After 176 matches: Stake=996.3u, Profit=206.65u, Yield=20.74%

8. Farul – Rapid 2 odds 1.95 bookie 188bet (1.943 Pinnacle) stake5.07
and Exact Score 1-1 odds 6.50 bookie gbks stake 0.93u Score 0-2 +3.886u

Rapid and Cfr seems that they are the strongest Romanian team for now. Many brasilian and portugese players at Rapid, Spadacio, Cesinha and Julio Cesar all midfilders create panic, they have quality and can eliberate easy by their adversary. Rapid`s coach, Jose Peseiro has a good CV, made a good job at Sporting Lisbon in the past, played a final of Uefa Cup, in Greece trained Panathinaikos, helped Carlos Queiroz at Real Madrid, it`s an offensive coach who loves to send his players on attack, his team drawing beautiful, will see if efficacy too. Farul has a strong defensive, won`t be easy for Rapid to win away, if Coman was the goalkeeper of Rapid I wasn`t afraid at all, but he has a argue with the boss, and won`t part at this match. I think Rapid will score at least one goal in this match, I don`t see Farul scoring more then one goal, if the result will be 1-1 we will receive the money back.

Picks: 8
Results: 5W 2V 0L
Active picks:1
Staked: 30
Profit: 22.78u
Yield: 75.93 %

Saturday Combo
6.Unirea-Arges 1 odds 1.75 Scor 3-2
Dinamo-Gaz 1 odds 1.25 Scor 1-0
Total odds 2.187 stake 5.07 bet365(gbks) and cover
Unirea – Arges exact score 1-1 odds 6.50 stake 0.93u bet365(gbks) +5.09u

Unirea has some problems with injury players but I think has the first chance with Fc Arges, a team who played last season in Serie B, who has some talented young players but big problems in defensive. Unirea`s coach, Dan Petrescu ex Chelsea,Southampton, Foggia made a good job at Urziceni, built an agressive team with a strong defense who receive few goals. He has qualified the team in Europe after just 2 season in Romanian 1 Division.
In the macthes played home, Unirea won often with 1-0, it`s the favourite score of Petrescu, I cover the bet with an 1-1 exact score, it`s posible that away team to speculate an error and then to keep the result.

Dinamo was just one puropose for this match, victory, after a fals start (1-1 away at Pandurii). Big difference of value between two teams, normally Dinamo will make a handicap in this match, the striker Bratu who miss in the first round probable will score.

Sunday 20:45 CET
9. Cfr(-1.5) – Buzau 1 odds 1.90 bookie bet365 HANDICAP RESULT (1.82 mansion88) stake 6u Score 2-0 +5.4u

Cfr wants to stay close to Rapid, plays home against a team with a weak defensive, with all important players fit for this match, I think Cfr could make a good match and cover the handicap. Cfr`s coach, Andone, knows how to score against teams who defends with 8,9 players I think the big problems here is when will be scored the first goal, if Trica and Co will score in the first half of hour, they should have an easy match, they are motivated and will play at maximum in front of their own fans.
Buzau probable won`t have more then 2 shots in this match, have bog problems in attack until the end of season probable won`t score more then 30 goals.

Picks: 9
Results: 7W 2V 0L
Active picks:
Staked: 42
Profit: 33.27
Yield: 79.21 %

Combo Friday
10. Iasi - Steaua 2 , Otopeni – Dinamo 2
Total odds 2.17 bookie 10bet( 2.15 at bet365) stake 5.14u and Correct Score Iasi-Steaua 1-1 odds 7 bookie bet365 stake 0.86
Steaua+Dinamo 2.10 at sportingbet


For Steaua it`s the last test before the match from round 3 of Qualifcation for Champions League against Galatasaray Istanbul, they want the victory to have a good moral Wednesday at Istanbul. Steaua Bucharest didn`t start good this season, lost at Vaslui and made a 2-1 home with Brasov(Arthuro scored in 89th minutes). Poli Iasi has big problems in defensive, the captain Onut it`s injury, don`t have a right defender, the goalkeeper Branet it`s out of shape(in the same situation I could say that is Zapata, Steaua`s goalkeeper but he has a strong defensive in front of him).
In the first two rounds Poli Iasi, lost away with 2-0 and home with 3-1, they will have problems with relegation this season. I cover 1-1 exact score, because Steaua didn`t impressive me but I don`t think Steaua will lose this match, will score at least one goal.

