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Roland Garros 2019

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Roland Garros 2019 betting discussion, betting predictions and everything related with this tournament

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Official page: rolandgarros.com/en-us/

2018 winners:

Men's Singles: Rafael Nadal (Spain)

Women's Singles: Simona Halep (Romania)

Men's Doubles: Pierre-Hugues Herbert / Nicolas Mahut (France)

Women's Doubles: Barbora Krejčíková / Czech Republic Kateřina Siniaková (Czech Republic)

Best betblog tipsters on this event

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So another Grand Slam title for Rafael Nadal or something believes differently? 😁
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Benzema wrote:

So another Grand Slam title for Rafael Nadal or something believes differently? 😁

I think that the same Djokovic could oppose him for a title fight. Djokovic in Masters different than in the Grandslams and I can't underestimate him although he lost pretty bad to Nadal in Rome. We will see but 2.10 odds for Nadal win looks no value in my eyes.
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Rafael Nadal numbers in Roland Garros tournament. Clay king.

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2019 Roland Garros - Top 3 Sleepers that can win the tournament

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The Roland Garros is just around the corner and here are some of our top sleeper picks not named Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic or Roger Federer that could surprise and win the tournament if they get hot during these 2 weeks.

With Roland Garros starting and a multiple of hot Tennis tournaments upcoming in the Summer such as Wimbledon and US Open, here’s a Tennis betting guide explaining its multiple markets including Outright markets. If you’re new to betting on this sport this could be helpful for you in the future!

Full preview - betblog.com/previews/rol...-can-win-the-tournament/
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2019 ATP French Open betting preview

* French Open winner odds
* Can anyone stop Rafa Nadal?
* Is there any value at bigger odds?

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Starting on Sunday is the second Grand Slam of 2019, the French Open. This preview runs the rule over the conditions and contenders for the men’s singles title.

French Open 2019 predictions

The Roland Garros venue in Paris plays host to the French Open, which is arguably the toughest Grand Slam - physically - on the tennis calendar. The medium-slow clay conditions play a big part in this, with just 0.39 aces per game served at the tournament across the last three years (main draw data), a marked drop from other, more serve-orientated, Grand Slam events.

* Read: A beginner’s guide to tennis betting

With this being the case, players are less likely to win cheap points, and will be required to win more long rallies during the course of their matches.

The effect of this is longer matches and more court time required to reach the latter stages, so for men’s players in particular it is important that the main contenders don’t over-exert themselves during the early rounds where they will usually be strong pre-match favourites.

Accumulated fatigue is always a key consideration in Grand Slam tennis, but here in Paris, it should be even more prominent in bettors’ thoughts.

In the last three events, 76.6% of service games have been held, a figure which is a slight drop in the overall clay figures on the ATP Tour during the same time period (77.0% mean), and we can accurately assess general conditons as medium-slow for clay, and likely to slightly assist players of a return-orientated dynamic.

Can anyone stop Rafa Nadal at the 2019 French Open?

Leading the outright market is certainly someone who fits nicely into that description - Rafa Nadal.

The Spaniard is currently priced at 2.04* to lift the trophy in two weeks’ time, and will start the tournament in good heart following his win in the Rome Masters last weekend, emphatically defeating Novak Djokovic in the final.

Both across the last 12 months, and in 2019 in isolation, Nadal has by far the best data on the ATP Tour, running at over 112% combined service and return points won percentage - beyond elite level numbers.

No other player can come remotely close to these figures, although of the major contenders, second favourite in the market, Novak Djokovic, is the player nearest.

The world number one has won 65.4% of service points on clay this year, and 40.9% on return (106.3% combined), with his issue being that he simply cannot challenge Nadal’s return figures. Certainly, the discrepancy between the two players using these metrics would indicate that it is difficult to justify Djokovic’s market price at 3.43*, at the time of writing.

The only other player in single-digit pricing is Dominic Thiem, with the Austrian’s clay data this year at 105.1% combined - top five level but not nearly as high as Nadal, and with a slight deficiency to Djokovic on return.

