Manne wrote:
It’s probably fair to say that no game in NFL history between a 5-9 team and a 6-8 team has had so much playoff significance, but that’s where we are with Sunday’s game between the 49ers and Rams, with St. Louis a 2-point favorite on Bodog’s NFL odds.
St. Louis and Seattle are tied atop the NFC West, with the Niners a game back. After this game with San Francisco the Rams close with the Seahawks. A three-way tie in the division, which is eminently possible, would mean the Niners would win the division despite starting 0-5. No team with a losing record has ever made the NFL playoffs in a non-strike season with a losing record.
The Niners and Rams met in San Francisco back on Nov. 14, a 23-20 overtime victory for the 49ers. Troy Smith passed for a career-high 356 yards while leading two late scoring drives in the win, so perhaps that’s why San Francisco coach Mike Singletary is going back to Smith this week after he sat the previous two weeks for Alex Smith, who struggled mightily in last week’s blowout loss to San Diego. However, Troy Smith’s performance started going way downhill after that Rams game. He had four TD passes and three INTs with a 52.4 completion percentage in five games.
In that first meeting, Rams rookie QB Sam Bradford was 30 of 42 for 251 yards and a touchdown. But he may have hit the rookie wall as Bradford has thrown no touchdown passes and seven interceptions over the last three games. He also has been sacked eight times in those games. Bradford is still one of six quarterbacks in the NFL to take every snap this season.
San Francisco has won five straight against St. Louis. The Rams can win the West even if they lose this week, as long as they beat the Seahawks next week and the 49ers lose at Arizona in Week 17.
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2009/08/23
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The Chiefs obviously know that the San Diego Chargers won on Thursday night and are just a half-game back so the Chiefs can ill afford a loss here because Kansas City would lose a tiebreaker if it finishes the season tied with the Bolts. The Chiefs then finish with home games against Tennessee and Oakland and should be favored in both. The Rams, meanwhile, are tied atop their division with Seattle despite a 6-7 record. It’s quite possible, if not likely, the winner of the NFC West finishes with a below-.500 record.
The big story heading in is the status of Kansas City starting quarterback Matt Cassel, the NFL’s fifth-highest rated passer. He missed last week’s loss to San Diego after undergoing an appendectomy. Cassel was limited in practice Friday as he was all week and is officially questionable but in fact will be a game-time decision. The Chiefs said the team’s medical staff will evaluate Cassel before making a final decision. If Cassel can’t go that means Brodie Croyle, who is 0-10 as a starter in his career, gets the call. Against the Chargers last week Croyle was just 7-for-17 for 40 yards. Kansas City was held to just 67 total yards, five first downs and was 0-for-11 on third-down conversions.
The Rams hadn’t won a home game since about halfway through the 2008 season entering this year but are 4-2 at the Edward Jones Dome this season and are giving up just 16.2 points per game defensively in home games, the fifth-best mark in the NFL. Rams QB Sam Bradford, the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year, needs 116 yards passing to become third rookie in NFL history with 3,000 yards. St. Louis has been outscored 30-0 in the past three first quarters of games.
Kansas City has a nine-game winning streak vs. NFC West teams dating to 2002, including 3-0 this year.
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