Football

Live or die in the competition around the teams. Hearts has 1st place, they have +3 from Celtic and +4 from Rangers. There are 4 matches left until the climax of the season and it is a very important game for Hearts, as on the last day of the season they will play away at Celtic, while Rangers' next match will also be away at Celtic. Losing is not an option, and a tie is also not suitable because they are in control of their own destiny now, with a slip-up or help from Celtic.
I take corners, because both teams will play for them, and losing to the team on the right would bring a lot of pressure.
Hearts' average corner is 5.68 (at home it remains similar at 5.67), Rangers' average is 6.71 (away it rises to 7.0), and overall Rangers' matches away average at 12.2 corners.
Their 3 meetings this season ended with 11, 16, and 10 corners, with that 16 being achieved in Hearts' home stadium when they won against the home team.

With 4 rounds left until the end of the season, these matches are among the most important for both teams fighting for the title. The teams dominate in the league and score many goals, as is usual for the flagships of Scottish football. Between them, the teams have already played 3 times, and only in the first meeting at the beginning of the season was the line not exceeded, but now with the teams in such form, goals are falling more and more frequently. Even a draw is not a good score for Rangers in these matches, so I am expecting more goals.

Two teams which know each other very well. Bodo have had a solid start to the season with a record of 4-1-1 in their first 6 matches and average 2.3 goals per game. Molde's start to the season has been slightly calmer with a record of 3-1-2 in their first 6 matches, but their offense is still in good form, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Both teams come into this match on a 5-match undefeated streak, Bodo having beaten Start 5-0 and Molde defeating Valerenga 5-1. Both teams have weak defenses that have not been tested yet, but there is a question mark over both defenses as one of the better teams in the league, Viking, have already played against both teams and won. Viking beat Bodo 5-0 and Molde 4-1, highlighting potential weaknesses in their defenses and suggesting that a stronger offense could cause problems for both teams. My prediction for the match is Bodo to win 3-2 or 4-2.

Bodo's attack entertained in the last round and today they have another home match, where the team consistently demonstrates good offense. Their form should only improve, as the weather is gradually getting better. The situation on the table is such that they need to chase the leading teams, so Peru is very much needed. Molde is a very solid team, but in recent seasons they have been somewhat disappointing, although their performance at the start of this season seems to offer hope, particularly in the last matches. The head-to-head record is also a story in itself.

I hope for Italian classics, both Italian teams who never disappoint with their goal-scoring football should play with few goals. There is sometimes a strike from the stick, which can be said about the two teams' matches in terms of productivity, with a limit of 3 goals the teams have only scored 3 times from 12 matches since 2020. Although football in Italy is becoming more result-oriented, these goal fireworks are very rare for teams. This limit of 3 goals has only been surpassed by Fiorentina in 9 matches, and even though the results of Roma's team are better, in this match the under line shines brightly.

City, fighting for the title, cannot afford to make mistakes, even if the opponent is weak and easily conquerable. The fluctuating game of Everton and their recent poor performance does not inspire confidence from the home team. City has just hit their best form of the season and even though the recent games have been close, we can expect them to have a more secure performance. City dominates in head-to-head matches and with Everton missing two key players, we can hope for a assured win from the future champions.

Sv. Real Sociedad has already won the Copa del Rey, which means that they will definitely play in the Europa League. Therefore, this game against Peru doesn't really change anything for them. However, Seville needs points badly. This is a fight or die situation for them, because if they continue to lose points, they will be relegated from La Liga. And I believe that with the history Sevilla has, they will not give up easily, despite Sociedad not being relaxed. Additionally, playing at home should give them some motivation and desire to win. They must fight, even though Sociedad may not be complacent, but because Sevilla MUST fight, something should change.

For both teams, Peru is necessary as Sevilla navigates between the brink of elimination, but today's victory over Peru would bring them out of that danger. The situation for Sociedad is completely different, as there is not much to fight for, and winning the Copa Del Rey trophy has already secured their spot in the group stage of the Europa League. This means that it is the maximum achievement for them at this stage of the season. Getting psyched up for an away game should not be easy, while Sevilla treats the game as a blink of an eye or a regular part of life. The coefficient is worth a try.

As I took Arsenal, I take City as well. Manchester City has all the chances to win the league title, but in order to do that, they need to fight hard and win against Peru, and even better - with a greater goal difference. Their form is good, the game is stable, and their defense is very solid. For Everton, the situation is opposite - their game is sluggish and even though fighting for a spot in Europe, they have more than one or two competitors who are in better conditions for this fight. In the past seasons, Everton simply couldn't win against City at home, and now City's situation is even more exceptional.

