Football

The bet on the home team is supported. Paks club is playing one of the most productive games in the league after 29 rounds with a score of 54 goals and 41 allowed. They have one of the top 3 offences in the league but their defence only ranks 5th, leaving them with no chance for better results. At home, Paks has scored a total of 58 goals in 14 games, averaging almost 4 goals per game with a score of 33:25. However, the opposing team also has a strong offence and they can score above the average in away games, but their defence is not as solid. Similar to Paks, they have allowed 39 goals this season. It seems that when playing away games against Paks, the opposing team can score more goals than usual, so I am betting on an Over result.

The 2 and 3 worst attacking teams in the league. Teams that score only 1 goal per game on average have poor defenses, but in these particular matches, a lot of goals should not be expected. Burnley can be considered as already dropped out of the Premier League and have managed to score only 1 goal in their last 4 games. Nottingham currently plays in Europe, but also has a streak of 3 games where they have not surpassed the goal line, just like in their previous meeting with Burnley at home this season.

The Auxerre club, playing in the top league in its third season, has not been able to compete against the Monaco club in any of the seasons, even in 2012/2013. Monaco, having won all of their matches against Auxerre, is currently one of the strongest home teams in the league, with a 5 game winning streak at home. 10 out of 15 home teams have fallen to Monaco, and even the same PSG has also lost, so I don't see any chance for Auxerre to beat the league's underdogs.

Liverpool's status favorites here, I don't think there will be any problems for them in this derby because Everton is having a good season and showing good form lately. In particular, they have closed the gap to 5 points for the Champions League spot which is currently held by Liverpool. It will be a heated match, Liverpool does not inspire me at all and losing Keita due to injury has made them lose their best attacker this season. Isak is also not fully recovered from injury and it should be difficult for the visitors to attack. I think Everton as a minimum here on a Draw no Bet, but the chances of winning are probably the biggest I remember going into the Merseyside derby.

The Celje club is the clear leader of the league and they just need a few more rounds to secure the league title. They are currently in top form, with 6 consecutive wins, 4 of which were with a 2+ goal difference. Today they will travel to Mura, who are fighting for promotion and currently in 8th place out of 10. The level of the two teams is very different, which is why I believe Celje should have no problem dealing with the hosts. Of course, playing away will be a bit more challenging, but I think Celje's current form should handle it without any major problems, especially since the hosts have been struggling lately, losing 6 out of their last 9 matches and only winning 2.

13th place Bayern, who have celebrated only one win out of their last 14 matches, are now facing the strong, but unbeatable champions, Stuttgart at home. Recently eliminated from Europe, Stuttgart lost 0-2 to Dortmund at home, while a team of such strength and form like Bayern should confidently secure a win at home as well. Having won 12 out of 14 home matches in the Bundesliga championship, Bayern has been averaging 4 goals per game at home, so even a team like Stuttgart should not be feared and a very confident performance can be expected from Bayern's side.

I am not pleased with the style Arsenal has been playing with lately and it is obvious that this style is no longer producing results and the current form does not inspire confidence. On the other hand, Manchester City, after the defeat against Real, played 3 matches in England and did not concede a single goal. It should be added that all 3 opponents were of the highest caliber, including Arsenal themselves. The pressure should be on Arsenal due to their poor form and the approaching Manchester City. Today, Manchester City has all the chances to fight for the top spot and return to a direct battle for the league title. Especially knowing that Arsenal still has Champions League matches ahead.

There won't be any news about Bayern, historically great offense this season, facing Stuttgart team today which has one of the best offense in the league themselves, ranked 3rd for the most scores goals. Bayern have already scored 105 goals this season, 56 of which were at home, with unbelievable numbers even in rotation. If Kompany chooses to play this team today, they will have a very deep and strong lineup and should still be able to score a lot of goals for their fans. This is an important match for Stuttgart team, as they have also been prolific scorers this season, especially away with 34 goals in 14 visits and only being overpowered by Bayern as away opponents, so it's likely that Stuttgart will contribute to the total goals. Even with a strong defensive record in the league, Bayern are still vulnerable against better offenses, so I believe this will be another goal festival. I predict a 3-2 result.

