominate... This team has only lost once this season, in the first group match against Barcelona (7-1 when looking at their form this season, it's out of this world). Bayern has scored 3+ goals in 25 out of 33 matches this season, and it's very difficult to stop this team, which United knows very well. Therefore, the mindset must be focused on scoring as many goals as possible.
Until Jokič chooses triple doubles, he is given the opportunity to express himself in the offense and create chances for his teammates, a great opportunity to gather high-level players for this match. GSW is very vulnerable at the moment in their front line. Their defense is lacking and many injured players give players like Gordon a great opportunity to pick up points. I suggest a +17 margin and pushing for the maximum, as they will not have an equal playing field in my opinion, this is how much the game could end up being, or even closer to the basket.
No one will be guarding Jokic while he is choosing triple doubles, giving others a chance to show off in offense and creating opportunities for his team members. It is a great opportunity to pick high-quality players for this match. GSW is currently very vulnerable in the front. Their defense is weak and with many injured players, which gives players like Gordon an excellent chance to score points. I suggest going for +17 and pressing for maximum, as GSW will not have an equal court opponent. This is how this game can end and how close it can be to the basket.
Arsenal have caught a beastly form, last season Arsenal won the Champions League, but this season they started off poorly with many dropped points and unexpected losses. However, in the last 11 games they won all 11, including the Club World Cup finals. The first match between them ended with Arsenal beating Peru 3-1, and on Saturday Arsenal defeated Tottenham 5-2, saving their position. On Sunday, Chelsea barely won 4-3 against Villa (an extra rest day worked in Arsenal's favor). During this 11 game series, Arsenal beat Chelsea twice and City, two of the better teams in England.
One team left a good impression, while the other had great success. The Swedes performed professionally against Ukraine and won 3-1, while the Poles looked tragically and only managed to score one goal out of the many opportunities given by Albania. The Poles made many silly mistakes in defense, and Albania had three one-on-one opportunities but couldn't score. The Swedes won't waste such chances at home, Gyokeres seems to be in good form, scoring all 3 goals against Ukraine. I see Sweden winning 2-1 or 3-1, but the odds for Sweden's total are too sweet, which could potentially lead to a 2-2 draw or a 2-3 loss.
Although the Czechs and favorites are waiting for a fierce fight in the finals of the Euros. The Czechs barely made it to the quarterfinals against the Turks when they managed to come back from a 0-2 deficit and win on penalties, while the Danes very professionally dealt with the Macedonians at home with a 4-0 score. I take a gamble here because both teams have strong statistics and the fight is guaranteed. The Czechs have conceded 13 corners against Ireland, while they only took 6. The Danes took 13 corners against the Macedonians, 11 of which were converted into goals.
The Turks barely managed to secure a 1-0 victory against Peru before facing the Romanians, although it was supposed to be much easier. Meanwhile, Kosovo surprised everyone with a strong away performance, defeating the Slovaks 3-4. The Turks underperformed, while Kosovo overperformed, but this will be a motivation for both teams going into the final. The Turks will need to focus, while Kosovo will be fired up. Kosovo is a solid team on their home turf and rarely loses since 2022, while the Turks are a very solid and likable team that plays offensively. I see potential in both teams, but the Turks are the safer bet, with a possible score of 1-2 or 1-3 in their favor. However, I believe we can expect an exciting football match from both sides.
The Turks barely managed to defeat Peru 1-0 in their match against the Romanians, although it was supposed to be much easier. Meanwhile, Kosovo surprised everyone with a strong performance, winning 3-4 against Slovakia. The Turks underperformed while Kosovo overperformed, but both teams will be motivated going into the final. The Turks will need to focus, while Kosovo is fired up. Kosovo is a strong team at home and rarely loses since 2022, while the Turks are a solid and likable team that plays offensively. I see opportunities for both teams, and the top choice should be the Turks to win 1-2 or 1-3, but I believe we can expect an exciting football game from both teams.
