At the next level there is Jodar, who I believe will be a top 5-8 tennis player in the near future. Especially on the ground, he is an unbelievably good player who will soon be able to compete with both Alcaraz and Sinner. Darderi has gone far, but a lot of the game depends on serving, and Jodar's reception is very good and I think it is very logical for him to be in the top.
Everyone here understands that Alaves is the favorite and there's not much to say, but they will fight to stay in the league and according to all predictions, they will score. There will be a great atmosphere, fireworks, and so on. Barcelona often struggles away, while Alaves has been scoring an average of 2 goals at home recently. As I mentioned, Alaves is fighting for survival, so all they can do is stand and watch how Barcelona will play today and hope for the best.
The favorite here is clear to everyone, there isn't much to write about, but Alaves will fight for survival here and according to all predictions they will concede goals. A good crowd, fireworks, etc. are expected, and the experienced Sánchez Martínez (with an average of ~5.5 goals) will be in charge. Alaves will defend with 5 defenders against the fast Rashford and Bardghj, so the goals will come automatically.
Not a bad bet on cards for today. A defensive match is expected, with both teams set up in a way that there shouldn't be many goals here. Getafe is one of the most aggressive teams in the league, creating many chances. Referee Munuera has an average of ~4.5 cards, but knowing these hot-tempered teams, he will have to 'overdo' his stats 😄. Getafe has an average of ~2.8, while Mallorca has an average of ~2.1.
If Valencia wins tonight, it is most likely due to their playing style, which is fast-paced and high-tempo basketball. They have been playing in this style for several seasons now, and this season will be no exception. With this style, they have managed to win two games against PAO, but only lost at home with a Hayes' winner. PAO also does not play a defensive style of basketball, and their players are also skilled in playing this fast-paced game. It's not good for them at PAO if there is so much drama and talk surrounding them during the season. The two consecutive losses perfectly reflect this. I choose a better team, not a stronger one.
If Valencia wins tonight, they will most likely do so with their playing style, which is fast-paced and high-tempo basketball. They have been playing with this style for several seasons now and this season will be no exception. Using this style, they were able to secure 2 victories against Perugia, with the only loss at home being due to a winning shot by Hayes. PAO is also not known for their defensive style of play, and their players are well-suited for quick basketball.
The last two teams in the league have the worst offense in the league. In 6 league matches, the teams have only scored 6 and 5 goals each. Their defense is very poor and it's no surprise that they are at the bottom of the league, but I don't think we can expect many goals between these two teams. League newcomers Ljungskile have only had one match with a score as low as this, so the chances for under are high. Sundsvall, who are visiting, have let in a lot of goals, but when their opponents have limited attacking capabilities, we shouldn't expect many goals.
Great choice because of BTS. With Celtic's goal, it is practically calm here because there aren't many losses in our attack. There are many losses in defense, so it opens up the opportunity for our home team to score at least one goal today. In the last 5 matches, Celtic scored 15 goals. At home, Motherwell usually scores around 1.7 goals, and knowing that Celtic is without Vickers and their young goalkeeper Sinisalo will play, there should be at least one home goal scored in this match.
The Landspokal Cup final, in which the Copenhagen team not only has an advantage, but also must win in order to secure their place in the next season's European league. Despite performing well in the Champions League, Copenhagen surprisingly struggled in the Danish league at that time and are currently fighting for 7th place and a chance to play in the Conference League. The final is being played in Copenhagen's home arena and knowing their team's capabilities and motivation, they are clearly the favored choice for this match.
If it was hard for him to take his head out of the game with idiotic mistakes, then this total will go like butter. The swoop is not there, the shorts are unstable, so the responsibility falls on him. He should enjoy Game 5 and show class against Montero himself.
It is simply difficult for me to imagine this Final Four without Pao. It would be a crushing disappointment to lose after leading 2-0, and to allow such a comeback would be incomprehensible. Valencia is a well-oiled machine, but they lack experience in such high-level battles. Psychologically, the Spaniards should not be able to withstand the need to win, while Pao should take advantage of it individually - with Osman, Nunu, and Hayes.
In all of the last 3 games, there were a lot of points scored in the playoffs. Teams focused on offense and they showed it well, so the playing style will not change in the last game. Even though the pressure is higher, the view must remain the same, and when there are so many great point scorers on the teams, it is no wonder that this point race will continue.
Despite struggling against Everton, Man City did not defeat them and the hope for the title is fading. In order to think about the EPL title and hope for Arsenal's defeat, Manchester City must prepare for various scenarios, with one of them being a better goal difference. Crystal Palace is the weakest team of the remaining matches, so it seems like better conditions to improve their goal difference, as they will most likely have a hard time against Bournemouth or Aston Villa. CP is calm about their fate in the EPL, and they still have the Conference League final to look forward to.
France once again sent a top-level performance this year. The country is already prepared to win. I believe this is a good choice. The biggest favorites are considered to be Finland, Denmark, Greece, Israel, Australia, and France.