A book could be written about Bayern's attack... Their attack, which doesn't lack in quality, still has 7 rounds left in the Bundesliga and they already sit with 105 goals scored... Their fearsome attacking trio of Olise, Diaz, and Kane, joined by the likes of Gnabry, Karl, and Jackson, make a significant contribution... On average, Bayern's matches see 4.6 goals (they score an average of 3.6 goals themselves), while at home, this average rises to 4.9 goals (their opponents' average is 4.0 goals). Such an attack must come at a cost, and that cost is their defense, which is not bad, but always gives opponents opportunities. That being said, Stuttgart has shown solid attacking play this season, ranking in the top 3 in the Bundesliga for attack. On average, they score 3.4 goals per game, and away from home, this average rises to 4.1 goals. It is clear to see a great balance between two teams who excel in attack... I wouldn't be surprised if Bayern alone covered this total.

The referee Pinheiro, who has shown 9+ cards this season 5 times. Key game between the 2nd and 3rd place teams, while Sporting has 2 points less than Porto and played one game less, but United still has a chance as there are 7 rounds left, they can still qualify here. The same goes for Sporting, which still has a chance to fight for the title, as they are only 5 points behind Porto, but they have played one game less. Both teams will fight tooth and nail, display top-class performance, challenge each other and put maximum pressure on the referee to show cards. Nothing more can be expected from a game where Mr. Jose Mourinho is participating. The Portuguese league has drowned in cards, especially when Porto, Sporting, and Benfica are playing against each other, and now, as the season comes to an end, every point is crucial, leading to a high amount of cards and red cards.

PSG, before the most important Champions League matches, surely does not want to add tension for themselves in the local league. Despite only playing two matches behind Lens, at the moment they have a handicap of only 1 point. Moreover, the match is at home and against a defensively strong opponent. Lyon finally climbed out of the relegation zone after winning their last game and should have a lot of confidence. If PSG allows themselves to lose, this could also give Lyon the opportunity to secure points and advance to the group stage or qualifiers in the Champions League. We need to fight for 3 points, so we will have to take risks as well.

Prior to the most important Champions League matches, PSG definitely does not want to add tension to their local league. Although they have only played 2 games less than Lens, at the moment they have a handicap of only 1 point. Moreover, the match is at home and definitely not against a defensive opponent. Lyon finally climbed out of the pit in their last round, so they should have some confidence. If PSG can afford to lose, then Lyon has the chance to close the gap and secure a spot in the Champions League group stage or qualifying round. They need to fight for 3 points, so they will also have to take risks.

Even though I would bravely choose the 2.5 under bet, out of respect I will take the larger line. Both teams are top clubs in Denmark, who show great defense with only 26 and 28 goals conceded in 26 league matches. The teams have already played against each other 4 times this season and none of the matches have gone over the 2.5 line. Even when looking at the xG statistics, the teams can confidently claim that there will be another under. The teams do not play offensively and this has been a frequent occurrence when they have faced each other, so we can expect few goals again.

Spoiled 6 out of 7 recent matches do not inspire confidence in the Lecce team. All the rivals have overcome it easily, and now it's Fiorentina's turn. Fiorentina is in good form and, despite dropping out of the conference league, this game would secure their spot in the league. I believe the odds are in favor of the strong Fiorentina team, and even the form of the Lecce team alone is enough to go against them.

The most productive team in the league, Estoril, scored 51 goals and allowed 50 in 29 league matches. This bet is also supported by the history of 5 previous matches with all 3+ goals. This year, Estoril played very productively in 11 out of 13 matches, and their playing style is intriguing with a weak defense and a strong attacking line.