Portugal has recently surpassed the group's team by winning 6 times and tying 1 in 7 matches, while Czech Republic is in the middle of the rankings with 1 win, 1 tie, and 4 losses in 6 matches. On average, Portugal scores 2 goals per match, while Czech Republic has an average of 4 goals. In this tournament, these teams have met 7 times, with 6 of those matches ending in 3+ goals, and the 2 matches played by Czech Republic resulted in scores of 2-4 and 3-0. A couple of days ago, Czech Republic lost to Germany 2-1 despite having opportunities to earn points, while Portugal defeated Switzerland 3-0.
Barca will be tired after such a schedule and match. The game was including overtime, so I think the seniors should receive more rest today than playing time. Unicaja arrives well-rested and I believe they will easily defeat the tired Barca, so the match will be resolved in just 2.5 periods. Parra should receive over 20 minutes of playing time, as he likes to make 3-pointers and is not afraid to take shots. The main basis for this bet is that the seniors will rest today, while Unicaja will easily win.
Bournemouth's youth team, one of the best in the league, suffered a painful 4-5 defeat in the quarter-finals against West Brom just a couple of days ago. Now they have a great opportunity to redeem themselves against a lower league team. In the two previous matches between the two teams in the last 2 years, Bournemouth came out victorious with a score of 4-3 and 6-0, with goals being scored in the very first period. In the first game, there were 5 goals scored, and in the second game, all 6 goals were scored in the first period. On average, Bournemouth has scored 3.9 goals per game, while Crewe has scored 3.8 goals. At home, Bournemouth has conceded an average of 3.6 goals per game, while away, Crewe's average remains at 3.8 goals. Both teams have a goal average of 4~, but the difference between them is astronomical - one at the top, the other at the bottom.
Barca will be exhausted after such a schedule and so many matches. The last one was played including overtime, so I think the veterans should get more rest today than playing time. Unicaja comes rested and I believe they will take advantage of a tired Barca, so the game will be decided within 2.5 periods. Parra should get 20+ minutes, he likes to shoot 3 pointers and is not afraid to take shots. The main basis of the bet is that the veterans will get more rest today, while Unicaja will have an easy win.
Just a couple of days ago, Bournemouth, one of the best youth teams, suffered a painful 4-5 defeat in the quarter-finals against West Brom, but now they have a great opportunity to redeem themselves against a lower league team. In the two games played between the two teams over the past two years, Bournemouth won both with scores of 4-3 and 6-0, with goals pouring in from the first period with 4-3 and 5 goals scored and all 6 goals scored in the first period with a 6-0 final score. The average number of goals per game for Bournemouth is 3.9, while Crewe has an average of 3.8, and at home Bournemouth concedes under 3.6 goals, while away Crewe maintains an average of 3.8 goals. Both teams have an average of 4+ goals, but the difference between them is huge, which is why one is at the top and the other at the bottom.
Sunderland has caught serious form, winning 8 out of the last 9 matches, scoring 2+ goals 7 times, 3+ goals 5 times, and 5+ goals 2 times. Reading is not a bad team, but they are extremely inconsistent, alternating 2 or 3 losses in a row throughout the season. As for the betting odds, Sunderland's matches average at 4.1 goals and at home, the total goes up to 4.9 goals. Reading's matches average at 3.1 goals and away, the average goes up to 3.4 goals. The goal balance is excellent for both teams as the location of the matches raises the total goals for both teams.
Value bet on Giedraitis, who averages 5.9 points in the LKL, but receives 4.5. Knowing that he will spend more time on the court, it is hard to believe that he won't score 5 points. On average, he makes 6 attempts during the game.
Zalgiris showed excellent form, gathering four wins in the last three Euroleague matches and one LKL game. And all of this within a span of nine days, which is a huge load for the team. I believe that in this meeting against Juventus, they will give a much-needed break to the starting five and allow Lithuania to fully showcase their talents. Today, Brazdeikis should play for about 20-25 minutes, and based on his statistics against Juventus, he rarely failed to score double digits.
