Both sides have already clinched qualification, however the famous clubs Ajax and Bayern still have a 1st place to play for in Netherlands. Bayern are currently top of the group with 13 pts while Ajax have 11 pts and sit 2nd. Anything other than a loss would keep Bayern at the top and anything other than a win is not good enough for Ajax here. Ajax have been quite dominant at home this season and have managed to pick up a 1-1 draw at the Allianz arena earlier this season therefore this shapes up to be quite an interesting and an entertaining games between two strong attacking sides.
Key Facts
Ajax have won 11 straight home games across all competitions this season. Their only dropped game this season was a draw on opening day in Eredivisie.
Ajax have won all 4 home games in Europe this season scoring 10 goals (2.5 per game).
This season, Ajax have scored 3+ goals in 9 of their 12 home games. They’ve scored a total of 37 home goals (3 per game).
Ajax have currently won 5 straight games across all competitions scoring an incredible 21 goals!
As incredible as their scoring record is, Ajax have kept 9 clean sheets in 12 home games (3 in 4 European home games) this season!
Ajax have kept a total of 3 clean sheets in the 5 UCL group stage games.
Oddly, Ajax have only had 1 game with over 2.5 goals in UCL this season and 4 unders.
Dusan Tadic has already scored 14 goals and delivered 11 assists (25 direct goal contributions) in 26 apps for Ajax this season.
Ajax have seen 14 bookings in UCL this season (2.8 per game).
Bayern Munich have better away from home this season as they’ve won 9 of their 11 away games across all competitions (2L). They won both of their away games in UCL against Benfica and AEK by the same 0-2 scoreline.
Robert Lewandowski is a tied UCL top scorer this season with 6 goals.
Robert Lewandowski has scored 8 goals in his last 6 apps for Bayern across all competitions.
Bayern have scored 2+ goals in 9 of their 11 away games this season.
Bayern have scored 2+ goals in 11 of their last 12 away games in the Champions League.
Bayern have currently hit some good form having won 3 straight games and scoring 10 goals in this run.
Bayern have scored 15 goals in their last 5 games (scored 3+ in 4 of those games), but they’ve only managed 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals in this run. Red hot attack, poor defence.
Each of Bayern’s last 5 games seen over 2.5 goals.
Just like Ajax, oddly enough Bayern have only had 1 over 2.5 goals game in the Champions League this season (4 unders).
Bayern have only seen 7 bookings in UCL this season (1.4 per game).
Team News
Ajax: The only absentees that Ajax have for this game are Joel Veltman and Hassane Bande who are both out for a long time. Ziyech and Schone have been dealing with injuries but are expected to be fit to start here. Expect Ajax to field quite a strong team with most stars in the line-up for this tie.
Bayern Munich: Tolisso, Robben and James Rodriguez are the only absentees for Niko Kovac’s side for this game. We could see some rotation with the likes of Thiago, Sanches, Hummels looking to make starts but don’t expect too many changes as Bayern are currently carrying some good momentum plus they need a result to protect the 1st place.
Betting Tips and Predictions
This game should surely provide us goals. Yes, both sides have had a lot of games with unders but when you have a poor AEK side and Benfica who aren’t playing well it becomes tough to have overs. The first game between these sides had an under so it’s only right that we see a goal fest here. Ajax score incredible number of goals at home this season, Bayern tend to play better away from home themselves and recently they’ve been absolutely on fire themselves. 21 goals in last 5 apps for Ajax, 15 in last 5 for Bayern says it all really. Now Ajax have defended well, but stopping this Bayern attack won’t be easy and vice versa with Bayern’s struggles defensively, Ajax will punish them a few times too. Over 3.0 goals at 1.92 is our pick here in terms of goals, can even take the riskier 3.5 over at 2.45. In terms of a winner it’s a hard one to predict. Bayern are better on paper, but Ajax have been quite incredible let’s not forget they snatched a draw at Allianz and with the way they’re playing at home this really makes it a 50/50 game. We anticipate a 2-2 draw in this fixture therefore we’ll stay away from match result bets. Tadic to score at 3.75 anytime is a good value bet given his record this season, also expect Lewandowski to bag at least one and he’s priced at 1.84 to score.
Match Odds (Unibet)
Ajax Win – 3.90
Draw – 3.80
Bayern Munich Win – 1.98
KICK OFF – 12th December 2018 – 8pm UK Time
