In form AC Milan seek to extend the gap over their rivals Inter Milan at the 3rd place in a crucial Milan derby!
Currently the Milan clubs are separated by one place and one point in the Serie A league table with AC Milan currently 3rd on 51 points and Inter 4th on 50 points. A win for either side would strengthen their top 4 hopes massively here.
AC Milan are currently showing much better form than their rivals. AC Milan are unbeaten in 10 straight league games and are currently riding a red hot 5 game win streak in which they’ve scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) while conceding just 2 and keeping 3 clean sheets in the win streak. AC Milan have all around just been playing sensational football during the past month.
Inter meanwhile have been off form winning just 3 of last 9 league games. Inter have struggled to score goals with Icardi out and have surrendered the 3rd place after holding a comfortable win over AC Milan. Plus Inter are coming off a very bad loss to Frankfurt in the Europa League at home where they only managed 3 shots and lost 0-1 which knocked them out. No doubt Inter are reeling right now and are playing far worse than their city rivals AC Milan.
Despite both clubs sharing San Siro, AC Milan is the home team this weekend and their home form has been tremendous too with 5 wins from last 6 and one draw. AC Milan have done decent against top teams at home too beating Roma, Napoli (cup) while also drawing with Napoli, Atalanta and picking up a lone defeat to league leaders Juventus.
Inter have been a bad away side in the past stretch only managing 2 wins from last 9 away league games. They haven’t well to well as an away side against top competition either losing to Juventus, Atalanta, in Europe lost at Tottenham and Barcelona. Only big away win was at Lazio and they also drew with Roma. This team struggles on their travels normally.
Krzysztof Piatek is the man to watch for AC Milan. Ever since his move to the club he’s been on a ridiculous tear scoring 8 goals in 9 apps (8 in 8 starts) for the club which has essentially elevated the club to the form that they’ve shown.
With Icardi likely out again, Inter need to look for someone else to deliver and recently Matteo Politano hes been their main source for goals scoring 3 in his last 6 apps. Inter have been in sluggish form going forward, but he’s been one of the few bight sparks for them.
Inter won the first H2H meeting this season as the home team 1-0 thanks to a last minute Mauro Icardi winner. A lot has changed since that game of course with AC Milan going upwards while Inter have gone backwards since their last meeting.
As the home team, AC Milan are unbeaten against Inter in 6 consecutive games winning 3 and drawing the other 3. They do know how to get the best of Inter as the home team.
Krzsystof Piatek is the man to watch for AC Milan of course with 8 goals in 9 apps (8 starts) for the club since joining them. He’s proved to be a fantastic signing by fitting in instantly and has caused this turnaround in form for AC Milan.
With Icardi out, Inter again need to look at someone else to deliver and Politano has been their main source of goals lately with 3 in his last 6 apps. Inter’s attack has been woeful, but he’s been a rare bright spark for them and the most in form attacking player so look for him to have a big game.
Inter Milan won the first meeting 1-0 after Icardi scored a last minute equaliser. However since then Inter have trended backwards while AC Milan have made drastic improvements.
AC Milan are unbeaten in 6 straight games as the home team against Inter winning 3 and drawing 3 during this stretch.
AC Milan are tipped bookies favourites understandably so to win the game at 2.32 while Inter are 3.35 with the draw offered at 3.10. Odds based on Unibet.
Team News
AC Milan: Giacomo Bonaventura is the only key absentee for AC Milan otherwise expect Gatusso to be able to field the strongest possible side.
Inter Milan: Sime Vrsaljko remains out, Miranda and Nainggolan are also expected to be out and so is star man Mauro Icardi who may not feature at all for the remainder this season leaving Inter quite depleted entering this game.
Betting Stats
AC Milan have covered 57.1% of their total goal overs at home this season (8-1-5).
AC Milan have covered just 28.6% of their total 1st half goal overs at home this season (4-4-6).
Frank Kessie and Patrick Cutrone have the most home goals for AC Milan in the Serie A with 3 each. Piatek has 2 home league goals at San Siro for Milan in Serie A.
AC Milan average 2.14 bookings per game at home this season (30 bookings in 14 games).
AC Milan have covered 42.9% of their Handicaps at home this season (6-2-6).
AC Milan have covered 42.9% of their 1st half Handicaps at home this season (6-1-7).
Inter have covered 50% of their total goal overs away from home (7-7).
Inter however have only covered 21.4% of their total 1st half goal overs away from home (3-5-6).
Inter average 2.57 bookings per game away from home in Serie A this season (36 bookings in 14 games).
Mauro Icardi is Inter’s top scorer with 6 away goals this season, however with him out, Martinez, Brozovic and Keita are their next top scorers away from home with 2 away league goals each.
Inter have only covered 35.7% of their Handicaps away from home (5-3-6).
Inter have covered 42.9% of their 1st half Handicaps away from home (6-8).
KICK OFF – 17th March 2019 – 7:30pm UK Time
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