From Dinamo I have big expectations this season, Mircea Rednic who brought the last title come back, I thought that Dinamo will play offensive like 2 seasons past but they aren`t that team. Still, against a team who received 7 goals in 2 rounds, Dinamo it`s big favourite, has strikers like Danciulescu, Bratu or Marius Niculae who can score anytime, the match will be played on neutral ground, because Otopeni don`t have an homologate stadium.

Friday 19:30 CET
11. Vaslui – Gloria(+1) 2 odds 2.12 bookie mansion88(2.11 at 188bet) stake 5u and corect score 2-0 odds 6 bookie gbks stake 1u Score 1-0 -1u

Value bet

12. Gaz – Poli Over 2.5 odds 1.85 bookie sportingbet(1.82 10bet, 1,81 pinnacle) stake 6u Score 5-1 +5.1u

At Medias will meet two of the most offensive teams from Romanian 1 League, home team wants to approximate the victory after a 2-2 home with Galati(missed a penalty at 2-1 for them) and 0-1 away at Dinamo( they played from the 26th in 10 players, but thay had 2,3 big chances to score). Will play on attack, that`s the style of Medias`s coach, Pustai. Gaz Metan was in second Division last season, they finished first in Serie B2, scored many goals, I think today can score at least one goal in front of Poli Timisoara, the team with most goals scored in the last Championship season, who play an offensive 4-4-2 with strikers like Bucur or Magera. The picth it`s good, Poli wants to make 7 poitns after 3 rounds, they have big expectations from this season, at least to finish in Top 3 at the end of season. If the players will be focus can score 2,3 goals in this match.

Combo Friday
10. Iasi - Steaua 2 Score 0-2 , Otopeni – Dinamo 2 Score 2-3
Total odds 2.17 bookie 10bet( 2.15 at bet365) stake 5.14u and Correct Score Iasi-Steaua 1-1 odds 7 bookie bet365 stake 0.86 +5.15u

For Steaua it`s the last test before the match from round 3 of Qualifcation for Champions League against Galatasaray Istanbul, they want the victory to have a good moral Wednesday at Istanbul. Steaua Bucharest didn`t start good this season, lost at Vaslui and made a 2-1 home with Brasov(Arthuro scored in 89th minutes). Poli Iasi has big problems in defensive, the captain Onut it`s injury, don`t have a right defender, the goalkeeper Branet it`s out of shape(in the same situation I could say that is Zapata, Steaua`s goalkeeper but he has a strong defensive in front of him).
In the first two rounds Poli Iasi, lost away with 2-0 and home with 3-1, they will have problems with relegation this season. I cover 1-1 exact score, because Steaua didn`t impressive me but I don`t think Steaua will lose this match, will score at least one goal.

From Dinamo I have big expectations this season, Mircea Rednic who brought the last title come back, I thought that Dinamo will play offensive like 2 seasons past but they aren`t that team. Still, against a team who received 7 goals in 2 rounds, Dinamo it`s big favourite, has strikers like Danciulescu, Bratu or Marius Niculae who can score anytime, the match will be played on neutral ground, because Otopeni don`t have an homologate stadium.

13. Arges – Brasov DNB 2 odds 2.10 bookie bet365(2.05 Sportingbet) stake 6u Score 1-0 -6u

It`s a derby between two teams who played in the last season in Serie B, Arges has a strong attack with young good players, but they have big problems in deffensive, after the match lost at Urziceni the boss Penescu deceided to sent the captain Balasa at seond team because he made in 75th minutes a penalty, and Unirea won with 3-2. Balasa is the best defender of Arges, without him and Milosevic injury, Fc Arges will have big problems against Brasov, a team who defeated in the first round home Unirea Urziceni, after a categoric domination although they scored in extra time, and lost away in 89th minutes in Ghencea with Steaua. Razvan, Brasov`s coach, is Lucescu`s son, he learnt many things from his father, the players listen to him and play a modern football. Brasov won`t lose this match in my opinion.

