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The winner of the Daytona 500 hasn’t been the expected winner for more than a few years – will that change Sunday when the NASCAR season officially opens with its Super Bowl? Bet on the race at Bovada’s motorsports odds.
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A year ago, Trevor Bayne came from nowhere to win the Great American Race. In fact, he was just happy to be there, competing in his first Daytona 500 while on loan to the Woods Brothers racing team from Roush Fenway. Now he's looking to become the third driver to win this race in consecutive years and the first since Sterling Marlin in 1994 and '95.
On the pole is Carl Edwards, who was edged for the points title last year in the final race of the season at Miami by Tony Stewart. Many believe Edwards is the top driver in the series now, but being on the pole does not ensure success at the Daytona 500. In fact, no pole sitter has won since 2000 (Dale Jarrett). Since 2007, only one pole winner has even had a Top-10 finish. It was Edwards’ 12th career pole but first pole at a restrictor plate track. He was the runner-up to Bayne a year ago, his best finish at Daytona.
Much of the talk for this year’s 500 will be around Danica Patrick, who will be making her NASCAR Sprint Cup debut in the race. No driver has won a Sprint Cup race in his or her first start since 1963 when Johnny Rutherford took the checkered flag for the second Daytona 500 qualifier race. (Bayne's win last year came in his second Sprint Cup start.) Patrick is the third female to compete in the Daytona 500, joining Janet Guthrie and Shawna Robinson. Her chances of winning got longer in Thursday’s Gatorade Duels as the crashed and will now start at the back of the field. She was assured of a spot in the 500 only because of owner’s points – otherwise that crash would have cost her a spot.
Is this finally the year Kurt Busch breaks through? He has finished second three times in his 11 Daytona 500s, and in the top five six times, including fifth in 2011. Busch has the best average finish in the past 10 Daytona races (11.4).
Many favor Kevin Harvick on Sunday. He won this race in 2007 and has four other Top-10 finishes in this race, although he was 42nd a year ago. Defending points champion Stewart, who starts third on Sunday, is looking for his first win in NASCAR’s biggest race. His best finish was runner-up in 2004 and Stewart was 13th a year ago. Greg Biffle starts next to Edwards on the front row. His best result here was third in 2010.
The past 10 Daytona 500s were won by 10 different drivers, the longest streak of 500 winners without a repeat winner. Each of the past five Daytona 500 winners led less than eight laps in their victory.
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Cleverly survived a bit of a scare against Tony Bellew last October, winning via split decision. He now looks to get back on track with an impressive win over Karpency and regain the aura of invincibility we’ve become accustomed to seeing on him. Cleverly will be bigger, stronger, and tougher than his opponent, and barring a lucky shot should have an easy day at the office Saturday night.
Karpency has not fought in over a year, and it’s unclear how he managed to earn the title shot at all. For that reason, and many others, he will be a huge underdog to walk away with the WBO Light Heavyweight strap this weekend. However, stranger things have happened in the ring, and the payout is sure to be a big one if he can somehow manage the upset.
This matchup will be heavily handicapped in Cleverly’s favor, but if you have the bankroll the British champion has been perfect thus far. This fight has tuneup written all over it, and that means a big price vs. a big payout.
Cleverly seems to be biding time until he gets a fight with the big names of the division, but as we’ve seen so many times in the past it’s an overlooked underdog that ends up pulling out a surprise performance and shocking an overconfident champion who is thinking about bigger fights.