I don't think Greece has much of a chance with their performance, even though such songs often receive a lot of attention, they usually don't end up in top positions.
If Israel were to win, it would definitely shock Eurovision. Although their performance is good, it is difficult to attract the attention of the audience and there are also political aspects to consider.
Australia sent a strong performance and will likely receive many jury votes, but it may not connect with the audience.
That leaves Finland, France, and Denmark. I think Finland is overrated this year and may end up around 4-7th place. I have nothing bad to say about Denmark and I believe they truly deserve to be considered one of the favorites. And finally, there is France, with odds as high as 15. It is unlikely that any other country from this top six will surpass them, maybe Romania, but not for first place.
Overall, I believe France is underrated this year and has a higher chance of winning than 6%.
The second semi-final is much stronger than the first, I don't see anything that could attract the audience in this performance in Cyprus, let alone the jury, unless the sound of a gypsy song could gather some votes from Romania and Bulgaria, as Greece will not have anyone voting for Cyprus. There are many stronger countries that deserve to advance. Unfortunately, Cyprus did not make it to the final.
This young player, Jodar, who has made a breakthrough this season, was recently far from the ATP top 100. Although he has been having a breakthrough season, he has defeated players such as Zverev and Paul at home and showed his potential, but is highly underestimated compared to Jodar. The Italian player is better on clay and when he starts playing well, he can beat anyone, and in this form it is highly likely that he will play well from the beginning and should win.
The city is fighting for the title, but for now everything is in Arsenal's hands. However, the pressure on Arsenal to play at an equal level will not be stopped by City's 1-0 lead. Palace is dancing across the league, they are safe + waiting for the 2nd place in the Conference final. In their encounters, these two teams constantly lead to very beautiful matches, even 10 out of the last 11 ended with 4+ goals.
Serbia is my dark horse of the year. It will be the only heavy metal performance in Eurovision. This mystical performer attracts attention and roars as needed. I believe he will find my voter among the audience. Hopefully, the judging committee will also give some votes. Furthermore, I think Balkan neighbors will support each other as always. A good option is admiral casino @2,75 for reaching Top 15 in the finals.
Celtic continues to strive for the title of champions, facing the team of Nepal Hearts. The regular Scottish champions will determine everything in the final round, but for these games, they only need to face Peru, which is a very favorable opponent for them. The Motherwell team realistically has no chance of rising, and even lower-ranked Hibernians are from another round. Celtic, with their excellent form, great game, and most importantly, the motivation to win the title, should come out on top.
During 9 mutual games, Inter celebrated Peru 7 times and never lost. Inter even defeated Lazio 0-3 away just a few days ago, and now, facing Roma, Inter looks convincingly once again. After a couple of seasons without the Italian Cup, Inter seems like a very confident favorite to reclaim the title and easily defeat Lazio.
After the commission returns, I believe the Czechs should be drawn much higher in this semifinal. They should also receive audience votes. The song is good, the performer sings beautifully, everything is on point. Difficult notes are hit. There is a poor quality live performance video, which should attract attention because I think the odds have been significantly raised, since there is only an official music video and if the live performance doesn't live up to expectations, it would be a shame.
I think Finland should flop this year. The bookmakers haven't been accurate with the winners in recent years. I don't know who will win, but Finland doesn't seem to be standing out. The song is soft, the violin is pulling, but there's nothing impressive about it that other violinists couldn't do. The performance is half-hearted, but the top 3 doesn't appeal to me.
When entering the final, the coefficient should drop. A lot depends on Lion himself, as his performance and song have a lot of potential, but he needs to push himself. The performance stands out among many bad and very bad ones this year. Recently, Lithuania has been gathering quite a decent amount of points, and I hope for at least a 15th place this year.
My favorites for this year's Eurovision are Denmark. Their voice and performance are great, capturing everyone's attention from the first second and keeping it until the end. They should receive a solid amount of votes both from the jury and the audience. The current top competitors among bookmakers are Finland and Greece. Finland is quite a surprise for me. They also have a good voice and show, with the addition of a violin.. but in my opinion, their performance is not at the same level. It's somehow hard to understand why they are such confident favorites. As for Greece, I think they can rely on the support of the audience, but I doubt they will be understood by the jury, and I don't believe they will receive enough votes.
These are similar arguments as with Bulgaria, only this song has an even weaker potential for the televote. The second semi-final has many strong songs, strong ballads. The ballads will gather the jury's points. This is an energetic, fun performance, personally it doesn't really captivate me. I don't see the jury giving many points to this type of song. If it makes it to the final, it will only be thanks to the televote. But I believe there is no shortage of suitable songs in this genre, for example, Bulgaria, Norway, Cyprus, and all of those songs are better, more memorable.
A difficult to predict series, but I still believe in the magic of the chieftain and that he will be able to lead the team to the final4. However, the experience in such situations, the players' mastery is crucial, and I believe that the coach's fate will be decided. If we lose, I think it will mean dismissal for the chieftain after the season. Otherwise, it is hard to imagine that such achievements would satisfy a team with such a budget.
