WTA Oeiras, indoors hard..

WTA Oeiras, indoor hard court..

Two very poor defenses meet here in the Swiss league, Zurich 45 Luzern 46, having conceded the most goals this season after 24 rounds, with both teams in particular struggling defensively. Luzern games have seen an average of almost 4 goals scored, with a total of 44 goals scored by them, while Zurich have scored 36 (an average of 1.5). Zurich have been particularly prolific at home this season, with 45 goals scored in just 12 games, but their defense remains equally poor regardless of where they play. It seems like a match where both teams should score at least a couple of goals and the game should be open, as neither team can afford to lose, with the bottom of the league being too far off and still a chance to make it into the top 6.

Sasnovich Aliaksandra - a 31-year-old Lithuanian, not known for great stability, but too many factors add up to not bet on her. Her recent loss in the H2H match in Abu Dhabi 0-2 shows a clear undervaluation - she had a tough three-set match before that against Hon, and had plenty of break point opportunities, but just couldn't take advantage of them. Another thing is that she tends to perform well in the first or second round matches, as shown by her current results against Peru's Tauson, Snigur, Badosa, and a close match against Eala. She often manages to advance to the second or third round in Grand Slam tournaments, and in this case, she also has the added motivation of not having played in the Doha and Abu Dhabi tournaments beforehand.
Kartal - a 24-year-old with slightly better form, reaching quarter-finals in Auckland and Abu Dhabi this year, but also without any particularly outstanding wins - perhaps against Tjen or Bucsa. In bigger Grand Slam tournaments on hard court, they have only played in the first round, so this could significantly decrease the chances for the English player. For security, I will also take +1.5 sets for the Lithuanian.

Sasnovich Aliaksandra - a 31-year-old Belarusian who is not known for great stability, but there are too many factors falling in her favor to not bet on her. She was notably undervalued in her recent match against Abudabi, where she lost 0:2, despite having had plenty of break point opportunities and putting up a tough fight against Hon prior to that. Another factor is that she tends to perform well in the first or second round, as shown in her matches against Tauson, Snigur, and Badosa, and her close match against Eala. She also often reaches at least the first or second stage in Grand Slam tournaments, and her motivation appears to be high for this tournament, given her previous successes in Doha and her head-to-head record.
Kartal - at 24 years old, his form is slightly better, having reached the quarterfinals in Auckland and Abu Dhabi this year, but there have been no outstanding performances. He may have beaten Tjen or Bucsa, but in larger Grand Slam tournaments on hard court, he has only participated in the first stage a few times. Therefore, there is a clear advantage for the Belarusian. I will also take the +1.5 set bet in favor of the Belarusian for insurance.

I have a difficult time picking the chances for the Bremen team here, so I am trying a larger Bayern handicap. Bayern has started to shift up a gear in the title race, scoring points and now have a +3 advantage over Dortmund with a game in hand. The fact is that Bayern will have to shift into even higher gear and they proved this last week with a 5-1 win against Hoffenheim, who are currently ranked third. I don't think anything will change this weekend, as they visit Bremen who have not won since the beginning of November and are at the bottom of the league with very little confidence. There is no need to mention Bayern's offensive potential, as they average almost 4 goals per game in the Bundesliga. Knowing that they will also face Dortmund next weekend, it seems clear that Bayern will be shifting into high gear not only to increase their lead at the top of the table, but also to send a message to their opponents ahead of the important derby next week.

The two most productive Serie A teams meet in Milan today for a very important match for both teams. I am trying for both teams to score, although there is some risk with Serie A teams and strikers, I believe they both have something to offer here. There is no need to talk much about Inter, they have 57 goals in the season after 24 rounds, 33 of which were scored at home, with 12 wins in the league. Now Inter is in great form and with their attacking potential, I have no doubt that they will have a lot of chances to score at San Siro, especially against Juve. Under Spalletti, Juve has scored over 22 times in 18 matches against this coach in all tournaments, and on average, they manage to score a couple of goals. Another thing is that even though Inter has one of the best defenses in the league, in important matches, they can still concede goals. They conceded 4 goals against Juve, who have scored a total of 5 goals against Napoli, lost 0-1 to Milan, and conceded 1-3 to Arsenal and 0-1 to Spurs in the Champions League. In important matches this season, Inter hasn't performed well and has conceded goals, so I fully believe that Juve, with their revived attack, will score at least once here.

It is almost impossible to get such a coefficient for the Fenerbahce team from Turkey and it is worth choosing this team specifically against another good team, Trabzonspor. While Trabzonspor has its own strengths, the team falls short in comparison to the masterful vice-champions, who are super cup winners and have defeated Galatasaray. Both teams are in good form, but Fenerbahce is significantly superior and must prove its superiority.

The coefficient is very high for the well-formed and significantly stronger Braga team. Currently, the Portuguese team Braga, which is looking better, is much stronger than Vicente, even if they are in a position below them. The group stages of the Europa League were successfully overcome and now Braga looks great in Portugal, so I hope for good football from Braga in the weeks to come.

The dominant Bayern from Germany is playing away against one of the weakest teams of this season. After scoring almost 4 goals per Bundesliga match, Bayern must crush Werder, whose form has been particularly poor and the Greens have only won in November. Bayern is again dominating after some weaker matches, so the handicap should be significant.

Another secure option for today. Milan, currently in second place, is still trying to catch up to Inter, and their lack of participation in Europe shows that they always have a motivated attitude and can score goals. Pisa is the second worst team in the league and only won their last match in November, so it's clear who should be celebrating. I think we can go with a small disadvantage here, as Milan tends to score goals, and Pisa's team typically concedes an average of almost two goals in the league.