Football

Two defensive-oriented teams and the first match indicate an under. The difficult period for Aston Villa is already in the past, where the team used to concede a lot of goals, and even the English club itself does not score many goals. Bologna, representing Italy, is known for its dominant playing style in this country's teams. In their past 4 playoff matches, Bologna has not exceeded 3 overs, and Aston Villa has not been able to play with results in both games. The first of the two matches is usually more calm in recent years, so I believe there will be an under in this clash of teams.

Two interesting and well-formed teams. Like myself, I also saw periods where they were able to predict that the match will be high-scoring. Porto is in good form and should dominate at home and score goals, while Nottingham's defense is weak. The English club is capable of scoring goals, whether it's City or Tottenham - this team can score goals. Therefore, from the first match, I believe we will see attacking football with many opportunities and clear goals.

Here, Crystal Palace is for me with their big favorite label. Fiorentina is a club of a similar caliber who had a tragic first half of the season, but after the new year they completely regained their form and Peru gathers quite a lot and stands out with particularly good away performances - 6 out of the last 8 games as guests. Meanwhile, Palace is struggling and is far from the team that, after winning the Europa League, even competed for the Top 4 spot at the same time. In 2026, they only managed to win 2 games at home, against 20th place Wolves in the Premier League and the Bosnian club Zrnijski. The momentum is definitely on the side of the Italian club and I believe that with the given coefficient, taking the Draw no Bet option is the way to go, as Peru can confidently compete in this match.

The Porto team is undervalued, if they were to play away, I would agree that they do not seem as reliable, but their game at home is great, their attack is solid, and most importantly, in such important matches - defense, which is also working well. Nottingham's poor season is definitely felt even in the Europa League, it's not just the Danish Midtjylland team from last time. Porto, in my opinion, faced a much more serious Stuttgart club, with whom they managed to handle quite firmly, and at home, even with a goal advantage, they did not concede a goal and themselves scored 2 without reply.

Tragic knights, I believe, came at an inopportune time against Vilnius Žalgiris, who, after losing to Kaunas, have been performing very strongly. The composition of Žalgiris is unmatched and even though the team is struggling, they are playing in their home stadium against a tragic team that is unable to score and is constantly conceding goals. Žalgiris is capable of both scoring and playing successfully, so after such a tough period, I believe they must win and do so confidently.

I believe that the tragic knights showed up at an inconvenient time for Vilnius Žalgiris, who, after losing to Kaunas, must win very solidly. The composition of Žalgiris is extraordinary and although the team is not doing well, they play at their home stadium against a tragic team that is constantly losing and cannot score. Žalgiris is capable of scoring and playing successfully, and after such a stretch, I believe they must win and do it confidently.

The worst league team against one of the better league teams. Marseille hasn't been doing very well lately, but this team has played against very strong opponents and has not scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 matches. However, now they have a chance to redeem themselves and secure a win. In October, Marseille beat Metz 3-0 away and now they should have a similar level of confidence. Even though Metz has been struggling against lower-ranked teams, they are able to fight back, but against teams of this caliber, they simply crumble. So, it is worth expecting the same here.

A more interesting statistical placement, at first, I thought that this was just a mistake in Olybet's coefficients, but then I see that there are other offices and not just one that offer this line. In any case, I still think that this is a flawed line, because just by looking at the Peruvian Braga 1.44 and it being one of the most attacking teams in the league, we should expect that a large part of the action will happen in front of the Arouca goal. Braga's average number of corners is around 6-6.5, while Arouca's is around 4-4.5, accordingly, on average, Braga allows their opponents 3-4 corners per game, while Arouca allows 5-6. What is the logic here? Unless Braga will let someone else lead or give up the foundation after the European League matches. But even in that case, Arouca is too small to have a 50/50 chance of over corners in the period.