Picks: 13
Results: 9W 2V 2L
Active picks:
Staked: 61u
Profit: 36.52u
Yield: 59.86 %

Wednesday Combo
14. Shaktar – Dinamo Zagreb 1, Barca – Wisla 1 total odds 1.90 bookie gbks(1.833 10bet) stake 7u +6.3u

Lucescu`s son made a “surprise” yesterday, I hope his father will make us happy after this match. Dinamo Zagreb doesn`t have the force to eliminate Shaktar Donetk, the Ukrainian team has good players, international players from different countries, a very rich boss, Rinat Ahmetov offered in the past big names to join his club, it`s under construction a new stadium, they played in the past years in the most important european competition, have experience to pass this Croatian team.
With 40.000 fans in back, Shaktar will force a handicap in this match, they want to have an easy match at Zagreb, although they didn`t start well the new Championship, they managed to win the Supercup in front of Dinamo Kiev, I think for this important event, the players will be focus and won`t dissapoint.

I think the odds say everything for this match, Barcelona MUST play in Uefa Champions League, have many players with qualities, will win the match in front of Wisla(from Poland).

15. Galatasaray –Steaua Under 2.5 odds 1.75 bookie sportingbet(1.65 at gamebookers) stake 7u Score 2-2 -7u

Galatasaray starts with the first chance in this match, although they have big problems with injury players, 4 important players won`t play tomorrow: Linderoth, Lincoln, Keweel and Umit Karan(all offensive players). Didn`t start the new season in Turkye, in friendly matches played by Galata, they scored 5 goals in 7 matches.
I think with the support of the fans, Galata could win this match. Steaua has a strong defensive, many international players: goalkeeper Zapata(Columbia), right defender Golansky(Poland), Radoi, Goian and Nesu(Romania), two good central midfilders(Ov Petre played at Galata, international too and Lovin). Banel Nicolita I think will block Hasan Sas, if Steaua`s coach Lacatus, will find the solution to block Arda Turan, I think just one goal will be scored in this match. With 8 defensive players, Steaua don`t want to receive goal(s) in this first match.

Picks: 15
Results: 10W 2V 3L
Active picks:
Staked: 75u
Profit: 35.82u
Yield: 47.76 %

17. Poli – Otopeni Over 2.75 odds 1.9 bookie 188bet stake 6u

Probable the most spectacular match of this round, Poli Timisoara always scores many goals home, they play on attack, away team received 10 goals in the first 3 rounds and scored 3 times, has a poor defensive, I think Timisoara can make a handicap, but I hope Otopeni will score at least one goal in this match, because Timisoara has his own problems in defense, last round was defeated with 5-1 at Gaz, after they lead with 1-0 in 58th minutes.

16. Unirea(-0.5) – Gaz Metan 1 odds 1.637 bookie 10bet(1.61bet365) stake 6u Score 4-0 +3.82

Unired didn`t start well this season, was defeated in the first round at Brasov, after the worst match made by the team from Urziceni since Dan Petrescu is their coach. They won in the second round, 3-2 home after a great come-back, in the last round made an excelent job and won with 5-1 at Pandurii, with the same score won Gaz home with Poli Timisoara.
Gaz played last season in Serie B, many specialist thought that they won`t have any chance to resist in the first leagur, but after the first 3 rounds they seems that will finish in top 12.
I don`t think many goals will be scored in this match, Unirea has a strong defensive, although has many injury players has the force to win against a team with a weak defensive but a very good attack.

17. Poli – Otopeni Over 2.75 odds 1.9 bookie 188bet stake 6u Score 3-1 +5.4u

Probable the most spectacular match of this round, Poli Timisoara always scores many goals home, they play on attack, away team received 10 goals in the first 3 rounds and scored 3 times, has a poor defensive, I think Timisoara can make a handicap, but I hope Otopeni will score at least one goal in this match, because Timisoara has his own problems in defense, last round was defeated with 5-1 at Gaz, after they lead with 1-0 in 58th minutes.