Great Žalgiris cannot find any equal in LKL and when they have to play against a very favorable Utena team, they easily win with significant point differences. Žalgiris dominates over all teams in LKL, including Rytas, and whether it's a double or triple week, there would be no change in LKL. Juventus has been playing very poorly lately and the players don't seem to listen to Kemzūra. Historically, 90% of games are won by Žalgiris with a convincing margin against Juventus, and I believe we can expect the same again, as Masiulis knows how to motivate players to play successfully in LKL and our team can easily overcome this line in one period against the green and whites.
Another OVR choice with quite clear arguments. After a double week, the Milan team and not only one Euroleague team often play very effectively on their home front. The Milan team, with an average of 86.2 points scored, will play against Udine, who also know how to collect points - 82.6. Both teams have reached such a points limit in their first matches at the home arena of the Euroleague club, but seeing the results of the Udine team and the attacking style of the Milan club, I think this line is confidently Peru.
This situation is very similar to Burgos. Andorra also has something to offer in offense, but lacks good defense, and the Basques are very aggressive, even after double overtime and an extension. Hapoel had a strong attack, which was well utilized. Andorra struggles in every game, at home they fight against almost all teams, -5 against Real, win against Unicaja, and the majority of games end with either a close victory or a loss in the last moments.
It could be lacking freshness here for the Valencia team, and their form is not really improving, plus they are playing on the road in a double week. It's always difficult to play against teams like Burgos on the road, and after Euroleague games it becomes even more challenging. Burgos is a strong and fast-paced team, and in my opinion, freshness could be a decisive factor. Valencia is very strong on offense, but Burgos definitely has something to offer. They have won 5 out of 6 games at home this season. Every game is do or die, and the handicap seems a bit too high.
Stone-Carving World Championship for Men in the USA... both teams from the tournament, but without Peru. South Korea lost to Canada and the tournament hosts, while Czech Republic suffered two similar scenarios (opponents scoring points in the final minutes), narrowly losing 7-8 and 7-8 to representatives from China and Germany. I believe that the more experienced European players will prevail over Peru today.
A serious battle continues in the ACB league for playoff spots, with currently 4-7 places having an equal 15 wins each, including Barca and Unicaja. In the previous game, they suffered a heavy loss against Tenerife, not scoring at all, and dropped in the rankings, but they are still one of the strongest teams in the ACB. Barca is playing their third game in 5 days after a double week in the Euroleague, where both games were close and the second one went into overtime. Barca's older players are playing over 30 minutes per game, and double overtime will surely take its toll. The supposed leader, Punter, has been performing tragically, with only 10 points in the last 5 games. Unicaja had a rest period of 8 days and is gearing up for today's crucial game, not only because it's against Barca but also in terms of the tournament standings.
A serious battle is ongoing in the ACB league for playoff spots, with 4-7th places currently tied at 15 points each, including Barcelona and Unicaja. In their last game, Barcelona suffered a strong defeat against Tenerife without scoring a single point, dropping in the standings. However, they are still one of the strongest teams in the ACB league. It has been a tough week for Barcelona with two back-to-back Euroleague games, including a double overtime match. This could take a toll on their older players, who often play over 30 minutes per game. Team leader Punter has been in poor form recently, only scoring 10 points in the last 5 games. Unicaja, on the other hand, had 8 days of rest and preparation before today's important game, not only because they are facing Barcelona, but also for their place in the standings.
When I see that even small, but favorite Hapoel club has to face such a coefficient distribution. Although in the table Hapoel is at the same level as Panathinaikos, the former's game is currently slowly descending from the mountain, while the latter's game keeps climbing up the mountain and will likely reach its peak at the right moment. Therefore, the cost of this particular match is very high, as now both teams have 20 points each, but Hapoel will most likely play under. So the cost at the end could be such that this match will determine whether you make it to the sixth round and second place in the playoffs, or miss out on the sixth round and risk playing in the elimination round. Panathinaikos currently looks like a solid team, which will not take such risks and should be able to win such a match. Let's try with the Greeks.
