Long term picks

Vakar treneris Messina rungtynių Olimpia - Fenerbahce Peru metu sakė, kad Fenerbahce šiuo metu yra bettersią formą Eurolygoje demonstruojanti team. Nu ir negali ginčytis su krepšinio profesoriumi 😁 Šio statymo logika paprasta - Fenerbahce žaisdami taip kaip žaidžia dabar turėtų užsitikrinti namų pranašumą ketvirtfinalyje. Ketvirtflinalio serijoje turėdami namų pranašumą, kad ir su kuo besusitiktų vistiek būtų laikomi poros favoritais. O patekus į finalo ketvertą ten viskas sprendžiasi iš vienų rungtynių. Manau, kad koeficientas 10 už tai, kad Fenerbahce laimėtų 2 rungtynes finaliniame ketverte yra per didelis.

We had better odds before game against City. But they won against favourites of the tournament. Real will play in the final, they should win against Bayern (70% against 30%). They should face PSG in the final. Real are big team of Europe while PSG want to be as Real.

I don't like making long-term predictions for individual matches, and three months is a long time, but the odds just tipped in favor here. From today's perspective, it looks like these discus throwing competitions should be the strongest in Olympic history. Realistically, there are three main throwers who are not only capable of winning but could potentially break Virgilius Alekna's Olympic record multiple times. The Olympic champion, Swedish thrower Stahl, Slovenian star Ceh, and Lithuania's Mykolas Alekna. I believe the latter two are the most likely candidates to win the gold, and it will probably come down to centimeters, not meters. Subjectively, I would estimate the chances of winning roughly as follows: Ceh 40%, Alekna 35%, Stahl 20%, and 5% that someone might pull off a once-in-a-lifetime throw. The younger generation seems slightly stronger, and I believe both will throw over 70 meters, while Stahl's experience is of course significant, but I wouldn't be surprised if his max is 68-69 meters, like in Tokyo. I believe in Mykolas' chances because, even though he's a debutant, many veterans could envy his strong nerves. Mykolas has excellent technique, and I hope his form will be as good because his current results speak for themselves, showing the work done over the winter. However, Olympic psychology will be one of the most crucial factors determining the winner, which was something our own Gudžius lacked. Mykolas is just like his father in this regard. In short, I think his chances are simply better than the odds suggest, making these odds valuable and worth trying, because if everything goes according to plan, they won't be the same before the competition.