Saturday 20:45 CET
18.Dinamo–Buzau Over 2.5 odds 1.85 bookie gbks stake 5.5u and exact score 2-0 odds 6 bet365 stake 0.5u Score 4-1 +4.175u

Although has some problems with injury players, Dinamo can score at least two goals in this match, will play home in front of their fans who will be the 12 player tonight. With a victory today will make 10 points after 4 rounds and can be relaxed for next Sunday derby, with Rapid Bucharest(away). Gloria Buzau, changed the coach this week, they lost 3 matches from 3, has problems in defensive, has a poor attack, I don`t think the new portugese coach could change something in just few days, I wait a great match made by home`s strikers Bratu and Danciulescu, probable the best couple of strikers from Romanian 1 League. This week Dinamo managed to get 2 important players, now the fans are satisfeid and will support the team like in the good days.

Sunday 16:45 CET
19.Otelul-Rapid 2 odds 2 bookie sportingbet stake 5.07u and exact score 1-1 odds 6.5 stake 0.93u Score 2-1 -6u

Rapid has the strength to win at Galati, has players who can make the difference, this brasilian trio can create panic in any defensive: Cesinha-Spadacio-Julio Cesar.
Galati it`s a surprise for me, they lost many important players like Szekely(Steaua),Jula(Cottbus),Daniel Stan(Urziceni),Giurgiu(Russia), they have 7 points after 3 matches, but has a good coach who knows how to create teams from nothing. This match will be played without any fans, home team has the stadium suspended for this round. Away team, Peseiro it`s supended for this match, I think his players will make him a nice gift winning the match. I cover the bet with exact score 1-1, Rapid will score in this match, they are an offensive team. The heat will be a problem for both teams, the match will be played at
33 C!

Picks: 19
Results: 13W 2V 4L
Active picks:
Staked: 99u
Profit: 43.21u
Yield: 43.65 %

Friday 16:45 CET
23. Gaz Metan – Brasov Under 2.5 odds 1.727 bookie sportingbet(1.71 at mansion88) stake 6u

Two teams who played last season in second division, in this start of season they played well, especially at home. Gaz got 4 points(scored 7 goals, have a good attack) in the matches played home, Brasov 6 points(1 goal scored away), from away no point for both teams. Today will be a match of fight, an important factor will be the heat, probable over 35C when the match starts. Another factor who make me to believe in this Under are injury players, home team has 4,5 players who won`t play in this important match, away team 2 strikers and the best midfilder. I think that the team who scores first will try to keep the result until the end, don`t make any sense to risk on attack.

Friday 16:45 CET
23. Gaz Metan – Brasov Under 2.5 odds 1.727 bookie sportingbet(1.71 at mansion88) stake 6u Score 0-0 +4.36u

Two teams who played last season in second division, in this start of season they played well, especially at home. Gaz got 4 points(scored 7 goals, have a good attack) in the matches played home, Brasov 6 points(1 goal scored away), from away no point for both teams. Today will be a match of fight, an important factor will be the heat, probable over 35C when the match starts. Another factor who make me to believe in this Under are injury players, home team has 4,5 players who won`t play in this important match, away team 2 strikers and the best midfilder. I think that the team who scores first will try to keep the result until the end, don`t make any sense to risk on attack.

Overall stats 2008-2009
Picks: 23
Results: 14W 2V 4L
Active picks:3
Staked: 105u
Profit: 47.57u
Yield: 45.30 %

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Saturday 17:00CET
24. Craiova(-0.25) – Otelul 1 odds 1.75 bookie bet365 stake 6u Score 1-0 +4.5u

Two of the best Romanian teams, will make a beautiful match, home team made a great result last round, making a draw at Cfr(the owners of Romanian Championship). Craiova has 7 points after 4 rounds, can hope in a participation in the Uefa Cup at the end of season, has young and talented players who will represent big names in future, just 3 names the midfilders Prepelita and Gangioveanu, plus the striker Costea.
Otelul is the big surprise of this new season, has 10 points after 4 rounds although many people thought(inclusive me) that will have big problems with relegation(they lost 4 important players) , seems that Paraschiv can score in every round and Otelul can defeat any team from Romania(in the last round won very clear against Rapid). I hope Craiova`s player will satisfy the fans and get 3 points.

