Although it is not recommended to take points away from Newcastle, 2 solid away wins in a row give hope for a positive result from the English club. Qarabag's strength was finally shown when they were crushed 6-0 by Liverpool at home. The English club is significantly stronger and with their mentality being at its peak during knockout rounds, we can expect success from the English team.
Although the Norwegian club is only based on goal scoring, a slow game is expected against Italian Inter. Inter controls the game almost against every team, so a calmer game is expected, especially when in recent years the first elimination matches have had low scoring. Bodo doesn't have a normal form, so I expect a tough match with a low number of goals.
In this season of the Champions League, we have already had a match between these teams in Greece, where the score ended 2-0 in favor of the Greeks. However, according to xG, Bayer should have scored 2-3 goals, so the Greeks won't be lucky a second time. Bayer doesn't seem as strong this season as usual for German clubs, as they tend to play an attacking style of football and concede goals. Therefore, I believe we will see goals from both teams.
Although two strong Romanian teams are facing each other, Cluj's dominance in Romania is greater than that of Zalgiris in the LKL, which says a lot. Even though Oradea, which was eliminated from the FIBA Eurocup, does not have the same roster as Cluj, who are even among the top teams in the ABA league, it is certain that they will celebrate the victory with a significant margin.
Two strong performances from one of the best teams in Germany show that Wurzburg is back in form. The recent Lowen team, even at home, is far from being as capable as Wurzburg. Having broken their streak of 7 losses, Lowen should once again be defeated. In Europe, Peru must be taken more seriously and played with greater determination in the league.
Finally, we have a normal line-up again when Žalgiris plays. Now that we don't have to play in the Euroleague, we can expect better performance and dominance from Žalgiris in the LKL. The Kėdainiai club will be missing one of their leaders and it's time to defeat a weak LKL team, and Žalgiris is in a very favorable position in this situation.
I believe that the over 167.5 in this match seems reasonable, as "Nevėžis" often forces their opponents into a more open scenario - their season profile is clear: they score an average of ~82 points, but also allow ~90 points. Recently, "Žalgiris" has also had a higher overall average, and if there will be an over rotation and tightened defense, the pace will naturally increase. 167.5 does not seem like a high barrier to me, especially if "Žalgiris" quickly gains an advantage and the game turns into a more free-flowing points race.
Krilavicius did not convince me with his kickboxing skills, poor technique, strikes with great power, often without accuracy. Big strikes also open up gaps in Krilavicius' defense, which even someone like Oskaras Buinickas used in his last fight. For Peru, such moves by Krilavicius and taking risks look favorable. Peru has a very good bank, Krilavicius has not had an opponent with such strikes in UTMOJ yet. I think the odds are worth the risk.