La Liga: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Real Madrid take on Atletico Madrid at the Bernabeu in a very huge Madrid derby between two rivals who are expected to be up there fighting for the title towards the end of the season alongside Barcelona. Injury riddled Real Madrid’s perfect start to the season took a turn this week as they lost to Sevilla 3-0 and lost some key players to injury, while Atletico’s 7 point deficit have been cut to 2 after picking up some wins and getting favours from other sides against Barca and Real. Atletico have beaten Real this season already in the UEFA Super Cup and are carrying huge momentum so can they come to Bernabeu and win yet another Madrid derby this season?

Key Facts

Real Madrid are still tied at the top in La Liga after being beaten by Sevilla. They have 4W 1D 1L.

At the Bernabeu Real Madrid have been perfect this season with 4 wins in 4 games in all competitions scoring 10 goals in total which is 2.5 per game.

Karim Benzema is still Real Madrid’s top scorer with 4 goals, but he’s been scoreless in 4 straight. Out of form.

Gareth Bale is Madrid’s most dangerous player this season with 4G 2A in all competitions.

On average, there are 3 goals scored in Real Madrid’s fixtures this season.

After dropping 7 points from the first 4 games, Atletico Madrid have hit some solid form winning 3 in a row in all competitions including winning 2 straight in La Liga and they could go above Real with a win here.

Antoine Griezmann is yet again Atletico’s main danger man with 2G 4A to start the season.

Atletico Madrid have conceded only 4 goals in La Liga this season. 2nd best behind Villarreal.

Although Atletico have been dominated By Real Madrid in European competitions in recent years, in La Liga it’s a different story. In the last 8 La Liga meetings Atletico have a 3W 4D 1L record against Real Madrid.

Atletico Madrid have not lost a La Liga match at the Bernabeu since December 2012. Unbeaten in 5 straight here in the league. 3W 2D.

Antonie Griezmann has scored at the Bernabeu in his last 3 visits in the league.

In the last 6 league meetings at the Bernabeu, this fixture had 5 under 2.5 goals games.

Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid in the UEFA Super Cup this season 4-2 already.

Team News

Real Madrid: Isco is out after Apendicitis surgery again as he will be for over a month, also Marcelo has been announced out by Real and Dani Carvajal is an injury doubt although he did return to training and is in contention to start. These are some serious losses for Real Madrid and they’ve come at a very wrong time considering they’ve faced Sevilla and now they’ve gotta face one of the main rivals in Atletico. Lopetegui will definitely have to do a lot of shuffling around. With Marcelo out, we may see Nacho slot in at LB and if Carvajal doesn’t return then the youngster Odriozola may get another chance to start. Madrid definitely could have huge problems defensively. In terms of Isco’s absence, Asensio will probably start there. Benzema should still start regardless of the goal drought.

Atletico Madrid: Atletico have some concerns at the back too. Savic is out and also Gimenez is facing a late fitness evaluation after picking up a knock against Huesca. During the match against Huesca, Left back Lucas Hernandez came on for Gimenez to finish the back so there’s a chance that he may have to fill a void in a position he doesn’t prefer to play in CB. Elsewhere, Juanfran is expected to start at RB after sitting out the Huesca match and also Saul was benched against Huesca which was probably for rest reasons so he should slot back into the starting line-up. Otherwise, expect no changes from Diego Simeone. Diego Costa and Griezmann up front duo will be the players to watch, they love a big game performance.

Betting Tips and Predictions

If both teams had fully fit defences, we’d back an under but because the likes of Marcelo and then potentially Gimenez and Carvajal out there’s a huge risk given the attacks that both teams have. In this derby, we’re going to favour Atletico due to Real Madrid’s recent performance and them missing more key players, plus Atletico will have the mental edge after winning in the super cup. Atletico’s recent record at the Bernabeu in La Liga speaks for itself, 3W 2D in the last 5 and now that they’ve hit some form they should be coming into this match with more confidence. Atletico to win at 4.00 is a good value bet, also X2 (Atletico not to lose) should come through comfortably. We just can’t see Real coping with potentially 2 of the most important players in Isco and Marcelo in this match. Because this is a derby we should see a ton of bookings and potentially see a red card. Given that it’s such a huge rivalry we’d also risk picking up a bet that there will be a red card. Griezmann to score anytime is also worth the look given his recent record at the Bernabeu in the league. To summarise, we’re looking at a feisty Madrid derby and a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid. Atletico X2, Atletico to Win, Cards over, a red card to be shown and Griezmann to score anytime are our top picks for this battle.

Match Odds (TonyBet)

Real Madrid Win – 2.15

Draw – 3.30

Atletico Madrid Win – 3.90

KICK OFF – 29th September 2018 – 7:45pm UK Time