Overall stats 2008-2009
Picks: 24
Results: 15W 2V 4L
Active picks:3
Staked: 111u
Profit: 52.07u
Yield: 46.90 %

22. Buzau – Poli(-0.25) 2 odds 1.774 bookie bet365 stake 6u +4.647u

At home team too many tensions, 8 players were sent off, I don`t think will have an competitive 11 for this match. Poli wants the victory, they play very well home now it`s time to bring some points from the matches played away.

Wasn`t so, some players played tonight!

Overall stats 2008-2009
Picks: 24
Results: 16W 2V 4L
Active picks:2
Staked: 117u
Profit: 56.72u
Yield: 48.47 %

20. Otopeni – Unirea Score 1-2 +4.8u

21. Pandurii – Arges Score 3-1 +4.85u

Pandurii started very well this season, they made a 1-1 with Dinamo home(Dinamo it`s on first position after 4 rounds with 10 points), practiced a good football like in the past season when they escaped from relegation although after 23 rounds all the people had seen them in second division.
After the first match, something happened, the players weren`t focus enough and the team from Tg Jiu has just one point after 4 rounds, now it`s the time to make their own fans happy, they have the strength to win against a team who plays offensive, aren`t afraid to play open away. Fc Arges will try to take at least one point, but their best player, the striker Kamara it`s suspended, I hope with the support of the fans, home team will find again the road to victory.


Overall stats 2008-2009
Picks: 24
Results: 18W 2V 4L
Active picks:
Staked: 128.96u
Profit: 66.37u
Yield: 51.46 %


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Combo Wednesday
25.Steaua – Galatasaray Pick Galatasaray to score 1-0
Liverpool – Standard 1
Total odds 1.67 bookie gamebookers stake 6u -6u

In the first leg the score was 2-2, after Steaua started very well the match and leaded with 2-0( 2 big mistake in Turkie team defensive).
Galatasaray recovered that handicap although the players weren`t very good prepared corporeal. Now, they are prepared, played 2 matches, both won, in Supercup and Turkie 1 round, they have in Kewell the secret weapon who can make the difference tonight. As I saw the teams from Turkie never give up, the players from Galatasaray will try to win this match, they can score at least one goal, especially because Steaua won`t play cautios, it`s a big mistake of Steaua`s coach, we will attack, in this way Galata has first chance to qualify in my opinion.

Liverpool has to win this match, it`s a must win, in Belgium they suffered a lot, Standard had a penalty missed in the 10 th minut, with the support of the fans, Liverpool will be qualified after 90 minutes. In plus they played 2 matches in Premier League, have a good moral after they got 6 points(with luck to be honest).

27. Cfr – Iasi Over 2.5 odds 1.85 bookie sportingbet(1.80 at bet365) stake 5.5u and exact score 2-0 odds 6 bookie bet365 stake 0.5u

Cfr started bad this season, I thought they will have at least 13 points after 5 rounds, important players came at Cluj, I`m surprised why the results are so bad, when you have players who can make the difference like Trica, Culio, Deac, Cadu, Semedo, Durbarbier, Kone, Diddy or Peralta. The main guilty is the coach Andone, who made important changes in the team at every round, I think he understand now that he need a first 11 who plays togheter round by round, the president won`t accept any result then a clear victory in this match. I think the players are motivated to demonstrate that they can play like in the last season, home team could score at least 2 goals in this match, I think over it`s a solution here, because Iasi has a weak defensive.

27. Cfr – Iasi Over 2.5 odds 1.85 bookie sportingbet stake 5.5u and exact score 2-0 odds 6 bookie bet365 stake 0.5u Score 0-0 -6u

Picks: 28
Results: 18W 2V 6L
Active picks:2
Staked: 140.96u
Profit: 54.37u
Yield: 38.15 %

End of month

Picks: 29
Results: 19W 2V 8L
Active picks:
Staked: 158.96u
Profit: 47.71u
Yield:30.01 %