There is little doubt that Thiem will have his supporters following wins on slow hard court in Indian Wells, and subsequent clay triumph in Barcelona, but he’d still be a considerable underdog to Nadal in a head-to-head match, despite beating him en route to that Barcelona title. He’s currently priced at 7.10*.

2019 French Open odds: Is there any value at bigger odds?

A quartet of players are priced between the 10 and 20 mark in the current outright pricing. Among these, veteran Roger Federer is respected by the market at 18.75* despite withdrawing from Rome, and it’s worth noting that he has solid enough data (104.6% combined) on clay this year, even though the calibre of his opponents has generally been very strong.

Assuming a decent level of fitness, Federer would be expected to make the second week at the very least, and shouldn’t be completely ruled out, although it’s fair to suggest that he will have been likely to enjoy the quicker conditions in Madrid several weeks ago more than the slower ones he will face in Paris.

Priced at the same mark is Kei Nishikori, but statistically, the Japanese man is below the level exhibited by Federer. He’s below the 102% combined mark on clay this year, which is considerably worse than his peak levels exhibited a few years ago.

It’s difficult to make a case for Nishikori, who has lost to Pierre-Hugues Herbert, Daniil Medvedev, Stan Wawrinka and Diego Schwartzman on the surface already this season.

The other two players in this price bracket are the fitness-doubt Juan Martin Del Potro, and the improving Greek talent, Stefanos Tsitsipas. Del Potro has only played three tournaments this year, and just two (in Madrid and Rome) on clay, so there are likely to be a number of question marks over the Argentine with regards to his longevity in Paris.

On the other hand, 20 year old Tstisipas is on a nice upward curve. He’s won 63.4% of service points and 41.0% on return (104.4% combined) which is a 1% increase on his 2018 surface data - largely on return, and can be considered a live contender at odds of 16.759*.

Following these players, we have to drop down to odds of 33.53* to find Alexander Zverev, whose 2019 data has plummeted following a very strong 2018 season.

The German has had big issues this year, with numerous defeats as solid favourite on the surface, and also has plenty to prove in Grand Slam events, only having reached one quarter-final at this level in his entire career - a facile loss to Thiem here last year, where he won just seven games in the match.

Who are the French Open underdogs?

At bigger odds - mostly around the 100.00 mark - there are some other contenders worthy of comment. Borna Coric has flown under the radar a little this season, but like Tsitsipas, is on a nice upward curve generally in his career, and at 105.7% combined, has exhibited strong clay data this season.

He lost having had several match points against Federer last week in Rome, so is evidently competing at a high level.

Daniil Medvedev’s level on clay this year has been a surprise. The Russian player is a prodigious talent, but hadn’t been able to translate his level in quicker conditions to clay courts until this year. If he continues his rapid improvement on clay, he could shock a bigger name player.

Other long-shots who aren’t even on the current pricing list who could be of interest include the likes of Matteo Berrettini and Christian Garin, who are both young and enjoying superb clay seasons, while Filip Krajinovic, Guido Pella and the evergreen Pablo Cuevas are very competent on the surface and are worth keeping an eye on for any eventual match-ups against high reputation players who may not be at a high level on the surface currently.

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2019 WTA French Open betting preview

* Is Simona Halep a justified favourite?
* Who are the nearest challengers?
* Is there value at bigger prices?

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The women’s singles event at the French Open this year looks a typically open tournament. With numerous contenders, this preview looks at the player data for those at the forefront of the market.

2019 WTA French Open: Is it better value than the ATP?

While the men’s singles tournament this year at the French Open - as is usually the case - is favourite-centered, this isn’t often the case for women’s singles events at Grand Slams. Indeed, both of the top two men’s favourites, Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic, are priced shorter than women’s favourite, Simona Halep.

Only Halep (4.859*) and Kiki Bertens (8.15*) are priced below the 10.00 mark in what promises to be yet another competitive women’s Grand Slam tournament, illustrate by there being 11 players priced below 20.00 in the current tournament winner market.

Is Simona Halep a justified favourite?