City is not the team that dissolves under pressure. The results of Arsenal oblige them to strike and it should be done. Everton is also motivated, so we should expect a positive game, there is no need to hold back. Both teams should have enough rest.

Statistics setting.

The average/solid home team performance, during 9 league matches, their totals were as follows: 12, 9, 15, 13, 7, 5, 9, 10 and 11 - average of 10.1 corners per match.
The away team is a real corner monster, as they both concede and earn corners, with their totals during 9 matches being: 16, 16, 13, 16, 11, 7, 13, 14 and 14 - average of 13.3 corners per match.

Here I propose the following total, but personally I would fine tune it to o13.5 - 3.75 OF + o14.5 - 5.00 OF.

Riders without salaries continue to struggle against the top league teams. Banga is in good form and appears very strong, and even beat the Riders by 5-0 at home. Although there are occasional flashes of brilliance, given the current team's playing style and financial situation, one should expect yet another defeat for the team.

Arsenal brings positive results to Spain, not Peru, but the 1-1 leaves everything in their hands for their fans. In my eyes, Arsenal played well enough to win on the away field, but the tie and the performance did not spoil the game from their side. And last weekend, they gave a break to their starting eleven before facing Valencia, and after the match, Simeone said it was a big advantage that Arsenal would struggle with their starters in the match against Fulham, fighting for the EPL title. However, everything turned out differently. Arsenal gave Fulham 3-0 on the first weekend. In those matches, Arteta managed to find a way to give a rest to Martinelli, Zubimendi, and Hincapie, while in the game, players like Gyokeres, Rice, Eze, and Saka also got a break at 3-0.
Atletico Madrid is a well-balanced team, with a strong offense, good defense, and solid midfielders. But the disadvantage is that Arsenal and Arteta's playing style is tough for Atletico, as we saw in the group stage when Arsenal won 4-0 at home.
As for injuries, Atletico has some question marks in the offense, as Lookman is playing with an injury and his contribution in the previous matches was minimal. We also saw that he was not fully fit. Another question mark is Alvarez, who got injured in the first match. Simeone said he could play, but we will only find out during the match if he is 100% fit.
Interesting fact: Arteta has been in charge of Arsenal for 6 years, and May has been his best month in terms of positive results %. He started this month with a 3-0 win against Fulham, and the team's performance was like day and night compared to what they showed in the past month.
My prediction is Arsenal will win 3-0 or maybe 3-1 against Peru.

The offered total for the match surprised me, in the first game I was expecting a closed football without much risk similar to a 0-0 result. However, 29 shots were generated there, so it seems that the teams were not inclined towards caution. Now there is nothing to wait for, because the first match score leads only to an extension and penalties, which is not a suitable situation for Arsenal, so it seems that they alone can generate even 18-20 shots.

It's tough for Arsenal, as every match is worth a title for the English club and with that pressure, the team struggles to cope, and even the slightest mistake can be costly. Atletico, having rested peacefully, will go into the fight knowing that the teams' abilities are similar, and I think the mistakes and pressure will be on the side of the English club. Everything looks good for now, but we have seen how Arsenal can fall into a pit when the score becomes negative for them. Arsenal is currently struggling, and I believe the Madrid club will have the desire, freshness, and creativity in this meeting.

It's difficult for Arsenal, each match is worth a title for the English club and with that pressure, the team struggles to cope and even collapse. Atletico, having rested peacefully, will calmly enter the battle again and knowing that the teams' abilities are similar, I believe that the cost of mistakes and pressure will be on the side of the English club. For now, everything seems to be going well, but we have seen how Arsenal can fall into a pit when the score turns against them. Arsenal is currently struggling, but I think that the Madrid club will have an intense desire, freshness, and creativity in this match.

One can write and write about the attacks of both teams, but it is enough to say that during the first match, 9 goals were scored... Those first matches did not show us anything new about the attacks of these teams, but they did show how fragile the defenses of both teams are. In the case of PSG, I think it's logical to say that it was the first time this season that they faced such a level of attack that raised a lot of questions about their defense. Bayern's defense showed what Bundesliga fans see almost every weekend - regardless of scoring 4 or 5 goals, they often manage to concede 1 or 2, sometimes even 3 goals against average opponents. I don't see how both teams will suddenly improve their defenses and become unbeatable in just one week... Of course, I don't expect there to be 9 goals scored, but let's say 5 or 6 would be very logical to expect a 3-2 or 4-2 result in one way or the other.