It is very important for Zalgiris to win the first game and put psychological pressure on Fener, I think these are the crucial series games because it is unclear what their current form is, but if they played in the Turkish championship without saving themselves, then their form is not very good and on top of that they have injuries. In Zalgiris, I believe the players will have a double motivation when they didn't receive the MVP. It is important not to burn out from that great desire.
The regular season matches of Zalgiris were confidently won from the side of the Valencia team. The Spanish club is in very good form and they only interrupted their 8 game winning streak in the last match against Real Madrid. The team is in great shape, and the home-court advantage is crucial for them. Although Pao has improved their game, playing away is still difficult for them, and they seem unable to keep up with the speed of the Valencia team. The first match should be in favor of the Valencia team.
Unexpectedly, Žalgiris, having beaten Fenerbahce club at home and away, must put up a strong fight in the playoffs. 165 and 174 points scored away show that we can expect high-scoring basketball from both teams, as this is advantageous for Žalgiris and the Turkish club also has super players in their offense. The Turkish club has regained their self-confidence and I believe they will be well-prepared, but considering the playing style and offensive capabilities of both teams, this should be another high-scoring game.
On this day, I give the advantage through my eyes to the representative of Paraguay, who neatly passed through the qualifiers and continues his streak in the tournament by defeating tough players Dima and Tien, the latter known as a tough player, but with a famous name nonetheless. After a great week in Germany, and despite the loss in the final, he will have a difficult battle with Carabbeliu, yet they managed to reach Peru. I believe the match is 50/50, so I have decided to choose a higher coefficient.
The coefficient for the young Norwegian is simply excellent, who brought a slap in front of the period days. The move to Madrid is going incredibly well, he feels the rhythm, and has good control of the ball. The Russian is not at all a clay court player, as he has proven once again this season, and his failure with a score of 60 60 against a nobody is more terrible than terrible. There have been some signs of recovery after defeating Marozana, but I wouldn't be too excited about it. A tough match against the Spaniard for the tough player, while the Russian is chosen.
Although the Greek has won the last 2 matches, he did not convince me that he is returning to the top level in which he was before. He looks tragic in my eyes, with slightly less positivity than before. The question is whether this positivity will be enough to defeat the local hero Merida, who is collecting victories in Peru one after another and appears to be in great shape. It is still doubtful if the Greek's form will make me choose the Spaniard with a very good odds.
In this hard-hitting duel, I choose the Russian, who in my opinion is more consistent, makes fewer mistakes, has more experience and is a much more reliable choice with a good coefficient. In my opinion, the Lithuanian is a bit weaker and not as powerful as it may seem on paper.
Semifinal in the Latvian league, currently in the series VEF leads 1-0, they won the first match on their home court 87-76, with a close battle throughout three periods. This series looks to be challenging for both teams. Ventspils now has their home court advantage, which evens the chances between the clubs and makes this match a 50/50. Don't miss the opportunity to bet on the home team with a 2.75 coefficient.
Over (Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) over 5.5 1-asis periodnys - points) @130 4/10
If I calculated correctly, in the first series Ayo threw 6, 5, 7, and 9 in the first period. Now, with both AntMan and DiVi probably out, Ayo's value in the team is very high. He should be the leader among the defenders, so if he had an average of 6.75 points in the first periods under worse conditions, then a 5.5 point offer would be a very good value for scoring.
Although Bayern is one of the top offensive teams in the league with an average of 88.1 points, they are also a strong defensive team, allowing only 74 points per game. Rostock is fighting for a spot in the playoffs, so they will not be coming to just play around. Bayern tends to have longer possessions and as a result, they have one of the lowest numbers of average shot attempts in the league - ranking 16th out of 18 teams with only 63.6 shot attempts per game. The home team's style and pace will dictate the game, so I do not expect a high-scoring game. When these teams last met on December 31, they only scored a total of 152 points. Despite being eliminated from Euroleague, Bayern is currently focusing more seriously on their Germany league matches and is giving a strong fight for the over. Rostock currently has a losing streak of 4 games, but has been playing with a high-scoring style, so we can expect a similar game in this matchup as well.
Rytas continues its home streak and hosts the strong Siauliai team. After the KMT, Rytas has been playing very productively in all LKL games and only in one game against Žalgiris, without their leaders, they scored over 175 points. A good stretch and recently played head-to-head game against Siauliai, where the home team won 107-90, shows that these teams are in for another interesting and high-scoring basketball match. In this season, the teams have already met 5 times and in the first one, they scored a total of 173 points, while in all the others, it was over 179 points. The game will take place in Rytas arena, where the home team always looks very powerful in offense, so we can expect another high-scoring game between these teams.
During the last 5 games, the team has lost 4 matches, and this may affect Atalanta, who is fighting for a spot in next season's European tournaments. Cagliari may have an easier time recovering and securing their spot in the league, as they have a higher point total. Atalanta is not in top form this season and has been inconsistent, but their goals and strength are much higher, so I predict that they will come out on top.
Although Minnesota leads 3-1, I believe their season is over after today. Edwards and Divincenzo, their two offensive leaders, have suffered injuries. I don't think anyone can step up and fill their shoes. Denver just needs to come back and win this series, even though they are currently trailing 1-3. With the home advantage, it's not too difficult to recover, they just need one away win and game 7 at home.
Losing two starting five players, the Timberwolves should struggle to resist the Nuggets on the road. In my opinion, the odds will heavily favor the opponents as the Nuggets are known for their physicality, but I believe it will be a different story this time.
Toronto Raptors (Serijos rungtynių handicap +2.5) @-133 8/10
The teams have a similar level of strength, which is also reflected in the teams' rankings, with the 4th and 5th teams in the standings. Although the teams played all three games very quickly during the regular season, and the Raptors won all three head-to-head matches, I believe they have a good chance of performing well and potentially winning. My prediction is very safe, but strongly convincing when considering the teams' abilities.
New York Knicks (Serijos rungtynių handicap -1.5) @-133 8/10
From the 23/24 year of the season, the Hawks did not play in the playoffs, but just like a couple of seasons ago when they lost 4-2 in the first round, here the Atlanta team must lose by 2 or over with handicaps. In this regular season, the Knicks have the advantage of 2-1, and their form and ability are strongly on the side of the New York team. Just at the beginning of April, the Knicks won against the Hawks on their away game, so in this series, the win must be for them.