Statistically, the market would appear justified in its faith in Halep. The market-leading Romanian also boasts the best clay data on the WTA Tour, when looking at service and return points won percentages across 2019 in isolation, or in the last 12 months.

Across the last 12 months, she’s running at 110.2% combined service/return points won, which is notably in excess of all other major contenders.

She looks like being the best clay courter on tour right now, although she has lost her last two matches on the surface - against the aforementioned Bertens in the final of Madrid, and versus the up and coming Marketa Vondrousova in Rome last week - which isn’t a positive.

Having said that, she has made the final here at Roland Garros in each of the last two years, lifting the trophy after a three-set victory over Sloane Stephens a year ago.

Who are the nearest challengers?

As discussed, Bertens is the nearest challenger to Halep in the outright market, and comes into the tournament at a career-high fourth in the rankings.

The Dutchwoman has gone semi-final/winner/semi-final in her last three clay events (all at Premier level) and defeats to Petra Kvitova in quick conditions in Stuttgart, and Johanna Konta in Rome last week are no disgraces. Bertens will be tough to beat during the upcoming fortnight.

Do tennis players perform better at big tournaments?

Summarising the numerous players priced in the 10-20 price range, Serena Williams and Elina Svitolina go into the event undercooked following a lack of court time on clay this season, and Williams’ withdrawal from Rome last week was a further negative for the former world number one.

She’s only played one match since withdrawing from Miami in March. Those with faith in Williams may be best advised to evaluate her opening couple of matches.

Current world number one Naomi Osaka is in this grouping, and has definite upside. Despite her obvious ability, prior to this season, the Japanese talent was yet to translate that to results on clay.

The women’s singles event at the French Open this year looks a typically open tournament. With numerous contenders, this preview looks at the player data for those at the forefront of the market.

2019 WTA French Open: Is it better value than the ATP?

While the men’s singles tournament this year at the French Open - as is usually the case - is favourite-centered, this isn’t often the case for women’s singles events at Grand Slams. Indeed, both of the top two men’s favourites, Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic, are priced shorter than women’s favourite, Simona Halep.

Only Halep (4.859*) and Kiki Bertens (8.15*) are priced below the 10.00 mark in what promises to be yet another competitive women’s Grand Slam tournament, illustrate by there being 11 players priced below 20.00 in the current tournament winner market.

Is Simona Halep a justified favourite?

Statistically, the market would appear justified in its faith in Halep. The market-leading Romanian also boasts the best clay data on the WTA Tour, when looking at service and return points won percentages across 2019 in isolation, or in the last 12 months.

Across the last 12 months, she’s running at 110.2% combined service/return points won, which is notably in excess of all other major contenders.

She looks like being the best clay courter on tour right now, although she has lost her last two matches on the surface - against the aforementioned Bertens in the final of Madrid, and versus the up and coming Marketa Vondrousova in Rome last week - which isn’t a positive.

Having said that, she has made the final here at Roland Garros in each of the last two years, lifting the trophy after a three-set victory over Sloane Stephens a year ago.

Who are the nearest challengers?

As discussed, Bertens is the nearest challenger to Halep in the outright market, and comes into the tournament at a career-high fourth in the rankings.

The Dutchwoman has gone semi-final/winner/semi-final in her last three clay events (all at Premier level) and defeats to Petra Kvitova in quick conditions in Stuttgart, and Johanna Konta in Rome last week are no disgraces. Bertens will be tough to beat during the upcoming fortnight.

Do tennis players perform better at big tournaments?

Summarising the numerous players priced in the 10-20 price range, Serena Williams and Elina Svitolina go into the event undercooked following a lack of court time on clay this season, and Williams’ withdrawal from Rome last week was a further negative for the former world number one.

She’s only played one match since withdrawing from Miami in March. Those with faith in Williams may be best advised to evaluate her opening couple of matches.

Current world number one Naomi Osaka is in this grouping, and has definite upside. Despite her obvious ability, prior to this season, the Japanese talent was yet to translate that to results on clay.