I think this guy is great for Europe. Of course, it will be difficult to beat Israel in the Eurovision, but I think this performance will be very popular in the eastern bloc. And a 25 coefficient is definitely worth throwing some euros.
The Malta coefficient for qualification has recently dropped, so it's worth trying this coefficient. Some ballads might not make it to the final. According to the odds, Latvia has a good chance. I thought maybe Czech Republic might flop, but the artist has a strong vocal and performs well live, so the jury will probably appreciate it. I don't know about the Maltese song, it's average. Historically, people don't vote strongly for Malta. It's a jury song. It will definitely receive points from the jury, but the second semi-final is very strong. There are also many ballads in the second semi-final and most of them are strong. So if Malta doesn't get many televote points, the jury points might not be enough for qualification.
I believe that Sweden is the dark horse in this year's Eurovision. Sweden always receives high scores, and this year they have sent a song that is more geared towards the youth, but this style of music should ultimately make its way to Eurovision. It stands out among the trash of this year. The visualization, in my opinion, is the best.
I'll start with the positives. There will be many ballads in the semi-finals. The song and performance are energetic and that could help it stand out. However, at the same time, most ballads are of a very high level and will gather a lot of points from the jury. Bulgaria will probably not receive many points from the jury and will qualify for the final thanks to the televote. The performer also feels comfortable on stage, moves well, and sings live confidently.
I personally view the song in a negative light. To me, it's a bit of a chaotic mess. It seems like the tempo of the song changes every 20 seconds. The song itself may be listenable, but the chorus, where the word "bangaranga" is repeated, is just grating on the ears. Bulgaria qualifying for the final would not be a surprise, but in my opinion, the song's chances are not very good.
Places 11-15 would be a great achievement for Lithuania. In the post-Covid Eurovision, Lithuania usually occupies around those places. Last year, we couldn't reach the top 15, only achieving 16th place. I believe Lithuania is a better country than we are credit for and are often overlooked. In the last 2 years, our performances and songs have received a lot of hype, but somehow resulted in underperformance. This year, we are not seen as potential high achievers, but our song and performance have the potential to achieve a decent result.
The song itself is not great, we must admit. But it is suitable for Eurovision performance. Lion himself is artistic, and the stage becomes a theater, making the song more interesting. Plus, the image helps to stand out. Historically, Lithuania does not perform well with juries, but a performance like this could earn us a lot of points.
Valencia is simply playing well this season and secured second place in the regular season. In the playoffs, home advantage will be important and Valencia will have it. Spaniards are difficult to beat when playing in their home fortress. This season, they have only lost 3 times.
I have already written about Sweden in my other prediction. I think it is very realistic to make it into the top 10. The song should be in the top 10 for both the jury and televote, and that should be enough for the final table. Historically, Sweden receives a lot of points from the jury. Maybe not all juries will give points for this genre, but there will be juries that will appreciate the Swedish quality. I would also say that the song is suitable for televoting because it is an EDM song, a party song that makes people dance. So it will also receive a good amount of votes from the televote.
If I had to pick a winner right now, I would probably choose Denmark. There isn't a clear favorite yet. Finland is currently in the lead, but not quite convincingly and personally I don't see them winning at the moment. The contest is still about a month and a half away, so the odds will continue to change.
From what I've heard, Denmark just gives off 'winner vibes'. Their performance is good, engaging, polished, and Eurovision-ready. I don't think there is much to change before the big Eurovision. The performer has a strong, confident vocal. The last minute is more energetic and well-staged, which allows for a more memorable performance at Eurovision.
For three consecutive years, the favorite song of the audience ranked very close to Peru and took 2nd or 3rd place:
2023 - Käärijä
2024 - Baby Lasagna
2025 - Tommy Cash
This year, the most joyful and possibly the audience's favorite song could be Greece. I don't know if this year's Greek song will be as successful as the ones mentioned, but it definitely has potential. The song is truly unique. As a plus, I see that this year there are more countries supporting Greece as usual in Eurovision. Romania and Bulgaria have returned. However, the number of countries from the Balkan region has decreased. This year, Iceland, Ireland, and the Netherlands are not participating.
A little drop was observed in Fenerbahce's stock after their defeat to Olympiacos, but to me it doesn't seem like a tragedy, rather an opportunity. Such losses are very likely and should only strengthen Fenerbahce as the season comes to an end. The team is trained by possibly the best coach in Europe, so I can't imagine the final four without Fenerbahce. Of course, the finals will take place in Greece and it won't be easy, but in the end, everything depends on my assumption that Fenerbahce has over 20% chance of winning the Euroleague.
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(Sets -1.5 Rafael Jodar) @112 10/10
(Valencia) @-133 8/10
Over (4.0) @181 8/10
(TOP 10 Finale) @600 4/10
(Winner came from SF1) @-154 7/10
Malta (To Qualify - No) @350 2/10
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