Barcelona played two games this week against Efes and Zvezda, with Zvezda extending the game. Now, without having time to rest, the team will play against one of the top Spanish clubs, Unicaja, who have had 8 days to rest after losing 70-95 against Tenerife. It has been almost 3 years since Barcelona was able to defeat Unicaja with a difference of more than 6 points. Since then, the two teams have played against each other 8 times, with Unicaja winning 5 of those games.
If I had to pick a winner right now, I would probably choose Denmark. There isn't a clear favorite yet. Finland is currently in the lead, but not quite convincingly and personally I don't see them winning at the moment. The contest is still about a month and a half away, so the odds will continue to change.
From what I've heard, Denmark just gives off 'winner vibes'. Their performance is good, engaging, polished, and Eurovision-ready. I don't think there is much to change before the big Eurovision. The performer has a strong, confident vocal. The last minute is more energetic and well-staged, which allows for a more memorable performance at Eurovision.
For three consecutive years, the favorite song of the audience ranked very close to Peru and took 2nd or 3rd place:
2023 - Käärijä
2024 - Baby Lasagna
2025 - Tommy Cash
This year, the most joyful and possibly the audience's favorite song could be Greece. I don't know if this year's Greek song will be as successful as the ones mentioned, but it definitely has potential. The song is truly unique. As a plus, I see that this year there are more countries supporting Greece as usual in Eurovision. Romania and Bulgaria have returned. However, the number of countries from the Balkan region has decreased. This year, Iceland, Ireland, and the Netherlands are not participating.
A little drop was observed in Fenerbahce's stock after their defeat to Olympiacos, but to me it doesn't seem like a tragedy, rather an opportunity. Such losses are very likely and should only strengthen Fenerbahce as the season comes to an end. The team is trained by possibly the best coach in Europe, so I can't imagine the final four without Fenerbahce. Of course, the finals will take place in Greece and it won't be easy, but in the end, everything depends on my assumption that Fenerbahce has over 20% chance of winning the Euroleague.
Bucks leaving the East is a serious possibility, especially with such high odds. Giannis is having another incredible season and it doesn't seem like his form will decline. Ryan Rollins is becoming a great player. Kevin Porter Jr is not yet there, but he will be, and if we don't count his non-basketball related issues, he is a great player. AJ Green is a complete sniper who can make shots in every game. Myles Turner is struggling right now, but he will start making shots soon. The recipe for the Bucks is clear - Giannis is the main man and the shooters are placed around him, and with this team, it's possible to win championships.
The main contenders will most likely be Cleveland, 76ers, and Knicks, maybe even Orlando, but it's disappointing and unclear which of them will rise this season.
Outrights (NBA 2025/26 - To Reach the Playoffs - Golden State Warriors : NO) @6.000 4/10
The West is very competitive. In the past years, it was not clear who would rank in the top 4 - 11.
The Spurs will still be in the mix, and the Rockets look strong. It's too early to count out the Kings.
Curry is 37 years old, Butler is 36, and Draymond is 35, so the core players are getting older and could potentially face the same injuries.
First long-term bet for the new full season. Chelsea's coefficient is still over 2, which means they will finish in the Top 4, and I have no doubts about that. Last season, they finished fourth and strengthened their team impressively at the end of the season. It was clear that this young team is a force to be reckoned with, winning two trophies and beating PSG gave them a lot of confidence going forward. So yes, Chelsea will play Champions League football, but in terms of the main competition for the fourth place, I see Newcastle as the main rival and I don't think they have strengthened enough to challenge for it. As for the other teams, United and Tottenham? United have made too much progress in just one season and Tottenham have a lower level than Chelsea, plus they are also in the Champions League. Aston Villa seems destined for relegation and I don't see any other contenders. Overall, I believe Chelsea is closer to joining the top three of Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool, rather than fighting for the Top 4 spot, which I don't see them achieving in the upcoming Premier League season.
(Under 170.5) @1.900 8/10
(Away Under/Over Over 91 Zalgiris) @1.850 8/10
(Over 4.5) @3.400 7/10
Arsenal W (+0.5) @1.810 8/10
Over (Dovydas Giedraitis score 4.5+) @1.710 7/10
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