However, Osaka (106.7% combined) has done so this year, and given her continued upside, would look a real threat in the draw to any player.

Certainly, she looks to have a better chance than the similarly-priced current versions of Sloane Stephens and Garbine Muguruza, based on this year’s data, while the likes of Petra Kvitova and Angelique Kerber are experienced Grand Slam contenders and boast solid numbers - although clay is arguably not the favoured surface for either player.

Rounding off those priced below 20.00, Karolina Pliskova is another live contender, with strong data on clay this year (106.6% combined) and the Czech celebrated with the title last week in Rome - she will be in confident mood in advance of the French Open.

This is less likely to be the case for Ash Barty - another player who arguably doesn’t do their best work on clay - while Victoria Azarenka currently is inconsistent and often over-rated by the market in individual matches against high-level opposition.

Even at her peak, the Belarussian was less strong on clay as other surfaces.

Is there value at bigger prices?

In such an open tournament, there’s also plenty of interest in players at bigger prices. Belinda Bencic has shown massive improvement this year across both hard courts and clay and is running at 105.7% combined on clay this year - solid top 10 numbers.

The Swiss player is available at 33.30*. Caroline Wozniacki, at 41.88*, is an injury doubt, while most of the remaining players in the list have got ability or form question marks in some way.

Madison Keys has also struggled with injury but if fit, could make a mockery of her 26.28* price, while 2017 champion Jelena Ostapenko has been in career free-fall of late.

Serving is a particular issue for the Latvian, and there are probably better options at around her 32.54* price.

Aryna Sabalenka has not been able to reproduce her levels from other surfaces onto clay, while Daria Kasatkina has disappointed this year, as has, to a slightly lesser extent, Elise Mertens.

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Petra Kvitova withdraws from Roland Garros

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Rafael Nadal is now 15-0 in the 1st round matches at Roland Garros

He's won 13 of those matches 3-0 and he's won 45 out of the 48 Sets in total.
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Rafael Nadal 2nd round stats at RG before tomorrow's match

14-0 W/L
42-1 Set W/L

3-0 - 13
3-1 - 1

Won by 10+ Games - 12
Won by Less Than 10 Games - 2

Avg Margin of Games won by - 10.78
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olbg wrote:

Rafael Nadal 2nd round stats at RG before tomorrow's match

14-0 W/L
42-1 Set W/L

3-0 - 13
3-1 - 1

Won by 10+ Games - 12
Won by Less Than 10 Games - 2

Avg Margin of Games won by - 10.78

Update after today's match*

Rafael Nadal numbers in the 2nd rounds of Roland Garros for his career:

W/L - 15/0
Sets W/L - 45-1
Matches Won 3-0 - 14
Matches Won 3-1 - 1
Matches Won 3-2 - 0
Matches Won by 10+ Games - 13
Matches Won by > 10 Games - 2

Just unbelievable
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What an amazing comeback by Nishikori. Down 0-3 (double break) in the 5th set and he comes back to win 8-6 and advance to the 4th round! Special type stuff.
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Stanislas Wawrinka is now 4-0 against Grigor Dimitrov at Grand Slams and has beaten him in all 4.

2011 Aus Open - 3-0
2018 Wimbledon - 3-1
2018 US Open - 3-1
2019 Roland Garros - 3-0

Wawrinka has won 12 out of 13 Sets against Dimitrov in their GS H2H and beat him 3-0 3 out of 4 times
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Novak Djokovic is the first player ever to reach 10 straight Roland Garros Quarter Finals. He's also currently on a 25 match win streak at Grand Slams dating back to the Wimbledon last year
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Federer and Nadal to face off in the Semi Final! Wow what a match up, absolutely cannot wait for these 2 legends to square off again
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At 17 years, 279 days old, Amanda Anisimova is the youngest American woman to reach a Grand Slam semifinal since Venus Williams at the 1997 US Open.
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Djokovic being Djokovic 😂

Djokovic: Is there a rule for the extreme wind?

Chair umpire: Yes, but the supervisors decide.

Djokovic: Can I speak with them?

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